What is TNL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TNL.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TNL / options

ATAT (70) PLNT (70) CHH (59) BYD (55) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$75.52 +5.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $76.11

Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.32B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TNL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Travel Leisure Co. (NYSE: TNL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $75.52 (+5.37% 1D, market cap $4.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TNL ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TNL compare to ATAT and PLNT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), TNL carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.7x, gross margin of 93.2%, and ROIC of 21.7%. By comparison, ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 19.2x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $4.42B) and PLNT (Planet Fitness Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $4.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHH leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while ATAT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNL?

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Per TNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001361658), Travel Leisure Co. generated $4.02B in revenue (+4.1% YoY), $230.2M in net income, and $523.0M in free cash flow against $6.76B in total assets and $3.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (93.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $76.11 (+0.78%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 13% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TNL SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13% FCF Margin ($523.0M FCF) & 93.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (69.9) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$62.63+7.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$67.18+1.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$68.38+10.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$75.52+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TNL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, TNL faces multiple-compression risk if 18.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 90.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($65.76) or 200D SMA ($70.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($79.26) toward Bear Floor ($61.82).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TNL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TNL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TNL.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TNL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TNL
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.49%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $71.49H $75.52L $71.49C $75.52VOL 1.15M

RES: $82.23SUP: $56.67SMA50: $65.76SMA200: $70.38

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TNL Butterfly Map → + Track TNL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

12.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #169 of 1009 ⚔️ ATAT vs TNL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TNL vs. ATAT, PLNT, CHH, BYD)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) ranks #169 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #296 by equity capitalization ($4.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHH leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while ATAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ATAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with TNL at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TNL ACTIVE Travel Leisure Co.	C+	69/100	18.7x	93.2%	21.7%	+5.37%	$4.32B	Benchmark Subject
ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited	B-	70/100	19.2x	—	85.0%	+4.00%	$4.42B	/atat-vs-tnl →
PLNT Planet Fitness Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	82.6%	19.1%	+3.86%	$4.03B	/plnt-vs-tnl →
CHH Choice Hotels International Inc.	C-	59/100	13.8x	—	17.3%	+6.70%	$5.02B	/chh-vs-tnl →
BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation	D+	55/100	—	—	13.7%	+5.78%	$5.15B	/byd-vs-tnl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001361658 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) reported GAAP revenue of $4.02B (+4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.86B , and +7.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $230.2M, operating cash flow of $640.0M, and free cash flow of $523.0M (+36.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TNL closed FY2025 with $6.76B in total assets against $3.48B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.72, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.02B	$230.2M	$640.0M	$523.0M	$6.76B	$3.48B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.86B	$411.0M	$464.0M	$383.0M	$6.74B	$3.43B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.75B	$396.4M	$350.0M	$181.3M	$4.50B	$1.05B

3. TNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TNL compare to ATAT and PLNT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNL?

Where is TNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNL last traded at $75.52 (+5.37% on volume of 1,539,902 shares), positioning the stock +14.84% above its 50-day simple moving average ($65.76) and +7.30% above its 200-day simple moving average ($70.38). Across its 52-week range of $60.34 to $81.00, TNL sits at the 73.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($70.99 to $80.05).

Direct Sub-Reports: TNL RQD Cockpit TNL 12M Forecast TNL Earnings & Move TNL Dividends & DRIP TNL Insiders & 13F TNL Whale Options TNL Profit Sankey TNL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TNL — Travel Leisure Co.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $75.52 (+5.37% 1D, market capitalization $4.32B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 21.7%, gross margin of 93.2%, operating margin of 13.8%, and free cash flow yield of 12.14%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.72, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Travel Leisure Co. Operates in the Hotels/Resorts industry within the Consumer Discretionary sector and is listed on the NYSE. The market data reports a gross margin of 93.2%, an operating margin of 13.8%, and a net margin of 5.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) reported $4.02B in annual revenue (up from $3.86B in FY2024, +4.1% YoY) and $230.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.75B revenue, $396.4M net income) through FY2025, TNL scaled operating cash flow to $640.0M and free cash flow to $523.0M, backed by $6.76B in total assets against $3.48B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Strong cash generator (93.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $60.34 – $81.00 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 18.7x trailing P/E and 11.2x EV/EBITDA against 13.8% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is Consumer Discretionary / Hotels/Resorts, with a Beta of 0.98 per the market data.

Key Question #1: Can TNL sustain or expand its 13.8% operating margin and 21.7% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.02B and free cash flow of $523.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.48B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is TNL's 17.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?

TNL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TNL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Are Investors Undervaluing Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) Right Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ChartMill • 1d ago

Travel + Leisure Co. (NYSE:TNL): A High-Yield Dividend Stock With Quality Support for Income Investors

ChartMill report covering Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Travel+Leisure Co (TNL) Stock Down 3.5% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 80/100

GuruFocus report covering Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Travel + Leisure (TNL) Tests Its Growth Story Following New Resort Partnerships

Yahoo Finance report covering Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Travel + Leisure (NYSE:TNL) exceeds Q3 2026 expectations

TradingView report covering Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Travel + Leisure and Wyndham plan to grow the Sports Illustrated Resorts brand (TNL:NYSE)

Seeking Alpha report covering Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Travel + Leisure Co. (NYSE:TNL) Stock Has Average Price Target of $87.58

MarketBeat report covering Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

How Raised EBITDA Guidance Will Impact Travel + Leisure Stock (TNL)

Simply Wall St report covering Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TNL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $75.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TNL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $82.42 (+15.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

TNL's 21.7% ROIC and 12.14% FCF yield, supported by strong insider conviction, indicate a cash engine that the market may be undervalui

TNL's 21.7% ROIC and 12.14% FCF yield, supported by strong insider conviction, indicate a cash engine that the market may be undervaluing at 18.7x trailing earnings.. When you look under the hood at TNL, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 93.2% gross margins and 21.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (13/20) has been quietly accumulating below $81.00. My 12M target is $82.42.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 13/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $71.67 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $60.20 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $71.67

Debt has risen from $1.05B in FY 2023 to $3.48B in FY 2025 while operating income fell year over year, and the Altman Z-Score of 1.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on TNL: Debt has risen from $1.05B in FY 2023 to $3.48B in FY 2025 while operating income fell year over year, and the Altman Z-Score of 1.72 signals balance sheet pressure.. At 18.7x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Hotels/Resorts triggers a 12-15% air pocket.