Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$111.16 -1.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $110.63

Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.10B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Choice Hotels International Inc. (NYSE: CHH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $111.16 (-1.60% 1D, market cap $5.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CHH ranks #355 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHH compare to BYD and RRR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), CHH carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.3%. By comparison, BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.12B) and RRR (Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHH leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while ATAT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHH?
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Per CHH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001046311), Choice Hotels International Inc. generated $1.60B in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $369.9M in net income, and $198.6M in free cash flow against $2.92B in total assets and $1.91B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $110.63 (-0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 12.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (14)SEC (9)Macro (9)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$132 Bull$112 Base$87 Bear
📬 FREE CHH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHH SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62.8) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$103.88+9.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$113.46-3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$109.19+1.8% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$111.16+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, CHH faces multiple-compression risk if 13.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($104.36) or 200D SMA ($107.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($111.66) toward Bear Floor ($87.09).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
62.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.26>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE68% OF RANGE
L: $84$111.16H: $124
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CHH

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

17.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.89% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 3.26 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CHH
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHH Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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CHH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.15%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $110.0H $113.0L $110.0C $111.2VOL 563.3K
RES: $115.2SUP: $88.24SMA50: $104.4SMA200: $107.0
$119.7$113.2$106.7$100.2$93.76RES $115.2SUP $88.24$111.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #355 of 1011 ⚔️ BYD vs CHH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CHH vs. BYD, RRR, WH, ATAT)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH) ranks #355 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #269 by equity capitalization ($5.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHH leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while ATAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ATAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CHH at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHH ACTIVE
Choice Hotels International Inc.
C- 59/100 13.8x — 17.3% -1.60% $5.10B Benchmark Subject
BYD
Boyd Gaming Corporation
D+ 53/100 — — 13.7% +0.55% $5.12B /byd-vs-chh →
RRR
Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A)
D 51/100 14.5x — 13.7% -0.10% $5.17B /rrr-vs-chh →
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.
D+ 56/100 29.1x — 16.2% -2.25% $5.61B /wh-vs-chh →
ATAT
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited
B- 71/100 19.2x — 85.0% -0.43% $4.44B /atat-vs-chh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001046311

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.60B (+0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.58B , and +3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $369.9M, operating cash flow of $270.4M, and free cash flow of $198.6M (-20.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHH closed FY2025 with $2.92B in total assets against $1.91B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.26, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.60B $369.9M $270.4M $198.6M $2.92B $1.91B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.58B $299.7M $319.4M $248.1M $2.53B $1.77B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.54B $258.5M $296.6M $227.1M $2.81B $656.9M

3. CHH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Choice Hotels International Inc. (NYSE: CHH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $111.16 (-1.60% 1D, market cap $5.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CHH ranks #355 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHH compare to BYD and RRR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), CHH carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.3%. By comparison, BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.12B) and RRR (Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHH leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while ATAT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHH?

Per CHH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001046311), Choice Hotels International Inc. generated $1.60B in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $369.9M in net income, and $198.6M in free cash flow against $2.92B in total assets and $1.91B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHH last traded at $111.16 (-1.60% on volume of 813,649 shares), positioning the stock +6.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($104.36) and +3.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($107.04). Across its 52-week range of $84.04 to $123.82, CHH sits at the 68.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($103.71 to $118.61).

CHH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CHH stock right now?

Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (17% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CHH's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CHH's 12-month base price target is $111.66 (range $87.09 to $131.76), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CHH — Choice Hotels International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CHH scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 17.3% and an FCF yield of 3.89%. The return on invested capital is a strength; the FCF yield is modest relative to the price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. The RQD rating describes this pillar as institutional accumulation and options positioning. Per the holders section, no 13F holder data is provided, so the underlying positioning cannot be verified from the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the highest-scoring pillar; the news wire separately reports a CEO stock sale of $137,424.00 (MarketBeat item), which should be weighed against this score.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.13 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1 implies the stock has historically moved more than the broad market, which raises sensitivity to risk-off periods.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 3.26, a Piotroski F of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity of 8.5. The Z-score sits in a range the rating treats as acceptable, but leverage is the dominant concern.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a business with strong returns on capital and high margins, offset by elevated leverage, a modest free-cash-flow yield, and limited institutional-flow visibility. The investor implication is a neutral stance rather than a directional call: the upside case rests on the cash engine and insider signals, while valuation (P/E of 13.8 and EV/EBITDA of 13.7) and balance-sheet risk limit the margin of safety. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
112.97$5.1B13.812.813.78.191.05%1.13$84.04 - $123.8217.3%

Business

Choice Hotels International Inc. is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Hotels/Resorts industry. Per the profile, it has a market capitalization of $5.1B. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1596.8M$448.4M$369.9MN/A$198.6M$45.0M$1906.1M
FY 2024$1584.8M$463.8M$299.7MN/A$248.1M$40.2M$1768.5M
FY 2023$1544.2M$375.0M$258.5MN/A$227.1MN/A$656.9M

Per the market data, operating margin is 28.1%, net margin is 23.2%, and gross margin is 0%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 17.3%, the Altman Z-Score is 3.26, and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Debt rose from $656.9M in FY 2023 to $1906.1M in FY 2025 while free cash flow declined from $248.1M in FY 2024 to $198.6M in FY 2025. The Debt/Equity figure of 8.5 in the RQD rating indicates a highly levered balance sheet.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • BofA price target adjustment (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Per the news wire, BofA Securities adjusted its price target to $115 from $120 and maintains an Underperform rating. This is the most bearish analyst signal in the feed.
  • Insider sale (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Per the MarketBeat item, the CEO sold $137,424.00 in stock. This runs counter to the insider pillar score and is a watch item.
  • Raised outlook (GREEN, CATALYST): Per the Simply Wall St item, the stock "May Be Near Fair Value After Raised Outlook," suggesting an upgraded company outlook. The source does not provide the outlook figures.
  • Other items (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): TradingView estimates coverage and a GuruFocus item on the President & CEO are listed without substantive detail in the source.
  • Butterfly graph: Supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between the rising debt load (from $656.9M in FY 2023 to $1906.1M in FY 2025) and the reported Operating Income, and how is that debt being serviced?
  • What were the specific figures behind the "raised outlook" referenced in the Simply Wall St item?
  • What is the basis for BofA's Underperform rating, and how does it reconcile with the strong ROIC and insider-pillar scores?
  • What are the holder positions and 13F changes underlying the Whale Flow pillar score of 14 / 20?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A for all three fiscal periods, and how does it reconcile with the TTM EPS of 8.19?

CHH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $111.16?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $122.01 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CHH (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $112.97?

Welcome to the CHH (Choice Hotels International Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $94.89 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $112.97

Pump the brakes on CHH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CHH, but look at what you are paying: 13.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Choice Hotels International Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $134.43 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $112.97

CHH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CHH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $112.97 (52-wk range $84.04 - $123.82), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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