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Thor Industries Inc. (THO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$79.49 +7.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.42

Thor Industries Inc. (THO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.81B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is THO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Thor Industries Inc. (NYSE: THO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $79.49 (+7.56% 1D, market cap $3.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, THO ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does THO compare to WGO and GEO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), THO carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.7x, gross margin of 14.0%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, WGO (Winnebago Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 33.5x, ROIC 2.8%, cap $871.7M) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THO?
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Per THO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000730263), Thor Industries Inc. generated $9.58B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $258.6M in net income, and $146.8M in free cash flow against $7.02B in total assets and $877.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.42 (+1.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$129 Bull$78 Base$61 Bear
📬 FREE THO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for THO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY THO SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.27 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$65.47+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$66.43+7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$71.06+11.9% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$79.49-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a THO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While THO currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($70.89) and Max Pain ($83.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $128.97.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $THO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “THO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your THO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $79.49: 125.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $60.89
$7,660
$-2,340 (-23.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $78.06
$9,820
$-180 (-1.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $128.97
$16,225
+$6,225 (+62.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$8174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$12169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$6958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring THO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of THO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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THO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.83%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $73.62H $79.49L $73.62C $79.49VOL 758.4K
RES: $81.61SUP: $61.23SMA50: $70.89SMA200: $81.08
$102.7$91.90$81.09$70.28$59.48RES $81.61SUP $61.23$79.492026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

THO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 THO Butterfly Map → + Track THO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
6.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for THO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THO)

Industrials Rank #189 of 486 ⚔️ WGO vs THO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (THO vs. WGO, GEO, JOE, MTH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Thor Industries Inc. (THO) ranks #189 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #169 by equity capitalization ($3.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTH leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while JOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 43.1% gross margin. JOE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with THO at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
THO ACTIVE
Thor Industries Inc.
D+ 54/100 14.7x 14.0% 5.0% +7.56% $3.81B Benchmark Subject
WGO
Winnebago Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 33.5x 13.0% 2.8% +5.85% $871.7M /wgo-vs-tho →
GEO
Geo Group Inc
D 47/100 14.8x — 6.6% -2.21% $3.75B /geo-vs-tho →
JOE
St. Joe Company
B+ 76/100 35.1x 43.1% 18.1% -1.60% $3.96B /joe-vs-tho →
MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
C- 59/100 9.3x — 8.0% +7.04% $4.20B /mth-vs-tho →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-07-31 • CIK 0000730263 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Thor Industries Inc. (THO) reported GAAP revenue of $9.58B (-4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.04B , and -13.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $258.6M, operating cash flow of $577.9M, and free cash flow of $146.8M (+56.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, THO closed FY2025 with $7.02B in total assets against $877.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.27, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-07-31 $9.58B $258.6M $577.9M $146.8M $7.02B $877.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-07-31 $10.04B $265.3M $545.5M $93.6M $6.71B $1.00B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-31 $11.12B $374.3M $981.6M $481.2M $13.35B $3.12B

3. THO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is THO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Thor Industries Inc. (NYSE: THO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $79.49 (+7.56% 1D, market cap $3.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, THO ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.

How does THO compare to WGO and GEO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), THO carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.7x, gross margin of 14.0%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, WGO (Winnebago Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 33.5x, ROIC 2.8%, cap $871.7M) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THO?

Per THO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000730263), Thor Industries Inc. generated $9.58B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $258.6M in net income, and $146.8M in free cash flow against $7.02B in total assets and $877.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is THO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

THO last traded at $79.49 (+7.56% on volume of 1,040,949 shares), positioning the stock +12.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.89) and -1.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($81.08). Across its 52-week range of $62.83 to $122.83, THO sits at the 27.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($73.21 to $85.77).

Direct Sub-Reports: THO RQD Cockpit THO 12M Forecast THO Earnings & Move THO Dividends & DRIP THO Insiders & 13F THO Whale Options THO Profit Sankey THO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

THO — Thor Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-07-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Thor Industries Inc. (THO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $79.49 (+7.56% 1D, market capitalization $3.81B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.0%, gross margin of 14.0%, operating margin of 3.3%, and free cash flow yield of 3.86%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.95x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.27, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.20x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Thor Industries Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Homebuilding industry,. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model in detail. The company reported revenue in the billions across the periods shown, with gross margin of 14% and operating margin of 3.3% per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-07-31), Thor Industries Inc. (THO) reported $9.58B in annual revenue (up from $10.04B in FY2024, -4.6% YoY) and $258.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($11.12B revenue, $374.3M net income) through FY2025, THO scaled operating cash flow to $577.9M and free cash flow to $146.8M, backed by $7.02B in total assets against $877.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 3.86% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $62.83 – $122.83 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 14.7x trailing P/E and 6.5x EV/EBITDA against 3.3% operating margins and a 0.95x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain: NONE; butterfly links: none; proprietary signals: none.

  • Key Question #1: Can THO sustain or expand its 3.3% operating margin and 5.0% ROIC against Homebuilding peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $9.58B and free cash flow of $146.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $877.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is THO's 13.7x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.95x)?

THO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Thor Industries Inc. (THO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to THO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

THO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON THO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on THO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $89.42 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider-conviction pillar scores 15 / 20 and the balance sheet is moderate with debt down from $3.12B to $877.8M and Debt/Equity at 0

Insider-conviction pillar scores 15 / 20 and the balance sheet is moderate with debt down from $3.12B to $877.8M and Debt/Equity at 0.2.. When you look under the hood at THO, Fundamental Cash Engine is 11/20 with 14.0% gross margins and 5.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (10/20) has been quietly accumulating below $122.83. My 12M target is $89.42.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 54/100 quality, though with 0.95 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $73.90 and keeping dry powder in case we test $68.73.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.08 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $73.90

ROIC of 5% and a Macro Regime Fit score of 6 / 20 sit against revenue that fell from $11.12B to $9.58B over FY 2023–FY 2025.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on THO: ROIC of 5% and a Macro Regime Fit score of 6 / 20 sit against revenue that fell from $11.12B to $9.58B over FY 2023–FY 2025.. At 14.7x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Homebuilding triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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