Thor Industries Inc. (THO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.9% Move

$79.49 +7.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.42

Thor Industries Inc. (THO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.81B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is THO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Thor Industries Inc. (NYSE: THO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $79.49 (+7.56% 1D, market cap $3.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, THO ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does THO compare to WGO and GEO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), THO carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.7x, gross margin of 14.0%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, WGO (Winnebago Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 33.5x, ROIC 2.8%, cap $871.7M) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THO?
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Per THO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000730263), Thor Industries Inc. generated $9.58B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $258.6M in net income, and $146.8M in free cash flow against $7.02B in total assets and $877.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.42 (+1.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$129 Bull$78 Base$61 Bear
📬 FREE THO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for THO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY THO SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.27 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$65.47+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$66.43+7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$71.06+11.9% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$79.49-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a THO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While THO currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($70.89) and Max Pain ($83.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $128.97.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $THO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “THO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 28, 2027 (~86 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.9% Swing Band

±$6.28 Expected Swing
$73.21 (-7.9%)Spot $79.49$85.77 (+7.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

THO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 54/100

Trailing EPS: $5.01 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4.6%

Model Bullish Setup (54/100)Model Risk Weight (46/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-07-31$9.58B$258.6M$146.8M14%
FY 20242024-07-31$10.04B$265.3M$93.6M14.5%
FY 20232023-07-31$11.12B$374.3M$481.2M14%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring THO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of THO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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THO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.83%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $73.62H $79.49L $73.62C $79.49VOL 758.4K
RES: $81.61SUP: $61.23SMA50: $70.89SMA200: $81.08
$102.7$91.90$81.09$70.28$59.48RES $81.61SUP $61.23$79.492026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

THO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for THO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THO)

Industrials Rank #188 of 485 ⚔️ WGO vs THO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (THO vs. WGO, GEO, JOE, MTH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Thor Industries Inc. (THO) ranks #188 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #168 by equity capitalization ($3.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTH leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while JOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 43.1% gross margin. JOE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with THO at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
THO ACTIVE
Thor Industries Inc.
D+ 54/100 14.7x 14.0% 5.0% +7.56% $3.81B Benchmark Subject
WGO
Winnebago Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 33.5x 13.0% 2.8% +5.85% $871.7M /wgo-vs-tho →
GEO
Geo Group Inc
D 47/100 14.8x — 6.6% -2.21% $3.75B /geo-vs-tho →
JOE
St. Joe Company
B+ 76/100 35.1x 43.1% 18.1% -1.60% $3.96B /joe-vs-tho →
MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
C- 59/100 9.3x — 8.0% +7.04% $4.20B /mth-vs-tho →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-07-31 • CIK 0000730263

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Thor Industries Inc. (THO) reported GAAP revenue of $9.58B (-4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.04B , and -13.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $258.6M, operating cash flow of $577.9M, and free cash flow of $146.8M (+56.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, THO closed FY2025 with $7.02B in total assets against $877.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.27, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-07-31 $9.58B $258.6M $577.9M $146.8M $7.02B $877.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-07-31 $10.04B $265.3M $545.5M $93.6M $6.71B $1.00B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-31 $11.12B $374.3M $981.6M $481.2M $13.35B $3.12B

3. THO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is THO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Thor Industries Inc. (NYSE: THO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $79.49 (+7.56% 1D, market cap $3.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, THO ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

How does THO compare to WGO and GEO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), THO carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.7x, gross margin of 14.0%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, WGO (Winnebago Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 33.5x, ROIC 2.8%, cap $871.7M) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THO?

Per THO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000730263), Thor Industries Inc. generated $9.58B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $258.6M in net income, and $146.8M in free cash flow against $7.02B in total assets and $877.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is THO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

THO last traded at $79.49 (+7.56% on volume of 1,040,949 shares), positioning the stock +12.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.89) and -1.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($81.08). Across its 52-week range of $62.83 to $122.83, THO sits at the 27.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($73.21 to $85.77).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

THO — Thor Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:47Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

THO scores 53 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20 (ROIC 5%; FCF yield 3.86%). This is the weakest-scoring fundamental area relative to the stock's identity as a cash generator, and it reflects a thin return on invested capital.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 9 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). The source does not contain the underlying 13F detail, but the pillar score indicates institutional flow is a modest negative-to-neutral factor.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). This is the highest-scoring pillar, suggesting insider and congressional activity is comparatively supportive.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20 (beta 0.95; sector sensitivity). This is the lowest score and indicates limited alignment between the stock's current macro sensitivity and the prevailing regime as captured by the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20 (Altman Z 3.27; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.2). Balance-sheet metrics are moderate, with leverage described as low and the Piotroski score at mid-to-solid levels.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the insider-conviction pillar and balance-sheet resilience, while the downside is concentrated in weak returns on capital, thin margins, and low macro-regime fit. The stock's valuation (P/E TTM 14.7, EV/EBITDA 6.5) sits against a 52-week range of $62.83 - $122.83 and a current price of 73.62, meaning the price is well below the top of its recent range. Valuation looks moderate on earnings multiples, but the low ROIC and thin margins limit how much that multiple should be credited. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Thor Industries Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Homebuilding industry,. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model in detail. The company reported revenue in the billions across the periods shown, with gross margin of 14% and operating margin of 3.3% per the market data. Specific product lines and customer segments: —

Revenue declined from $11.12B in FY 2023 to $9.58B in FY 2025, and net income fell from $374.3M to $258.6M over the same span. Per the market data, net margin is 2.7% and operating margin is 3.3%, with ROIC at 5%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.27 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both 's forensic pillar. Debt/Equity is 0.2 per the same pillar, and reported debt fell from $3.12B (FY 2023) to $877.8M (FY 2025).

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Insider-conviction pillar scores 15 / 20 and the balance sheet is moderate with debt down from $3.12B to $877.8M and Debt/Equity at 0.2. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 5.0%, FCF yield 3.86%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $62.83 – $122.83 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of 5% and a Macro Regime Fit score of 6 / 20 sit against revenue that fell from $11.12B to $9.58B over FY 2023–FY 2025. Investors must weigh 14.7x trailing P/E and 6.5x EV/EBITDA against 3.3% operating margins and a 0.95 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain: NONE; butterfly links: none; proprietary signals: none. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks: —

  • Key Question #1: What caused the reported 8.1% decline since the last earnings report, and what does the earnings release itself say?
  • Key Question #2: What analyst consensus and price-target distribution exists beyond the single price-target headline cited in the news wire?
  • Key Question #3: Why does EPS show N/A in every reported period when EPS (TTM) is 5.01 in the market data?

THO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Thor Industries Inc. (THO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to THO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

THO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON THO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on THO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $89.42 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider-conviction pillar scores 15 / 20 and the balance sheet is moderate with debt down from $3.12B to $877.8M and Debt/Equity at 0

Insider-conviction pillar scores 15 / 20 and the balance sheet is moderate with debt down from $3.12B to $877.8M and Debt/Equity at 0.2.. When you look under the hood at THO, Fundamental Cash Engine is 11/20 with 14.0% gross margins and 5.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (10/20) has been quietly accumulating below $122.83. My 12M target is $89.42.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 54/100 quality, though with 0.95 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $73.90 and keeping dry powder in case we test $68.73.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.08 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $73.90

ROIC of 5% and a Macro Regime Fit score of 6 / 20 sit against revenue that fell from $11.12B to $9.58B over FY 2023–FY 2025.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on THO: ROIC of 5% and a Macro Regime Fit score of 6 / 20 sit against revenue that fell from $11.12B to $9.58B over FY 2023–FY 2025.. At 14.7x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Homebuilding triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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