Why SPH Stock advanced +0.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$17.96 +0.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.95

Suburban Propane Partners L.P. (SPH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.20B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Suburban Propane Partners L.P. (NYSE: SPH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $17.96 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $1.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SPH ranks #442 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPH compare to WINA and SVV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SPH carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.2x, gross margin of 60.6%, and ROIC of 8.4%. By comparison, WINA (Winmark Corporation) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 84.5%, cap $1.02B) and SVV (Savers Value Village Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 64.5x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $1.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPH leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while WINA leads on capital efficiency (84.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPH?
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Per SPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0001005210), Suburban Propane Partners L.P. generated $1.43B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), $106.6M in net income, and $114.3M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $1.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.95 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$22 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE SPH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SPH SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (18% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8% FCF Margin ($114.3M FCF) & 60.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.2) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$17.27+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$17.41+3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$18.01-0.3% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$17.96-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SPH faces multiple-compression risk if 11.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.24) or 200D SMA ($18.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.72) toward Bear Floor ($13.82).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SPH Stock advanced +0.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Suburban Propane Partners L.P. (SPH) advanced +0.62% to $17.96, trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($16.25 – $20.8). Stretched risk/reward at 11x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($16.25 – $20.8) with RSI-14 at 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.3% around $17.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 60.6% gross margin and $114.3M annual free cash flow.
Live SPH Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SPH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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SPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.20%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $17.85H $17.96L $17.85C $17.96VOL 201.3K
RES: $18.29SUP: $15.75SMA50: $17.24SMA200: $18.72
$20.83$19.59$18.35$17.11$15.86RES $18.29SUP $15.75$17.962026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
1.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #442 of 1011 ⚔️ WINA vs SPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SPH vs. WINA, SVV, REAL, RERE)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Suburban Propane Partners L.P. (SPH) ranks #442 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #489 by equity capitalization ($1.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPH leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while WINA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 84.5% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. WINA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with SPH at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPH ACTIVE
Suburban Propane Partners L.P.
D+ 55/100 11.2x 60.6% 8.4% +0.62% $1.20B Benchmark Subject
WINA
Winmark Corporation
C 63/100 24.5x 96.0% 84.5% -0.41% $1.02B /wina-vs-sph →
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
D- 42/100 64.5x — 9.3% -1.59% $1.44B /svv-vs-sph →
REAL
The RealReal Inc.
D- 40/100 — 74.6% -27.4% +5.37% $1.49B /real-vs-sph →
RERE
ATRenew Inc. (every three of which representing two ) (Class A)
D- 36/100 18.8x — 14.7% -5.34% $855.1M /rere-vs-sph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0001005210

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Suburban Propane Partners L.P. (SPH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.43B (+7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.33B , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $106.6M, operating cash flow of $186.3M, and free cash flow of $114.3M (+13.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPH closed FY2025 with $2.40B in total assets against $1.32B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.27, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $1.43B $106.6M $186.3M $114.3M $2.40B $1.32B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $1.33B $74.2M $160.6M $101.2M $2.38B $1.30B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.43B $123.8M $225.2M $225.2M — —

3. SPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Suburban Propane Partners L.P. (NYSE: SPH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $17.96 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $1.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SPH ranks #442 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPH compare to WINA and SVV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SPH carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.2x, gross margin of 60.6%, and ROIC of 8.4%. By comparison, WINA (Winmark Corporation) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 84.5%, cap $1.02B) and SVV (Savers Value Village Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 64.5x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $1.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPH leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while WINA leads on capital efficiency (84.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPH?

Per SPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0001005210), Suburban Propane Partners L.P. generated $1.43B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), $106.6M in net income, and $114.3M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $1.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPH last traded at $17.96 (+0.62% on volume of 201,270 shares), positioning the stock +4.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.24) and -4.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.72). Across its 52-week range of $16.25 to $20.80, SPH sits at the 37.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.3% ($17.37 to $18.55).

SPH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is SPH stock moving today?

Why SPH Stock advanced +0.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 11x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPH — Suburban Propane Partners L.P.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:17Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPH scores 54 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC 8.4%; FCF yield 9.6%); Whale 13F Flow 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 10/20 (Altman Z 1.27; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 2.11).

Read together, the pillars show the strongest contribution from insider activity, while the weakest are macro fit and institutional flow. The forensic inputs flag balance-sheet strain: a 1.27 Altman Z and 2.11 Debt/Equity sit well inside the range that makes leverage a central valuation consideration, even though the Piotroski score of 7/9 indicates a relatively healthy set of operating-quality signals. The FCF yield of 9.6% is a meaningful cash-generation figure, but it has to be weighed against the debt load. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on cash conversion and insider buying; the downside case rests on leverage, modest whale support, and a beta of 1.0 that offers no defensive cushion. The valuation (P/E 11.2 TTM, EV/EBITDA 9.4) is undemanding on the surface, but the rating frames that discount as reflecting weak fundamentals rather than a clear mispricing.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$17.85$1.19B11.210.49.41.60%1.0$16.25 - $20.88.4%

Business

Suburban Propane Partners L.P. is listed on the NYSE and classified under Consumer Discretionary, Other Specialty Stores, per the SEC financials profile. Per the source profile, the company operates within this classification with a market capitalization of $1.2B. Specific products, customers, and revenue mix are not detailed in the source data beyond the sector and industry labels. Gross margin is 60.6% and operating margin is 14.4% per the market data section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1432.5M$206.3M$106.6MN/A$114.3M$1.3M$1322.5M
FY 2024$1327.2M$171.2M$74.2MN/A$101.2M$4.4M$1302.8M
FY 2023$1429.2M$206.8M$123.8MN/A$225.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1327.2M in FY 2024 to $1432.5M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $74.2M to $106.6M over the same span. Net margin is 7.4% per the market data section. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 8.4%, Altman Z-Score is 1.27, and Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Cash reported at $1.3M against debt of $1322.5M in FY 2025 indicates a highly leveraged balance-sheet posture, consistent with the Debt/Equity of 2.11 in the rating inputs.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is therefore not available in source data. Sector classification (Consumer Discretionary, Other Specialty Stores) is the only sector-level context provided. Investors should monitor how the distribution-rate change and the rising short interest interact with the company's leverage, since the source data does not quantify any second-order supplier or customer linkage.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's specific product and revenue mix, and how much of revenue is tied to seasonal or weather-driven demand?
  • What is the debt maturity schedule, and what are the covenant terms given Debt/Equity of 2.11 and cash of $1.3M?
  • What drove the FY 2023 cash and debt figures to be unavailable, and how comparable are the reported periods?
  • What are the consensus analyst ratings and price targets, and how do they compare with the Roarable RQD verdict?
  • Who are the specific insiders and institutional holders behind the insider and whale pillar scores?

SPH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Suburban Propane Partners L.P. (SPH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SPH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $19.28 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPH (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $17.85?

Welcome to the SPH (Suburban Propane Partners L.P.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Other Specialty Stores. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.10 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $17.85

Pump the brakes on SPH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPH, but look at what you are paying: 11.2x trailing P/E with 60.6% gross margins. Unless Suburban Propane Partners L.P. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.24 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $17.85

SPH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Specialty Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.85 (52-wk range $16.25 - $20.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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