Should I buy, hold, or sell SVV stock right now?

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 65x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SVV's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SVV's 12-month base price target is $8.63 (range $6.73 to $13.32), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SVV

REAL (40) SBH (78) SPH (55) EZPW (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.30 -0.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.28

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.44B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SVV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Savers Value Village Inc. (NYSE: SVV) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $9.30 (-0.11% 1D, market cap $1.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SVV ranks #698 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SVV compare to REAL and SBH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SVV carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 64.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.3%. By comparison, REAL (The RealReal Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.4%, cap $1.49B) and SBH (Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.)) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 8.7x, ROIC 38.9%, cap $1.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBH leads on earnings multiple (8.7x) while SBH leads on capital efficiency (38.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVV?

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Per SVV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001883313), Savers Value Village Inc. generated $1.68B in revenue (+9.2% YoY), $22.6M in net income, and $48.6M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $708.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.28 (-0.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SVV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SVV SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.9% FCF Margin ($48.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (19% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.1) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$9.23+8.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$9.99-12.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$8.76+6.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$9.30-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SVV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SVV currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.60) and Max Pain ($9.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SVV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SVV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.38>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE41% OF RANGE

L: $7$9.30H: $13

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SVV

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

9.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.33% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 1.38 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (37)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SVV

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 65x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SVV)

✓Walkthrough of SVV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SVV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.73%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $9.46H $9.46L $9.30C $9.30VOL 2.72M

RES: $10.37SUP: $8.64SMA50: $9.60SMA200: $9.41

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SVV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SVV Butterfly Map → + Track SVV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

43.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SVV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SVV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SVV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SVV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #698 of 1009 ⚔️ REAL vs SVV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SVV vs. REAL, SBH, SPH, EZPW)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) ranks #698 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #461 by equity capitalization ($1.44B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBH leads on earnings valuation at 8.7x trailing P/E, while SBH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.9% ROIC and 51.6% gross margin. SBH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with SVV at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SVV ACTIVE Savers Value Village Inc.	D-	42/100	64.5x	—	9.3%	-0.11%	$1.44B	Benchmark Subject
REAL The RealReal Inc.	D-	40/100	—	74.6%	-27.4%	+8.86%	$1.49B	/real-vs-svv →
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.)	B+	78/100	8.7x	51.6%	38.9%	+1.43%	$1.70B	/sbh-vs-svv →
SPH Suburban Propane Partners L.P.	D+	55/100	11.2x	60.6%	8.4%	-0.89%	$1.20B	/sph-vs-svv →
EZPW EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting	C	63/100	16.3x	58.5%	10.5%	+2.24%	$1.73B	/ezpw-vs-svv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001883313 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.68B (+9.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.54B , and +11.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.6M, operating cash flow of $167.3M, and free cash flow of $48.6M (+71.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SVV closed FY2025 with $2.01B in total assets against $708.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.38, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-03	$1.68B	$22.6M	$167.3M	$48.6M	$2.01B	$708.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-12-28	$1.54B	$29.0M	$134.3M	$28.4M	$1.89B	$735.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-12-30	$1.50B	$53.1M	$175.2M	$175.2M	—	—

3. SVV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SVV compare to REAL and SBH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVV?

Where is SVV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SVV last traded at $9.30 (-0.11% on volume of 2,240,179 shares), positioning the stock -3.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.60) and -1.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.41). Across its 52-week range of $6.91 to $12.69, SVV sits at the 41.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($8.49 to $10.11).

Direct Sub-Reports: SVV RQD Cockpit SVV 12M Forecast SVV Earnings & Move SVV Dividends & DRIP SVV Insiders & 13F SVV Whale Options SVV Profit Sankey SVV News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SVV — Savers Value Village Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-01-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.30 (-0.11% 1D, market capitalization $1.44B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 7.4%, and free cash flow yield of 3.33%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.38, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.63x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Specialty Stores industry. Gross margin is reported as 0%, and operating margin as 7.4%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-03), Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) reported $1.68B in annual revenue (up from $1.54B in FY2024, +9.2% YoY) and $22.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.50B revenue, $53.1M net income) through FY2025, SVV scaled operating cash flow to $167.3M and free cash flow to $48.6M, backed by $2.01B in total assets against $708.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.33% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.91 – $12.69 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 64.5x trailing P/E and 9.3x EV/EBITDA against 7.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the Consumer Discretionary / Other Specialty Stores classification and the Beta of 1.0, which indicates market-level volatility. A prospective investor should watch how the stock responds to the lock-up expiry and the next earnings release, but the source does not establish any named supplier, customer, or peer linkage.

Key Question #1: Can SVV sustain or expand its 7.4% operating margin and 9.3% ROIC against Other Specialty Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.68B and free cash flow of $48.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $708.2M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is SVV's 60.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SVV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SVV Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 22h ago

Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Savers Value Village, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:SVV

TradingView report covering Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Transcript: Savers Value Village Q2 2026 Earnings Conference Call

Benzinga report covering Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Is Savers Value Village (SVV) Stock Pricing In Too Much Earnings Hope?

Yahoo Finance report covering Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Certain Common Stock of Savers Value Village, Inc. are subject to a Lock-Up Agreement Ending on 26-OCT-2026.

www.marketscreener.com report covering Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Savers Value Village, Inc. (NYSE:SVV) Stock Rated "Hold" by Wall Street Analysts

MarketBeat report covering Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE OTC Markets • 1d ago

SVV - Savers Value Village Inc. | News

OTC Markets report covering Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Savers Value Village (SVV) Faces A Valuation Test As Analysts Question Its Premium

Simply Wall St report covering Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SVV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SVV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.36 (+22.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The RQD cash engine pillar scores 13/20 on a 9.3% ROIC and a 3.33% FCF yield, the strongest component of the rating.

Picked up a starter position in SVV in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $9.31. The RQD cash engine pillar scores 13/20 on a 9.3% ROIC and a 3.33% FCF yield, the strongest component of the rating.. Trading inside a $6.91–$12.69 52-week range with 3.33% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Other Specialty Stores multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 64.5x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Other Specialty Stores. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.91 (-15.0%)

Spot @ $9.31

A P/E (TTM) of 64.5 on EPS of 0.15, combined with an Altman Z of 1.38 and Debt/Equity of 1.63, leaves little margin for error.

Fading this rally in SVV at $9.31. A P/E (TTM) of 64.5 on EPS of 0.15, combined with an Altman Z of 1.38 and Debt/Equity of 1.63, leaves little margin for error.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $9.31 (52-wk range $6.91–$12.69), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.