FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.17 (-0.24% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #363 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.3% FCF Margin ($31.4M FCF) & 14.6% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling
While RAIL currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.31) and Max Pain ($4.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.65.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) slipped -0.24% to $4.17, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($3.85 – $14.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Nigeria report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AerCap (AER) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +43.55% and +13.92%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
CHICAGO, Oct. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL), a diversified manufacturer of railroad freight cars, today announced that it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results on Mo
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAIL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAIL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) ranks #363 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #365 by equity capitalization ($137.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with RAIL at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAIL
ACTIVE
FreightCar America Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 14.6% | 27.5% | -0.24% | $137.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | — | -0.35% | $339.2M | /fip-vs-rail → |
| GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 5.9x | 18.7% | 24.1% | +1.25% | $1.19B | /gbx-vs-rail → |
| TRN Trinity Industries Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 8.1x | — | 58.6% | +4.03% | $2.26B | /trn-vs-rail → |
| RVSN Rail Vision Ltd. Ordinary Share | E | 31/100 | — | 37.1% | -35.0% | -6.78% | $6.5M | /rvsn-vs-rail → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) reported GAAP revenue of $500.7M (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $557.7M , and +40.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $34.8M, and free cash flow of $31.4M (-21.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAIL closed FY2025 with $290.0M in total assets against $97.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $500.7M | $0 | $34.8M | $31.4M | $290.0M | $97.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $557.7M | $0 | $44.9M | $39.9M | $224.2M | $105.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $356.8M | $0 | $4.8M | $4.8M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.17 (-0.24% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #363 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
RAIL last traded at $4.17 (-0.24% on volume of 215,549 shares), positioning the stock -33.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.31) and -51.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.56). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $14.90, RAIL sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.7% ($3.72 to $4.62).
Why RAIL Stock slipped -0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, RAIL scores 37/100 with a letter grade of D- and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 14/20 (ROIC 27.5%; FCF yield 22.91%), which is the strongest pillar and suggests the business is generating meaningful returns on the capital it employs and cash relative to its market value. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), indicating weak institutional support in the source data. Insider conviction scores 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), a moderate reading. Macro regime fit scores 5/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), reflecting limited defensive characteristics. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 2/20 (Altman Z 1.75; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 8.5), the weakest reading and the main driver of the overall Sell verdict. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the high ROIC and cash-yield figures; the valuation tradeoff is that these strengths coexist with thin margins, a high leverage ratio, and a distressed-range Altman Z-Score. The rating therefore frames RAIL as a balance-sheet-dependent situation rather than a clean compounder, and the investor implication is that any cash-flow upside must be weighed against solvency risk and weak institutional flow.
FreightCar America Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company classified under the Industrials sector and the Railroads industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond this classification. Market capitalization is listed at $0.1B in the profile. Gross margin is reported at 14.6% and operating margin at 6.8% in the market data section.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $500.7M | $33.9M | $0.0M | N/A | $31.4M | N/A | $97.5M |
| FY 2024 | $557.7M | $37.3M | $0.0M | N/A | $39.9M | N/A | $105.5M |
| FY 2023 | $356.8M | $10.5M | $0.0M | N/A | $4.8M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $557.7M in FY 2024 to $500.7M in FY 2025, while operating income fell from $37.3M to $33.9M and debt fell from $105.5M to $97.5M. Reported net margin is 0% per the market data section. ROIC is listed at 27.5%, and the Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 1.75 and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 with a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.5. The Altman Z-Score figure and Piotroski score are presented in the forensic balance sheet pillar and indicate balance-sheet stress relative to the rating framework.
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Yahoo Finance report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Nigeria report covering FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the RAIL (FreightCar America Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Railroads. Bulls point to capital efficiency (27.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RAIL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 14.6% gross margins. Unless FreightCar America Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RAIL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Railroads and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.18 (52-wk range $3.85 - $14.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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