FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.86 -0.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.85

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $339.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FIP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (NASDAQ: FIP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.86 (-0.35% 1D, market cap $339.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FIP ranks #388 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FIP compare to RAIL and GBX in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), FIP carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RAIL (FreightCar America Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 27.5%, cap $137.1M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIP?
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Per FIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001899883), FTAI Infrastructure Inc. generated $502.5M in revenue (+51.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$398.5M in free cash flow against $5.75B in total assets and $3.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.85 (-0.25%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (7)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE FIP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FIP SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$2.58-10.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$2.32+8.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$2.51+13.9% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$2.86-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FIP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FIP currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.95) and Max Pain ($3.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.02.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FIP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
55.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE14% OF RANGE
L: $2$2.86H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on FIP

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (32)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FIP
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FIP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FIP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FIP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.04%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $2.81H $2.87L $2.81C $2.86VOL 1.50M
RES: $2.85SUP: $2.03SMA50: $2.95SMA200: $4.51
$6.02$4.99$3.96$2.94$1.91RES $2.85SUP $2.03$2.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +51.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIP)

Industrials Rank #388 of 485 ⚔️ RAIL vs FIP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FIP vs. RAIL, GBX, TRN, RVSN)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) ranks #388 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #319 by equity capitalization ($339.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with FIP at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FIP ACTIVE
FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
E 33/100 — — — -0.35% $339.2M Benchmark Subject
RAIL
FreightCar America Inc.
D- 37/100 — 14.6% 27.5% -0.24% $137.1M /rail-vs-fip →
GBX
Greenbrier Companies Inc.
D+ 56/100 5.9x 18.7% 24.1% +1.25% $1.19B /gbx-vs-fip →
TRN
Trinity Industries Inc.
C- 59/100 8.1x — 58.6% +4.03% $2.26B /trn-vs-fip →
RVSN
Rail Vision Ltd. Ordinary Share
E 31/100 — 37.1% -35.0% -6.78% $6.5M /rvsn-vs-fip →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001899883

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) reported GAAP revenue of $502.5M (+51.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $331.5M , and +56.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$118.0M, and free cash flow of -$398.5M (-320.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIP closed FY2025 with $5.75B in total assets against $3.71B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $502.5M $0 -$118.0M -$398.5M $5.75B $3.71B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $331.5M $0 -$15.3M -$94.8M $2.37B $1.54B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $320.5M $0 $5.5M $5.5M — —

3. FIP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (NASDAQ: FIP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.86 (-0.35% 1D, market cap $339.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FIP ranks #388 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FIP compare to RAIL and GBX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), FIP carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RAIL (FreightCar America Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 27.5%, cap $137.1M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIP?

Per FIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001899883), FTAI Infrastructure Inc. generated $502.5M in revenue (+51.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$398.5M in free cash flow against $5.75B in total assets and $3.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FIP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIP last traded at $2.86 (-0.35% on volume of 1,577,909 shares), positioning the stock -3.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.95) and -36.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.51). Across its 52-week range of $2.23 to $6.69, FIP sits at the 14.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.50 to $3.22).

FIP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FIP stock right now?

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 33/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is FIP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FIP's 12-month base price target is $2.54 (range $1.98 to $7.02), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FIP — FTAI Infrastructure Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:38:12Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FIP scores 33 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 7 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 3 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 8.5). Taken together, the cash-engine and balance-sheet pillars weigh most heavily against the stock: the reported ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, the Piotroski F-Score is 2 of 9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 8.5. For a prospective investor, the rating points to low upside drivers from current operating economics, a valuation case that cannot be anchored to earnings or cash flow using the source data, and elevated forensic risk relative to the balance sheet. The 7/20 institutional-flow score and 9/20 insider-conviction score indicate only partial positive signal from ownership activity. The rating is an analytical summary of the cited inputs and is not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$502.5M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-398.5M$57.4M$3708.7M
FY 2024$331.5M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-94.8M$27.8M$1539.2M
FY 2023$320.5M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$5.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income and operating income are $0.0M in each listed period, and EPS is N/A. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data, and ROIC is 0%. Free cash flow was negative in FY 2025 ($-398.5M) and FY 2024 ($-94.8M), while debt rose from $1539.2M to $3708.7M over the same span. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 8.5, which together describe a stretched balance sheet.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six news items are listed, all relating to FIP. Items are tagged by the source as RED (RISK WATCH) or YELLOW (MARKET WIRE). The headlines report that the stock was falling in one item and describe a "Cash-Burning Stock" in another, while a 0.4% price decline is noted in a MarketBeat item and a stock price advance is implied by the market data's 2.13% change. A Globe and Mail item frames the company as one of two profitable stocks with competitive advantages and one that underwhelms; the sign and classification of FIP in that headline is not further specified in the source. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Industrials, the industry is Railroads, the supply chain is listed as NONE, and no butterfly links or proprietary signals are provided. The strongest cautionary item is the RED-tagged RISK WATCH headline.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific revenue sources, customers, and business segments behind the $502.5M FY 2025 revenue figure?
  • Why are reported net income and operating income $0.0M despite revenue of $502.5M, and what drives the zero reported margins?
  • How is the $3708.7M debt load structured (maturities, interest costs, covenants), and how will the FY 2025 negative free cash flow of $-398.5M be financed?
  • What explains the missing FY 2023 cash and debt figures, and does the FY 2023 FCF of $5.5M reflect a durable trend?
  • What forward earnings or valuation estimates exist, given that P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are all unavailable?

FIP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FIP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FIP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.86?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FIP 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FIP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.53 (-11.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FIP (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $2.87?

Welcome to the FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Railroads. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.30 (-19.9%)
Spot @ $2.87

Pump the brakes on FIP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FIP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless FTAI Infrastructure Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.39 (+18.1%)
Spot @ $2.87

FIP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FIP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Railroads and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.87 (52-wk range $2.23 - $6.69), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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