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Stock Ratings / Industrials / RAIL / insiders
FIP (33) GBX (56) TRN (59) RVSN (31) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$4.17 -0.24% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $137.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RAIL Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RAIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.17 (-0.24% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #363 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RAIL compare to FIP and GBX in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $339.2M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAIL?
β–Ό

Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 6.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk E
Cash (14)Whales (3)SEC (3)Macro (5)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$16 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RAIL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RAIL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RAIL SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (38% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.3% FCF Margin ($31.4M FCF) & 14.6% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (35% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$6.28-6.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$5.85-24.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$4.40-5.2% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$4.17-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RAIL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While RAIL currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.31) and Max Pain ($4.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.65.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RAILβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRAIL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

RAIL Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (RAIL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on RAIL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RAIL)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of RAIL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RAIL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.26%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $4.18H $4.18L $4.17C $4.17VOL 250.3K
RES: $6.69SUP: $3.38SMA50: $6.31SMA200: $8.56
$10.74$8.87$7.01$5.14$3.27RES $6.69SUP $3.38$4.172026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RAIL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ RAIL Butterfly Map β†’ + Track RAIL β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAIL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAIL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RAIL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RAIL)

Industrials Rank #363 of 485 βš”οΈ FIP vs RAIL Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (RAIL vs. FIP, GBX, TRN, RVSN)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) ranks #363 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #365 by equity capitalization ($137.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. TRN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with RAIL at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RAIL ACTIVE
FreightCar America Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” 14.6% 27.5% -0.24% $137.1M Benchmark Subject
FIP
FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
E 33/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.35% $339.2M /fip-vs-rail β†’
GBX
Greenbrier Companies Inc.
D+ 56/100 5.9x 18.7% 24.1% +1.25% $1.19B /gbx-vs-rail β†’
TRN
Trinity Industries Inc.
C- 59/100 8.1x β€” 58.6% +4.03% $2.26B /trn-vs-rail β†’
RVSN
Rail Vision Ltd. Ordinary Share
E 31/100 β€” 37.1% -35.0% -6.78% $6.5M /rvsn-vs-rail β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001320854

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) reported GAAP revenue of $500.7M (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $557.7M , and +40.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $34.8M, and free cash flow of $31.4M (-21.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAIL closed FY2025 with $290.0M in total assets against $97.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $500.7M $0 $34.8M $31.4M $290.0M $97.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $557.7M $0 $44.9M $39.9M $224.2M $105.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $356.8M $0 $4.8M $4.8M β€” β€”

3. RAIL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RAIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.17 (-0.24% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #363 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RAIL compare to FIP and GBX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $339.2M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAIL?

Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RAIL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAIL last traded at $4.17 (-0.24% on volume of 215,549 shares), positioning the stock -33.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.31) and -51.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.56). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $14.90, RAIL sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.7% ($3.72 to $4.62).

RAIL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are RAIL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies RAIL leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: RAIL RQD Cockpit RAIL 12M Forecast RAIL Earnings & Move RAIL Dividends & DRIP RAIL Insiders & 13F RAIL Whale Options RAIL Profit Sankey RAIL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RAIL β€” FreightCar America Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RAIL scores 37/100 with a letter grade of D- and the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 14/20 (ROIC 27.5%; FCF yield 22.91%), which is the strongest pillar and suggests the business is generating meaningful returns on the capital it employs and cash relative to its market value. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), indicating weak institutional support in the source data. Insider conviction scores 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), a moderate reading. Macro regime fit scores 5/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), reflecting limited defensive characteristics. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 2/20 (Altman Z 1.75; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 8.5), the weakest reading and the main driver of the overall Sell verdict. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the high ROIC and cash-yield figures; the valuation tradeoff is that these strengths coexist with thin margins, a high leverage ratio, and a distressed-range Altman Z-Score. The rating therefore frames RAIL as a balance-sheet-dependent situation rather than a clean compounder, and the investor implication is that any cash-flow upside must be weighed against solvency risk and weak institutional flow.

Business

FreightCar America Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company classified under the Industrials sector and the Railroads industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond this classification. Market capitalization is listed at $0.1B in the profile. Gross margin is reported at 14.6% and operating margin at 6.8% in the market data section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$500.7M$33.9M$0.0MN/A$31.4MN/A$97.5M
FY 2024$557.7M$37.3M$0.0MN/A$39.9MN/A$105.5M
FY 2023$356.8M$10.5M$0.0MN/A$4.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $557.7M in FY 2024 to $500.7M in FY 2025, while operating income fell from $37.3M to $33.9M and debt fell from $105.5M to $97.5M. Reported net margin is 0% per the market data section. ROIC is listed at 27.5%, and the Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 1.75 and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 with a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.5. The Altman Z-Score figure and Piotroski score are presented in the forensic balance sheet pillar and indicate balance-sheet stress relative to the rating framework.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Backlog cancellation (RED / RISK WATCH): A GuruFocus item reports the stock dropped 18% after a backlog cancellation.
  • Preliminary Q3 revenue (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A Stock Titan item reports preliminary third-quarter revenue of $75-$77 million versus $160.5 million in the prior comparable figure cited.
  • Securities fraud investigation (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A FinancialContent item reports an announced securities fraud investigation and solicitation of shareholders.
  • Aftermarket acquisition (GREEN / CATALYST): A Yahoo Finance item reports the company's third acquisition in less than a year to advance its aftermarket growth strategy.
  • Full-year 2026 outlook update (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance item reports an updated full-year 2026 outlook alongside preliminary Q3 2026 results.
  • Market movers (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A Seeking Alpha item lists RAIL among Tuesday's biggest stock movers.

The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain links and no proprietary signals, so no graph-derived signals are available.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's cash balance, given that cash is N/A across all reported periods?
  • What is the nature and size of the backlog cancellation, and how much of the reported revenue decline it explains?
  • What are the scope and potential financial implications of the announced securities fraud investigation?
  • Why is EPS and net income reported as $0.0M or N/A despite positive operating income, and how is the 0% net margin reconciled?
  • What is the composition of debt and its maturity profile, given the Debt/Equity ratio of 8.5?

RAIL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RAIL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RAIL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $4.17?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RAIL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RAIL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.68 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RAIL (D- β€’ RQD 37/100) a Buy at $4.18?

Welcome to the RAIL (FreightCar America Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Railroads. Bulls point to capital efficiency (27.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.51 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $4.18

Pump the brakes on RAIL β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RAIL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 14.6% gross margins. Unless FreightCar America Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.97 (+18.9%)
Spot @ $4.18

RAIL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RAIL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Railroads and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.18 (52-wk range $3.85 - $14.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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