What is PTRN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PTRN.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PTRN / options

CNXN (60) GCT (81) NSIT (60) RVLV (65) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$16.62 +0.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.59

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.94B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PTRN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: PTRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.62 (+0.18% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTRN ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PTRN compare to CNXN and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), PTRN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.19B) and GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?

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Per PTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811935), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) generated $2.50B in revenue (+39.3% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and $78.9M in free cash flow against $947.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.59 (-0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PTRN SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.25 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.2% FCF Margin ($78.9M FCF) & 43.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (41.8) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$17.20+5.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$18.13-10.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$16.27+2.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$16.62-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, PTRN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.47) or 200D SMA ($17.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.40) toward Bear Floor ($12.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PTRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±9.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PTRN)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PTRN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PTRN)

✓Walkthrough of PTRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.03%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $16.89H $16.89L $16.59C $16.62VOL 1.26M

RES: $16.60SUP: $13.87SMA50: $18.47SMA200: $17.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PTRN Butterfly Map → + Track PTRN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +39.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTRN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #440 of 1011 ⚔️ CNXN vs PTRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTRN vs. CNXN, GCT, NSIT, RVLV)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) ranks #440 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #363 by equity capitalization ($2.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. GCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with PTRN at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PTRN ACTIVE Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)	D+	55/100	—	43.6%	6.9%	+0.18%	$2.94B	Benchmark Subject
CNXN PC Connection Inc.	C-	60/100	25.8x	18.8%	10.9%	-0.08%	$2.19B	/cnxn-vs-ptrn →
GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)	A-	81/100	15.8x	23.3%	85.0%	-1.58%	$2.08B	/gct-vs-ptrn →
NSIT Insight Enterprises Inc.	C-	60/100	33.3x	21.4%	6.0%	-3.46%	$5.07B	/nsit-vs-ptrn →
RVLV Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	26.6x	53.5%	26.6%	-1.92%	$1.59B	/rvlv-vs-ptrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001811935

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.50B (+39.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +83.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.2M, operating cash flow of $99.4M, and free cash flow of $78.9M (+58.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTRN closed FY2025 with $947.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.50B	$16.2M	$99.4M	$78.9M	$947.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.80B	$67.9M	$70.3M	$49.9M	$664.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.37B	$41.3M	$41.5M	$41.5M	—	—

3. PTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PTRN compare to CNXN and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?

Where is PTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PTRN last traded at $16.62 (+0.18% on volume of 1,046,014 shares), positioning the stock -10.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.47) and -5.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.54). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $29.80, PTRN sits at the 36.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($15.07 to $18.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: PTRN RQD Cockpit PTRN 12M Forecast PTRN Earnings & Move PTRN Dividends & DRIP PTRN Insiders & 13F PTRN Whale Options PTRN Profit Sankey PTRN News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PTRN — Pattern Group Inc. (Series A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:25Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PTRN carries an RQD score of 55, a letter grade of D+, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are scored as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 15 of 20, with ROIC at 6.9% and FCF yield at 2.63%. Whale 13F Flow scores 5 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 12 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 5 of 20, with beta at 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic Balance Sheet is the strongest pillar at 18 of 20, with Altman Z at 8.25, Piotroski F at 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the implication is a split profile. The balance sheet metrics indicate low forensic risk, which supports solvency. However, the cash-generation and sentiment pillars are weak, and the verdict is a trim signal. The 2.63% FCF yield and 6.9% ROIC provide limited return support at the current $16.89 price, and the 63.2 EV/EBITDA multiple is a material valuation tradeoff against that cash return. Upside would depend on improved cash conversion and stronger institutional or insider conviction, neither of which the source data demonstrates.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Per the market data, gross margin is 43.6%, operating margin is 1%, and net margin is 0.6%.

Revenue grew from $1.37B in FY 2023 to $2.50B in FY 2025, but net income fell from $67.9M in FY 2024 to $16.2M in FY 2025, and operating margin compressed to 1% per the market data. ROIC is 6.9% per the market data. The Altman Z-Score is 8.25 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9, both . Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same source. Reported FY 2025 cash is $289.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20 with Altman Z at 8.25 and Piotroski F at 7 of 9, indicating low solvency risk. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 6.9%, FCF yield 2.63%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $8.92 – $29.80 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Net income fell to $16.2M in FY 2025 from $67.9M in FY 2024, while EV/EBITDA sits at 63.2 against a 2.63% FCF yield. Investors must weigh current valuation and 63.2x EV/EBITDA against 1.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Catalog/Specialty Distribution (Consumer Discretionary), PTRN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 43.6%.

Key Question #1: What is the company's specific product set and revenue model within Catalog/Specialty Distribution?
Key Question #2: What explains the drop in FY 2025 net income to $16.2M from $67.9M in FY 2024 despite higher revenue?
Key Question #3: What are the reported debt balances underlying the 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio?

PTRN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PTRN Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Keybanc Maintains Overweight on Pattern Group, Lowers Price Target to $25

Keybanc analyst Justin Patterson maintains Pattern Group (NASDAQ:PTRN) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $30 to $25.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 4d ago

Maplebear (CART) Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates

Maplebear (CART) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -6.25% and +2.06%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 12d ago

Pattern Recognized as a 2026 Inc. Power Partner Award Winner for the Fifth Consecutive Year

LEHI, Utah, October 21, 2026--Pattern Group Inc. (Nasdaq: PTRN) has been named a 2026 Inc. Power Partner Awards winner, its fifth consecutive year receiving the honor.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 26d ago

Pattern to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

LEHI, Utah, October 07, 2026--Pattern Group Inc. (Nasdaq: PTRN) ("Pattern"), a leader in accelerating brands on global ecommerce marketplaces, announced today that it will report third quarter 2026 financial results for

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 68d ago

Pattern to Present at Upcoming Investor Conference

LEHI, Utah, August 26, 2026--Pattern (PTRN) to present at Goldman Sachs Communacopia & Tech Conference Sept 11; webcast live at investors.pattern.com.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 79d ago

Pattern Group (PTRN) Posts Record Q2 As Pattern Intelligence Debuts And Patent Lands

Pattern Group (NasdaqGS:PTRN) reports record Q2 results with strong revenue and EBITDA, supported by expansion across international and non-Amazon channels. The company launches Pattern Intelligence, a new platform aimed

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 88d ago

Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby summary of Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock's Q2 2026 earnings call

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 89d ago

Pattern Group Inc (PTRN) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and NRR Fuel Raised ...

Yahoo Finance coverage on PTRN stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PTRN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PTRN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.40 (+29.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20 with Altman Z at 8.25 and Piotroski F at 7 of 9, indicating low solvency risk.

The street is overcomplicating Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN). Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20 with Altman Z at 8.25 and Piotroski F at 7 of 9, indicating low solvency risk.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $17.92.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 55/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $16.59 and keeping dry powder in case we test $15.43.

CR CreditSpread_Watch Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.11 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $16.59

Net income fell to $16.2M in FY 2025 from $67.9M in FY 2024, while EV/EBITDA sits at 63.2 against a 2.63% FCF yield.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short PTRN above $16.59. Net income fell to $16.2M in FY 2025 from $67.9M in FY 2024, while EV/EBITDA sits at 63.2 against a 2.63% FCF yield.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (2.63%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $29.80.