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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CNXN
GCT (81) PTRN (55) RVLV (65) LUXE (58) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$86.83 +1.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.89

PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.19B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNXN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, PC Connection Inc. (NASDAQ: CNXN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $86.83 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $2.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNXN ranks #326 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNXN compare to GCT and PTRN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CNXN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.8x, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B) and PTRN (Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.9%, cap $2.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNXN?
▼

Per CNXN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001050377), PC Connection Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $83.7M in net income, and $58.0M in free cash flow against $1.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.88 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$103 Bull$88 Base$68 Bear
📬 FREE CNXN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNXN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CNXN SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.96 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2% FCF Margin ($58.0M FCF) & 18.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.5) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$95.22-9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$86.58+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$88.58-2% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$86.83+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CNXN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, CNXN faces multiple-compression risk if 25.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.13) or 200D SMA ($72.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($87.61) toward Bear Floor ($68.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNXN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CNXN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
45.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
6.96>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE76% OF RANGE
L: $55$86.83H: $97
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (19% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CNXN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

10.9% ROIC with 18.8% gross margin and 2.69% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 6.96 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (53)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CNXN
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CNXN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CNXN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.31%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $85.62H $86.83L $85.62C $86.83VOL 246.7K
RES: $99.39SUP: $84.02SMA50: $87.13SMA200: $72.66
$99.42$89.01$78.60$68.18$57.77RES $99.39SUP $84.02$86.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNXN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNXN Butterfly Map → + Track CNXN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNXN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNXN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNXN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNXN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #326 of 1011 ⚔️ GCT vs CNXN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNXN vs. GCT, PTRN, RVLV, LUXE)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) ranks #326 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #404 by equity capitalization ($2.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. GCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with CNXN at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNXN ACTIVE
PC Connection Inc.
C- 60/100 25.8x 18.8% 10.9% +1.41% $2.19B Benchmark Subject
GCT
GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)
A- 81/100 15.8x 23.3% 85.0% -3.69% $2.08B /gct-vs-cnxn →
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)
D+ 55/100 — 43.6% 6.9% -1.78% $2.94B /ptrn-vs-cnxn →
RVLV
Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 26.6x 53.5% 26.6% -2.86% $1.59B /rvlv-vs-cnxn →
LUXE
LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share
D+ 58/100 — — — +1.26% $1.35B /luxe-vs-cnxn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001050377

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.87B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.80B , and +0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $83.7M, operating cash flow of $65.4M, and free cash flow of $58.0M (-65.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNXN closed FY2025 with $1.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.96, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.87B $83.7M $65.4M $58.0M $1.35B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.80B $87.1M $173.9M $166.3M $1.30B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.85B $83.3M $198.0M $198.0M — —

3. CNXN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PC Connection Inc. (NASDAQ: CNXN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $86.83 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $2.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNXN ranks #326 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNXN compare to GCT and PTRN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CNXN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.8x, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B) and PTRN (Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.9%, cap $2.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNXN?

Per CNXN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001050377), PC Connection Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $83.7M in net income, and $58.0M in free cash flow against $1.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNXN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNXN last traded at $86.83 (+1.41% on volume of 246,686 shares), positioning the stock -0.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($87.13) and +19.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.66). Across its 52-week range of $54.97 to $96.91, CNXN sits at the 76.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($81.10 to $92.56).

Direct Sub-Reports: CNXN RQD Cockpit CNXN 12M Forecast CNXN Earnings & Move CNXN Dividends & DRIP CNXN Insiders & 13F CNXN Whale Options CNXN Profit Sankey CNXN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CNXN — PC Connection Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:26:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CNXN scores 60 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.9% and an FCF yield of 2.69%. For an investor, the return on invested capital is respectable, but the free cash flow yield is modest relative to the stock's valuation multiples.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is modestly below midpoint.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is assessed here. The stock's beta matches the broader market, so it offers no defensive cushion or amplified upside on macro moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, citing an Altman Z of 6.96, a Piotroski F of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. This suggests a balance sheet that is not a near-term solvency concern, though the Piotroski reading signals mixed fundamental-quality momentum.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose balance sheet is its clearest strength, while valuation, institutional flow, and macro fit provide less support. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash generation or stronger institutional interest. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the elevated P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples relative to the thin margins reported. The verdict of "Hold" reflects this balance of a solid balance sheet against limited near-term catalysts for re-rating.

Business

PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) is listed on NASDAQ and operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $2.2B. Details on specific products, customer segments, and revenue mechanics are —

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the headlines include:

  • A Yahoo Finance report questioning whether the stock is already pricing in too much earnings optimism (flagged YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A TradingView estimates report (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Yahoo Finance report describing the stock shrugging off a Q3 earnings beat as cash questions linger (GREEN, CATALYST).
  • A MarketBeat report on the stock hitting a new 1-year high (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Stock Titan report on a 25,000-unit stock grant for the COO vesting over four years (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Simply Wall St report on the stock price slipping despite record Q3 earnings (GREEN, CATALYST).

Risk watch items per the feed center on cash-flow questions and whether earnings expectations are already priced in. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain field is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is therefore — Sector classification (Consumer Discretionary / Catalog/Specialty Distribution) is the only sector context provided. Sector correlation data and 2nd-order bottleneck analysis are —

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: —

Holders data (13F, SEC Form 4, Congressional trades): —

Open Questions

  • What is the drivers behind the decline in free cash flow from $198.0M in FY 2023 to $58.0M in FY 2025, and is it operational or working-capital related?
  • What are the total debt and EPS figures for the reported periods, which the financials table lists as N/A?
  • How do the recent headlines questioning "earnings hope" and "cash questions" reconcile with the reported net income figures?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) ownership trends exist, given that holders data is absent?
  • What are the analyst consensus rating and price targets, given that analyst data is absent?

CNXN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNXN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNXN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $86.83?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNXN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNXN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $113.75 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 6.96 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, offering a strong financial foundation.

Don't sleep on CNXN's setup in Consumer Discretionary. The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 6.96 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, offering a strong financial foundation.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (60/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 25.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. If gross margin (18.8%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $71.20 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $86.83

Free cash flow fell from $198.0M in FY 2023 to $58.0M in FY 2025 while the stock trades at 25.8x TTM earnings.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CNXN: Free cash flow fell from $198.0M in FY 2023 to $58.0M in FY 2025 while the stock trades at 25.8x TTM earnings.. At 25.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Catalog/Specialty Distribution triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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