FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$16.62 +0.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.59

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.94B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PTRN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: PTRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.62 (+0.18% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTRN ranks #438 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PTRN compare to CNXN and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), PTRN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.19B) and GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?
▼

Per PTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811935), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) generated $2.50B in revenue (+39.3% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and $78.9M in free cash flow against $947.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (43.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.59 (-0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (5)SEC (18)Macro (5)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$31 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE PTRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PTRN SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.25 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.2% FCF Margin ($78.9M FCF) & 43.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (41.8) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$17.20+5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$18.13-10.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$16.27+2.2% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$16.62-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, PTRN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.47) or 200D SMA ($17.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.40) toward Bear Floor ($12.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PTRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $45,269

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $815/yr
$11.6K
Yr 1
$13.5K
Yr 2
$15.7K
Yr 3
$18.3K
Yr 4
$21.3K
Yr 5
$24.7K
Yr 6
$28.8K
Yr 7
$33.5K
Yr 8
$38.9K
Yr 9
$45.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PTRN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PTRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.03%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $16.89H $16.89L $16.59C $16.62VOL 1.26M
RES: $16.60SUP: $13.87SMA50: $18.47SMA200: $17.54
$31.03$25.93$20.82$15.71$10.61RES $16.60SUP $13.87$16.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +39.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTRN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #438 of 1009 ⚔️ CNXN vs PTRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTRN vs. CNXN, GCT, NSIT, RVLV)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) ranks #438 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #361 by equity capitalization ($2.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. GCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with PTRN at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PTRN ACTIVE
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)
D+ 55/100 — 43.6% 6.9% +0.18% $2.94B Benchmark Subject
CNXN
PC Connection Inc.
C- 60/100 25.8x 18.8% 10.9% -0.08% $2.19B /cnxn-vs-ptrn →
GCT
GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)
A- 81/100 15.8x 23.3% 85.0% -1.58% $2.08B /gct-vs-ptrn →
NSIT
Insight Enterprises Inc.
C- 60/100 33.3x 21.4% 6.0% -3.46% $5.07B /nsit-vs-ptrn →
RVLV
Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 26.6x 53.5% 26.6% -1.92% $1.59B /rvlv-vs-ptrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001811935 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.50B (+39.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +83.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.2M, operating cash flow of $99.4M, and free cash flow of $78.9M (+58.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTRN closed FY2025 with $947.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.50B $16.2M $99.4M $78.9M $947.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.80B $67.9M $70.3M $49.9M $664.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.37B $41.3M $41.5M $41.5M — —

3. PTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: PTRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.62 (+0.18% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTRN ranks #438 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PTRN compare to CNXN and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), PTRN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.19B) and GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?

Per PTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811935), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) generated $2.50B in revenue (+39.3% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and $78.9M in free cash flow against $947.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (43.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PTRN last traded at $16.62 (+0.18% on volume of 1,046,014 shares), positioning the stock -10.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.47) and -5.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.54). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $29.80, PTRN sits at the 36.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($15.07 to $18.17).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PTRN — Pattern Group Inc. (Series A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $16.62 (+0.18% 1D, market capitalization $2.94B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.9%, gross margin of 43.6%, operating margin of 1.0%, and free cash flow yield of 2.63%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.25, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Per the market data, gross margin is 43.6%, operating margin is 1%, and net margin is 0.6%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) reported $2.50B in annual revenue (up from $1.80B in FY2024, +39.3% YoY) and $16.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.37B revenue, $41.3M net income) through FY2025, PTRN scaled operating cash flow to $99.4M and free cash flow to $78.9M, backed by $947.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Strong cash generator (43.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.92 – $29.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 63.2x EV/EBITDA against 1.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Catalog/Specialty Distribution (Consumer Discretionary), PTRN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 43.6%.

  • Key Question #1: Can PTRN sustain or expand its 1.0% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC against Catalog/Specialty Distribution peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.50B and free cash flow of $78.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PTRN's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PTRN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PTRN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PTRN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PTRN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PTRN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.40 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20 with Altman Z at 8.25 and Piotroski F at 7 of 9, indicating low solvency risk.

The street is overcomplicating Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN). Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20 with Altman Z at 8.25 and Piotroski F at 7 of 9, indicating low solvency risk.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $17.92.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 55/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $16.59 and keeping dry powder in case we test $15.43.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.11 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $16.59

Net income fell to $16.2M in FY 2025 from $67.9M in FY 2024, while EV/EBITDA sits at 63.2 against a 2.63% FCF yield.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short PTRN above $16.59. Net income fell to $16.2M in FY 2025 from $67.9M in FY 2024, while EV/EBITDA sits at 63.2 against a 2.63% FCF yield.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (2.63%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $29.80.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%