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Permian Resources Corporation (PR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$24.56 -5.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.37

Permian Resources Corporation (PR) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $21.79B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Permian Resources Corporation (NYSE: PR) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $24.56 (-5.61% 1D, market cap $21.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PR ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PR compare to EXE and TPL in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PR carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $20.91B) and TPL (Texas Pacific Land Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 25.9%, cap $22.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PR?
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Per PR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001658566), Permian Resources Corporation generated $5.07B in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $1.1M in net income, and $3.38B in free cash flow against $17.91B in total assets and $3.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.37 (-0.77%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 66.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (18)SEC (9)Macro (18)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$31 Bull$26 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE PR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PR SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 89% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 67.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$24.06+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$24.84+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$25.52-3.8% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$24.56+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, PR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.54) or 200D SMA ($20.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($26.11) toward Bear Floor ($20.14).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $24.56: 407.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $20.14
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $26.11
$10,631
+$631 (+6.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $30.81
$12,545
+$2,545 (+25.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$2774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$2969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$2358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
PR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.06%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $25.57H $26.02L $24.56C $24.56VOL 6.08M
RES: $26.19SUP: $22.07SMA50: $23.54SMA200: $20.57
$26.81$23.74$20.68$17.61$14.55RES $26.19SUP $22.07$24.562026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PR Butterfly Map → + Track PR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
12.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PR)

Energy Rank #25 of 211 ⚔️ EXE vs PR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PR vs. EXE, TPL, OVV, APA)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Permian Resources Corporation (PR) ranks #25 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #43 by equity capitalization ($21.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXE leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while APA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. APA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with PR at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PR ACTIVE
Permian Resources Corporation
B 72/100 — — 8.5% -5.61% $21.79B Benchmark Subject
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation
C 65/100 11.5x — 8.5% -1.20% $20.91B /exe-vs-pr →
TPL
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
C 65/100 47.0x — 25.9% -0.52% $22.88B /tpl-vs-pr →
OVV
Ovintiv Inc.
B 74/100 16.3x — 5.7% -6.66% $20.53B /ovv-vs-pr →
APA
APA Corporation
A- 82/100 12.6x — 26.6% -7.57% $18.51B /apa-vs-pr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001658566 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Permian Resources Corporation (PR) reported GAAP revenue of $5.07B (+1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.00B , and +62.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.1M, operating cash flow of $3.61B, and free cash flow of $3.38B (+6.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, PR closed FY2025 with $17.91B in total assets against $3.55B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.66, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.07B $1.1M $3.61B $3.38B $17.91B $3.55B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.00B $1.3M $3.41B $3.19B $16.90B $4.18B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.12B $879.7K $2.21B $2.07B $11.78B $2.76B

3. PR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Permian Resources Corporation (NYSE: PR) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $24.56 (-5.61% 1D, market cap $21.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PR ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PR compare to EXE and TPL in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PR carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $20.91B) and TPL (Texas Pacific Land Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 25.9%, cap $22.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PR?

Per PR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001658566), Permian Resources Corporation generated $5.07B in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $1.1M in net income, and $3.38B in free cash flow against $17.91B in total assets and $3.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PR last traded at $24.56 (-5.61% on volume of 10,285,332 shares), positioning the stock +4.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.54) and +19.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($20.57). Across its 52-week range of $12.06 to $26.07, PR sits at the 89.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($23.31 to $25.81).

Direct Sub-Reports: PR RQD Cockpit PR 12M Forecast PR Earnings & Move PR Dividends & DRIP PR Insiders & 13F PR Whale Options PR Profit Sankey PR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PR — Permian Resources Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Permian Resources Corporation (PR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $24.56 (-5.61% 1D, market capitalization $21.79B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 28.9%, and free cash flow yield of 15.78%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (18/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.66, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.34x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Permian Resources Corporation (PR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, within the Oil & Gas Production industry..4B. Revenue of $5.07B for FY 2025 is reported in the SEC financials section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Permian Resources Corporation (PR) reported $5.07B in annual revenue (up from $5.00B in FY2024, +1.3% YoY) and $1.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.12B revenue, $879.7K net income) through FY2025, PR scaled operating cash flow to $3.61B and free cash flow to $3.38B, backed by $17.91B in total assets against $3.55B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 15.78% and institutional whale pillar of 18/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.06 – $26.07 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 15.0x EV/EBITDA against 28.9% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals for PR, so supply-chain dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context provided is Energy / Oil & Gas Production. The FY 2025 decline in cash and debt is visible in the SEC financials but its drivers are not described.

  • Key Question #1: Can PR sustain or expand its 28.9% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.07B and free cash flow of $3.38B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.55B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PR's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?

PR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Permian Resources Corporation (PR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $24.56?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.70 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Macro fit (19/20) and institutional accumulation (18/20) support the rating, alongside a 15.78% FCF yield.

Here is why I am bullish on PR here at $26.02: Macro fit (19/20) and institutional accumulation (18/20) support the rating, alongside a 15.78% FCF yield.. Compare PR's 28.9% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against the rest of Oil & Gas Production. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $24.72 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PR's 9/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.08 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $26.02

The forensic balance-sheet pillar scores only 9/20 and net income is just $1.1M in FY 2025 despite $1.46B operating income.

I respect the product at Permian Resources Corporation, but the stock at $26.02 is a different story. The forensic balance-sheet pillar scores only 9/20 and net income is just $1.1M in FY 2025 despite $1.46B operating income.. FCF yield is 15.78% and RQD sits at 72/100 (B) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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