Progyny Inc. (PGNY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$29.19 +2.78% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.41

Progyny Inc. (PGNY) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (24% profit margin, 17% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ β€’ BUY Cap $2.24B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PGNY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Progyny Inc. (NASDAQ: PGNY) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $29.19 (+2.78% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, PGNY ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PGNY compare to AGL and SHC in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Misc Health and Biotechnology Services), PGNY carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.2x, gross margin of 23.6%, and ROIC of 16.7%. By comparison, AGL (agilon health inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.43B) and SHC (Sotera Health Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 68.5x, ROIC 3.1%, cap $5.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DVA leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while DVA leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PGNY?
β–Ό

Per PGNY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001551306), Progyny Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $58.5M in net income, and $191.8M in free cash flow against $742.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.41 (+0.74%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 14.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B+
025507510079
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- Β· Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (16)SEC (15)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.5% Base Target
$38 Bull$32 Base$24 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PGNY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PGNY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PGNY SCORES 79/100 (B+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.9% FCF Margin ($191.8M FCF) & 23.6% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.3% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.9) create a -5 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$27.39+4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$28.58-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$27.72+5.3% Next Q
Current
79
Grade B+$29.19+8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (71) β†’ B+ (79)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PGNY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, PGNY faces multiple-compression risk if 37.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 21.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.01) or 200D SMA ($24.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.95) toward Bear Floor ($23.94).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PGNYβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPGNY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PGNY)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PGNY.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PGNY & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PGNY
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PGNY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.36%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $28.40H $29.19L $28.40C $29.19VOL 807.8K
RES: $28.93SUP: $23.80SMA50: $27.01SMA200: $24.40
$34.12$29.72$25.31$20.91$16.50RES $28.93SUP $23.80$29.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PGNY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
28.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PGNY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PGNY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PGNY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PGNY)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (PGNY vs. AGL, SHC, DVA, FMS)

Industry: Misc Health and Biotechnology Services (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Progyny Inc. (PGNY) ranks #19 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #237 by equity capitalization ($2.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DVA leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while DVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. PGNY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PGNY ACTIVE
Progyny Inc.
B+ 79/100 37.2x 23.6% 16.7% +2.78% $2.24B Benchmark Subject
AGL
agilon health inc.
D- 36/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -1.21% $1.43B /agl-vs-pgny β†’
SHC
Sotera Health Company
D 49/100 68.5x 55.5% 3.1% -2.94% $5.18B /shc-vs-pgny β†’
DVA
DaVita Inc.
B 74/100 11.4x β€” 29.2% -3.01% $11.79B /dva-vs-pgny β†’
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care AG American
D+ 57/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -2.85% $12.55B /fms-vs-pgny β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001551306

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Progyny Inc. (PGNY) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (+10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and +18.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $58.5M, operating cash flow of $210.2M, and free cash flow of $191.8M (+10.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PGNY closed FY2025 with $742.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.84, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.29B $58.5M $210.2M $191.8M $742.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.17B $54.3M $179.1M $173.7M $607.1M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.09B $62.0M $188.8M $188.8M β€” β€”

3. PGNY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PGNY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Progyny Inc. (NASDAQ: PGNY) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $29.19 (+2.78% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, PGNY ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PGNY compare to AGL and SHC in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Misc Health and Biotechnology Services), PGNY carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.2x, gross margin of 23.6%, and ROIC of 16.7%. By comparison, AGL (agilon health inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.43B) and SHC (Sotera Health Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 68.5x, ROIC 3.1%, cap $5.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DVA leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while DVA leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PGNY?

Per PGNY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001551306), Progyny Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $58.5M in net income, and $191.8M in free cash flow against $742.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PGNY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PGNY last traded at $29.19 (+2.78% on volume of 807,773 shares), positioning the stock +8.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.01) and +19.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.40). Across its 52-week range of $16.10 to $33.06, PGNY sits at the 77.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.3% ($27.06 to $31.32).

PGNY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is PGNY's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PGNY.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 79/100 (B+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PGNY β€” Progyny Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:26:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PGNY scores 78 out of 100, earning a B+ grade and the verdict label "Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 16.7% and an FCF yield of 8.8%. For an investor, this is the strongest pillar and suggests the business converts capital into cash efficiently relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow (15/20): Institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source provides no 13F holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the score cannot be traced to specific holdings in the supplied data.
  • Insider Conviction (16/20): SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The supplied holders section contains no insider transactions, so this score cannot be independently verified from the provided sources.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20): Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level volatility relative to the broader market; an investor should weigh this against the 52-week range of $16.1 – $33.06.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Altman Z-Score of 8.84, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These point to a financially sound balance sheet by the cited metrics.

Investor implications: The valuation tradeoff is material. At a P/E (TTM) of 37.2 and forward P/E of 34.6, the stock prices in substantial future earnings growth relative to the trailing EPS of 0.76. Upside drivers cited in the data include strong cash conversion and balance sheet metrics; the primary valuation risk is that a premium multiple leaves limited margin for execution misses. The RQD rating is a composite framework score and does not constitute a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
28.4$2.18B37.234.620.50.760%1.0$16.1 - $33.0616.7%

Business

Progyny Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Health Care sector, operating in the Misc Health and Biotechnology Services industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or specific revenue model. Per the SEC financials, the company generated FY 2025 revenue of $1288.7M, indicating scale in its reported operations.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1288.7M$85.3M$58.5MN/A$191.8M$112.2MN/A
FY 2024$1167.2M$67.5M$54.3MN/A$173.7M$162.3MN/A
FY 2023$1088.6M$62.2M$62.0MN/A$188.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1088.6M (FY 2023) to $1288.7M (FY 2025) and operating income rose from $62.2M to $85.3M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.6%, operating margin 6.6%, and net margin 4.5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 16.7%, and the forensic balance sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 8.84 and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9. Cash declined from $162.3M (FY 2024) to $112.2M (FY 2025), and debt figures are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Catalyst (GREEN): Yahoo Finance report "Why Are Progyny (PGNY) Shares Soaring Today," published 1h before the data timestamp, cites market action and fundamental catalysts.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): Stocktwits coverage, 3h prior, of market action and institutional positioning.
  • Risk Watch (RED): Trefis piece "What Does Progyny's Falling Multiple Really Say?", 6h prior, flags multiple compression as a risk item.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): ChartMill, 9h prior, references a bull flag technical setup.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): Yahoo Finance, 12h prior, notes a 56% run in the stock.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): GuruFocus, 15h prior, reports a gain of 1.2 million covered lives and a 6% share rise.

The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the supplied data. Investors should note that the absence of graph links means ripple effects are not quantified here. Sector context is limited to the Health Care classification and the beta of 1.0.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported EPS and debt figures? The financials show EPS and debt as N/A across all periods, which prevents a direct leverage assessment.
  • Why did cash decline from $162.3M to $112.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 despite rising FCF, and what was the use of capital?
  • What drives the 37.2 trailing P/E and 34.6 forward P/E, and what earnings trajectory is assumed by the market?
  • What is the source of the 13F, insider, and Congressional flow signals underlying the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What does the company actually sell and to which customers, given that the business description is not in the source data?

PGNY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Progyny Inc. (PGNY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PGNY Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PGNY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $29.19?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PGNY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PGNY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $33.51 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PGNY (B+ β€’ RQD 78/100) a Buy at $28.40?

Welcome to the PGNY (Progyny Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 78/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Misc Health and Biotechnology Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.7% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (37.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.72 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $28.40

Pump the brakes on PGNY β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PGNY, but look at what you are paying: 37.2x trailing P/E with 23.6% gross margins. Unless Progyny Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $36.35 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $28.40

PGNY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PGNY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Misc Health and Biotechnology Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $28.40 (52-wk range $16.10 - $33.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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