Progyny Inc. (PGNY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.3% Move

$29.41 +0.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.52

Progyny Inc. (PGNY) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (24% profit margin, 17% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $2.24B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PGNY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Progyny Inc. (NASDAQ: PGNY) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $29.41 (+0.75% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, PGNY ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PGNY compare to AGL and SHC in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Misc Health and Biotechnology Services), PGNY carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.2x, gross margin of 23.6%, and ROIC of 16.7%. By comparison, AGL (agilon health inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.43B) and SHC (Sotera Health Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 68.5x, ROIC 3.1%, cap $5.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DVA leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while DVA leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PGNY?
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Per PGNY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001551306), Progyny Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $58.5M in net income, and $191.8M in free cash flow against $742.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.52 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 14.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510079
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (16)SEC (15)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.5% Base Target
$38 Bull$32 Base$24 Bear
📬 FREE PGNY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PGNY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PGNY SCORES 79/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.9% FCF Margin ($191.8M FCF) & 23.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.9) create a -5 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$27.39+4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$28.58-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$27.72+6.1% Next Q
Current
79
Grade B+$29.41+8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → B+ (79)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PGNY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, PGNY faces multiple-compression risk if 37.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 21.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.01) or 200D SMA ($24.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.19) toward Bear Floor ($24.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PGNY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PGNY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.3% Swing Band

±$2.15 Expected Swing
$27.26 (-7.3%)Spot $29.41$31.56 (+7.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PGNY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 79/100

Trailing EPS: $0.76 • YoY Revenue Growth: 10.4%

Model Bullish Setup (79/100)Model Risk Weight (21/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.29B$58.5M$191.8M23.6%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.17B$54.3M$173.7M21.7%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.09B$62.0M$188.8M23.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PGNY & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PGNY
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PGNY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +55.53%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $28.40H $29.41L $28.40C $29.41VOL 807.8K
RES: $23.52SUP: $23.80SMA50: $27.01SMA200: $24.40
$34.12$29.72$25.31$20.91$16.50RES $23.52SUP $23.80$29.412026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PGNY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
28.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PGNY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PGNY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PGNY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PGNY)

Health Care Rank #19 of 1016 ⚔️ AGL vs PGNY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (PGNY vs. AGL, SHC, DVA, FMS)

Industry: Misc Health and Biotechnology Services (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Progyny Inc. (PGNY) ranks #19 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #237 by equity capitalization ($2.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DVA leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while DVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PGNY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PGNY ACTIVE
Progyny Inc.
B+ 79/100 37.2x 23.6% 16.7% +0.75% $2.24B Benchmark Subject
AGL
agilon health inc.
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% +2.04% $1.43B /agl-vs-pgny →
SHC
Sotera Health Company
D 49/100 68.5x 55.5% 3.1% -2.26% $5.18B /shc-vs-pgny →
DVA
DaVita Inc.
B 74/100 11.4x — 29.2% -0.94% $11.79B /dva-vs-pgny →
FMS
Fresenius Medical Care AG American
D+ 57/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.62% $12.55B /fms-vs-pgny →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001551306

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Progyny Inc. (PGNY) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (+10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and +18.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $58.5M, operating cash flow of $210.2M, and free cash flow of $191.8M (+10.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PGNY closed FY2025 with $742.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.84, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.29B $58.5M $210.2M $191.8M $742.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.17B $54.3M $179.1M $173.7M $607.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.09B $62.0M $188.8M $188.8M — —

3. PGNY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PGNY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Progyny Inc. (NASDAQ: PGNY) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $29.41 (+0.75% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, PGNY ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PGNY compare to AGL and SHC in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Misc Health and Biotechnology Services), PGNY carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.2x, gross margin of 23.6%, and ROIC of 16.7%. By comparison, AGL (agilon health inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.43B) and SHC (Sotera Health Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 68.5x, ROIC 3.1%, cap $5.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DVA leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while DVA leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PGNY?

Per PGNY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001551306), Progyny Inc. generated $1.29B in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $58.5M in net income, and $191.8M in free cash flow against $742.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PGNY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PGNY last traded at $29.41 (+0.75% on volume of 1,351,262 shares), positioning the stock +8.89% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.01) and +20.53% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.40). Across its 52-week range of $16.10 to $33.06, PGNY sits at the 78.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($27.26 to $31.56).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 79/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PGNY — Progyny Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:26:28Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PGNY scores 78 out of 100, earning a B+ grade and the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 16.7% and an FCF yield of 8.8%. For an investor, this is the strongest pillar and suggests the business converts capital into cash efficiently relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow (15/20): Institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source provides no 13F holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the score cannot be traced to specific holdings in the supplied data.
  • Insider Conviction (16/20): SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The supplied holders section contains no insider transactions, so this score cannot be independently verified from the provided sources.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20): Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level volatility relative to the broader market; an investor should weigh this against the 52-week range of $16.1 – $33.06.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Altman Z-Score of 8.84, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These point to a financially sound balance sheet by the cited metrics.

Investor implications: The valuation tradeoff is material. At a P/E (TTM) of 37.2 and forward P/E of 34.6, the stock prices in substantial future earnings growth relative to the trailing EPS of 0.76. Upside drivers cited in the data include strong cash conversion and balance sheet metrics; the primary valuation risk is that a premium multiple leaves limited margin for execution misses. The RQD rating is a composite framework score and does not constitute a recommendation.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Progyny Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Health Care sector, operating in the Misc Health and Biotechnology Services industry. The company generated FY 2025 revenue of $1.29B, indicating scale in its reported operations.

Revenue rose from $1.09B (FY 2023) to $1.29B (FY 2025) and operating income rose from $62.2M to $85.3M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.6%, operating margin 6.6%, and net margin 4.5%. ROIC is 16.7%, and the forensic balance sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 8.84 and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9. Cash declined from $162.3M (FY 2024) to $112.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Strong cash engine with 16.7% ROIC and 8.8% FCF yield, supported by an 8.84 Altman Z-Score. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 (ROIC 16.7%, FCF yield 8.80%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $16.10 – $33.06 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: A 37.2 trailing P/E and declining cash balance leave little valuation margin if execution slips. Investors must weigh 37.2x trailing P/E and 20.5x EV/EBITDA against 6.6% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the supplied data. Investors should note that the absence of graph links means ripple effects are not quantified here. Sector context is limited to the Health Care classification and the beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Why did cash decline from $162.3M to $112.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 despite rising FCF, and what was the use of capital?
  • Key Question #2: What drives the 37.2 trailing P/E and 34.6 forward P/E, and what earnings trajectory is assumed by the market?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PGNY's 23.6% gross margin and 34.6x forward P/E multiple to Health Care demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00)?

PGNY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Progyny Inc. (PGNY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PGNY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PGNY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.41?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PGNY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PGNY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $34.44 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash engine with 16.7% ROIC and 8.8% FCF yield, supported by an 8.84 Altman Z-Score.

Here is why I am bullish on PGNY here at $29.19: Strong cash engine with 16.7% ROIC and 8.8% FCF yield, supported by an 8.84 Altman Z-Score.. Compare PGNY's 6.6% operating margin and 16.7% ROIC against the rest of Misc Health and Biotechnology Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $27.73 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 79/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $29.19 and keeping dry powder in case we test $27.15.

ME MeanReversion_88 Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.18 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $29.19

A 37.2 trailing P/E and declining cash balance leave little valuation margin if execution slips.

A 37.2 trailing P/E and declining cash balance leave little valuation margin if execution slips.. Look at the math on PGNY: paying 37.2x trailing P/E for 16.7% ROIC and 6.6% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Misc Health and Biotechnology Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $25.69 before getting long.

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