OR Royalties Inc. (OR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$31.83 -4.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.52

OR Royalties Inc. (OR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.97B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, OR Royalties Inc. (NYSE: OR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $31.83 (-4.44% 1D, market cap $5.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, OR ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OR compare to BTG and SBSW in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), OR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BTG (B2Gold Corp (Canada)) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.08B) and SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSRM leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while SSRM leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OR?
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For OR Royalties Inc. (OR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #115 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.51 (-0.99%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$50 Bull$30 Base$23 Bear
📬 FREE OR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OR SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 4.2% FCF Margin ($167.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$34.52+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$34.78-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$34.10-6.7% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$31.83-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.28) and Max Pain ($33.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $50.46.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OR.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.80%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $33.31H $33.31L $31.83C $31.83VOL 1.19M
RES: $35.37SUP: $31.35SMA50: $35.28SMA200: $36.58
$41.64$37.82$34.00$30.18$26.35RES $35.37SUP $31.35$31.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OR)

Materials Rank #115 of 270 ⚔️ BTG vs OR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (OR vs. BTG, SBSW, TFPM, SSRM)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OR Royalties Inc. (OR) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #61 by equity capitalization ($5.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SSRM leads on earnings valuation at 14.6x trailing P/E, while SSRM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SSRM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with OR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OR ACTIVE
OR Royalties Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -4.44% $5.97B Benchmark Subject
BTG
B2Gold Corp (Canada)
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.82% $6.08B /btg-vs-or →
SBSW
D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.03% $6.08B /sbsw-vs-or →
TFPM
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
D 45/100 — — — -3.60% $5.81B /tfpm-vs-or →
SSRM
SSR Mining Inc.
C- 60/100 14.6x — 12.0% -6.33% $5.40B /ssrm-vs-or →

2. OR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

OR Royalties Inc. (OR) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $5.97B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. OR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, OR Royalties Inc. (NYSE: OR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $31.83 (-4.44% 1D, market cap $5.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, OR ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OR compare to BTG and SBSW in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), OR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BTG (B2Gold Corp (Canada)) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.08B) and SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSRM leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while SSRM leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OR?

For OR Royalties Inc. (OR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #115 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OR last traded at $31.83 (-4.44% on volume of 1,191,688 shares), positioning the stock -9.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.28) and -12.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.58). Across its 52-week range of $27.54 to $48.06, OR sits at the 20.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($29.79 to $33.87).

OR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is OR's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for OR.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OR — OR Royalties Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OR Royalties Inc. scores 48 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). This is the weakest reading in the cash-generation dimension. Per the market data, the company reports no return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield, so the score reflects an absence of demonstrated cash earnings rather than a measured negative.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is one of the lowest pillar scores, indicating weak institutional accumulation signals in the rating's inputs.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). A below-midpoint reading suggests insider and congressional flow is not a strong supporting signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). Per the market data, beta is 1.0, meaning the stock is rated as moving in line with the market. The low pillar score indicates limited alignment with the current macro regime as measured by the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is the strongest pillar, though still below the midpoint of its range. The balance-sheet metrics are the most constructive element of the rating.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a profile in which the balance sheet is the relatively stable component, while cash generation, institutional flow, insider signals, and macro fit are weak. The verdict frames the stock as an underperformance and distribution risk. Upside drivers would need to come from improvement in cash generation, which the current data does not show. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because forward and trailing earnings multiples are unavailable in the source data. This analysis is educational and not personalized financial advice.

Business

OR Royalties Inc. (OR) is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Materials sector and the Precious Metals industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The company's operating classification is therefore limited to sector and industry labels. Business model details are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are reported, all relating to OR Royalties Inc.:

  • A Yahoo Finance piece asking whether the stock is a solid growth stock, tagged as a green-light catalyst.
  • A Stock Titan report on a $29.1M buyback accompanying higher preliminary Q3 revenue, tagged as a green-light catalyst.
  • A GuruFocus report describing the stock as undervalued after a 3.4% drop, tagged as a green-light catalyst.
  • A Simply Wall St stock analysis, tagged as a yellow-light market wire item.
  • A TradingView estimates page, tagged as a yellow-light market wire item.
  • A Zacks blog mention grouping OR Royalties with several precious-metals peers, tagged as a yellow-light market wire item.

The three green-light items carry a catalyst label, while the three yellow-light items are market wire. The buyback and preliminary Q3 revenue item is the most concrete event cited. The headlines themselves are the only content available; underlying figures from those articles are not provided. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is reported as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector correlations beyond the stated Materials / Precious Metals classification are not available in source data. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided inputs. Investors seeking this layer should consult sources outside this dossier.

Open Questions

  • What are OR Royalties' reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • What explains the 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and are these measured values or placeholder values in the source data?
  • What were the terms and size of the referenced $29.1M buyback, and how does it relate to the preliminary Q3 revenue figures?
  • What forward earnings and valuation multiples apply, given that P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are all unavailable?
  • What do the institutional and insider flow signals look like in detail, given that the holders section contains no transactions?

OR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OR Royalties Inc. (OR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $31.83?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $35.97 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OR (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $33.31?

Welcome to the OR (OR Royalties Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.98 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $33.31

Pump the brakes on OR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless OR Royalties Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $38.97 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $33.31

OR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $33.31 (52-wk range $27.54 - $48.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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