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Stock Ratings / Materials / TFPM
OR (46) BTG (56) SBSW (52) SSRM (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$28.13 -3.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.89

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.81B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TFPM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TFPM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (NYSE: TFPM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $28.13 (-3.60% 1D, market cap $5.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TFPM ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TFPM compare to OR and BTG in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TFPM carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OR (OR Royalties Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.97B) and BTG (B2Gold Corp (Canada)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSRM leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while SSRM leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TFPM?
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For Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #135 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.89 (-0.84%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$44 Bull$26 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE TFPM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TFPM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TFPM SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 4.1% FCF Margin ($162.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$31.13-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$30.62-5.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$29.04-3.1% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$28.13-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TFPM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TFPM currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.76) and Max Pain ($29.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $43.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TFPM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TFPM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
33.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE10% OF RANGE
L: $27$28.13H: $42
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TFPM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (33)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TFPM
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TFPM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TFPM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
TFPM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.24%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $29.18H $29.18L $28.13C $28.13VOL 767.2K
RES: $39.59SUP: $28.90SMA50: $31.76SMA200: $32.73
$36.79$34.03$31.27$28.51$25.75RES $39.59SUP $28.90$28.132026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TFPM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TFPM Butterfly Map → + Track TFPM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TFPM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TFPM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TFPM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TFPM)

Materials Rank #135 of 270 ⚔️ OR vs TFPM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TFPM vs. OR, BTG, SBSW, SSRM)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) ranks #135 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #65 by equity capitalization ($5.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SSRM leads on earnings valuation at 14.6x trailing P/E, while SSRM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SSRM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with TFPM at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TFPM ACTIVE
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
D 45/100 — — — -3.60% $5.81B Benchmark Subject
OR
OR Royalties Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -4.44% $5.97B /or-vs-tfpm →
BTG
B2Gold Corp (Canada)
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.82% $6.08B /btg-vs-tfpm →
SBSW
D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.03% $6.08B /sbsw-vs-tfpm →
SSRM
SSR Mining Inc.
C- 60/100 14.6x — 12.0% -6.33% $5.40B /ssrm-vs-tfpm →

2. TFPM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $5.81B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TFPM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TFPM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (NYSE: TFPM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $28.13 (-3.60% 1D, market cap $5.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TFPM ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TFPM compare to OR and BTG in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TFPM carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OR (OR Royalties Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.97B) and BTG (B2Gold Corp (Canada)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSRM leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while SSRM leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TFPM?

For Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #135 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TFPM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TFPM last traded at $28.13 (-3.60% on volume of 767,194 shares), positioning the stock -11.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.76) and -14.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.73). Across its 52-week range of $26.61 to $41.70, TFPM sits at the 10.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($26.55 to $29.71).

TFPM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TFPM stock right now?

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TFPM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TFPM's 12-month base price target is $26.48 (range $20.65 to $43.79), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TFPM RQD Cockpit TFPM 12M Forecast TFPM Earnings & Move TFPM Dividends & DRIP TFPM Insiders & 13F TFPM Whale Options TFPM Profit Sankey TFPM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TFPM — Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:55Z

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items reference TFPM. The headlines carry the following signal labels. "27% Undervalued? Triple Flag Precious Metals (TSX:TFPM) On Fresh Capital Deployment" is tagged YELLOW and MARKET WIRE. "Triple Flag: The Growth Is Already Paid For, And It's Still The Cheapest In Its Group" is tagged GREEN and CATALYST. "Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. Estimates – TSX:TFPM" is tagged YELLOW and MARKET WIRE. "A Look at Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) After 3.7% Dec" is tagged YELLOW and MARKET WIRE. "Triple Flag Precious Metals Posts Preliminary Q3 Revenue of $106.7 Million" is tagged YELLOW and MARKET WIRE. "Triple Flag Precious Q2 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript" is tagged YELLOW and MARKET WIRE.

The only GREEN-tagged item is the CATALYST headline, which carries a growth-related framing in its title. The preliminary Q3 revenue headline states a figure of $106.7 Million, which is reported in the headline itself. Risk watch items include the 3.7% decline referenced in one headline and the market-price change of -3.6% per market data. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty, so no proprietary signal links are available.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, free cash flow, cash, and debt values by period, given that the financials section is NONE?
  • What is the trailing and forward earnings valuation, given that P/E, Forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are all Not available in source data?
  • What specific trades underlie the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillars, given the holders section is NONE?
  • What is the company's supply-chain position and proprietary signal profile, given the Butterfly graph reports NONE?
  • What does the preliminary Q3 revenue of $106.7 Million imply relative to prior periods, given no historical financials are provided?

TFPM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TFPM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TFPM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $28.13?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TFPM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TFPM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $30.38 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TFPM (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $28.13?

Welcome to the TFPM (Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.35 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $28.13

Pump the brakes on TFPM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TFPM, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $32.35 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $28.13

TFPM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TFPM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $28.13 (52-wk range $26.61 - $41.70), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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