How profitable is Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), OMC converted $17.3B of revenue into a 8.5% gross margin, 2.6% operating margin, and $2.8B in free cash flow (16.1% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Communication Services / OMC / financials

WPP (61) STGW (61) IBTA (67) CRTO (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$83.99 +3.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.34

Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $22.17B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OMC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Omnicom Group Inc. (NYSE: OMC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $83.99 (+3.36% 1D, market cap $22.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, OMC ranks #47 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OMC compare to WPP and STGW in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), OMC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.5%, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, WPP (WPP plc) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.86B) and STGW (Stagwell Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 79.4x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $2.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while CRTO leads on capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMC?

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Per OMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000029989), Omnicom Group Inc. generated $17.27B in revenue (+10.1% YoY), -$54.5M in net income, and $2.79B in free cash flow against $54.42B in total assets and $12.73B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.33 (+0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 16.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OMC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OMC SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$78.41+2.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$80.50-3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$77.77+8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$83.99-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OMC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OMC currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($79.41) and Max Pain ($88.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $96.88.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OMC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OMC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How OMC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$2.79B (16.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $14.69B

FY24

Rev $15.69B

FY25

Rev $17.27B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$17.27B	8.5%	2.6%	-$54.5M	$2.79B	1.9%
FY 2024	$15.69B	18.6%	14.5%	$1.48B	$1.59B	22.8%
FY 2023	$14.69B	8.5%	14.3%	$1.39B	$760.8M	15.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OMC)

✓Walkthrough of OMC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.12%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $80.97H $83.99L $80.97C $83.99VOL 3.54M

RES: $85.64SUP: $71.98SMA50: $79.41SMA200: $78.24

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OMC Butterfly Map → + Track OMC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OMC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OMC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OMC)

Communication Services Rank #47 of 132 ⚔️ WPP vs OMC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (OMC vs. WPP, STGW, IBTA, CRTO)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) ranks #47 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #20 by equity capitalization ($22.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRTO leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while CRTO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.8% ROIC and 54.0% gross margin. IBTA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with OMC at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OMC ACTIVE Omnicom Group Inc.	D+	53/100	—	8.5%	2.1%	+3.36%	$22.17B	Benchmark Subject
WPP WPP plc	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+0.52%	$5.86B	/wpp-vs-omc →
STGW Stagwell Inc. (Class A)	C-	61/100	79.4x	36.5%	6.3%	+2.87%	$2.60B	/stgw-vs-omc →
IBTA Ibotta Inc. (Class A)	C+	67/100	—	79.2%	-0.7%	+2.98%	$1.13B	/ibta-vs-omc →
CRTO Criteo S.A.	D+	52/100	4.9x	54.0%	19.8%	+2.18%	$717.8M	/crto-vs-omc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000029989

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) reported GAAP revenue of $17.27B (+10.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.69B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$54.5M, operating cash flow of $2.94B, and free cash flow of $2.79B (+75.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, OMC closed FY2025 with $54.42B in total assets against $12.73B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.08, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$17.27B	-$54.5M	$2.94B	$2.79B	$54.42B	$12.73B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$15.69B	$1.48B	$1.73B	$1.59B	$29.62B	$6.93B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.69B	$1.39B	$1.42B	$760.8M	$17.63B	$4.13B

3. OMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OMC compare to WPP and STGW in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMC?

Where is OMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OMC last traded at $83.99 (+3.36% on volume of 2,956,141 shares), positioning the stock +5.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($79.41) and +7.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.24). Across its 52-week range of $66.33 to $89.57, OMC sits at the 76.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($78.70 to $89.28).

Direct Sub-Reports: OMC RQD Cockpit OMC 12M Forecast OMC Earnings & Move OMC Dividends & DRIP OMC Insiders & 13F OMC Whale Options OMC Profit Sankey OMC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OMC — Omnicom Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:24Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

OMC scores 53 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 / 20 (ROIC 2.1%; FCF yield 12.62%), Whale 13F Flow at 15 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11 / 20 (Beta 0.99; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5 / 20 (Altman Z 1.08; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.91).

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the cash-flow pillar and the 12.62% FCF yield cited in the rating, alongside the 15 / 20 institutional-flow score. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: forward P/E is 34 and EV/EBITDA is 46.4, while trailing EPS is -0.2, so the stock is priced on expectations that the trailing reported earnings do not yet show. The weakest pillar, Forensic Balance Sheet at 5 / 20, reflects an Altman Z of 1.08 and a Piotroski F of 5/9, which the rating treats as a meaningful stress signal. Macro sensitivity is moderate, with beta of 0.99 near market-level. Overall, the rating frames OMC as a name where cash generation is the central argument and balance-sheet and return-on-capital weakness are the central objections.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Omnicom Group Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Communication Services sector and the Advertising industry. Its market capitalization is $22.1B. Beyond sector and industry classification, further business detail is —

Revenue rose across the three reported years, while FY 2025 net income turned negative at -$54.5M and operating income fell sharply to $444.7M. Per the market data, gross margin is 8.5%, operating margin 2.6%, net margin -0.3%, and ROIC 2.1%. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 1.08 and a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9. Debt rose from $4.13B in FY 2023 to $12.73B in FY 2025, and the rating cites Debt/Equity of 0.91; cash balances are —

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: A 12.62% FCF yield and a $2.79B FY 2025 free cash flow figure suggest cash generation far exceeds reported earnings. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC 2.1%, FCF yield 12.62%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $66.33 – $89.57 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: An Altman Z of 1.08, Piotroski F of 5/9, and debt rising to $12.73B signal a stretched balance sheet with 2.1% ROIC. Investors must weigh current valuation and 46.4x EV/EBITDA against 2.6% operating margins and a 0.99 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottleneck links are recorded for OMC; the supply chain is marked NONE. — for upstream or downstream relationships. The sector assignment (Communication Services / Advertising) is the only classification provided. A prospective investor should not infer supply-chain ripples from the source data.

Key Question #1: What explains the swing from FY 2024 net income of $1.48B to FY 2025 net income of -$54.5M, and how much of it is one-time versus recurring?
Key Question #2: Why does the Seeking Alpha headline cite an 8x P/E while the market data shows a forward P/E of 34 and trailing EPS of -0.2?
Key Question #3: What are cash balances and the EPS figures for each reported period, which are listed as N/A?

OMC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OMC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Omnicom (OMC) Stock Could Be Reasonable Given Its Cash Flow Value

Yahoo Finance report covering Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 23h ago

Why Is Everyone Ignoring Omnicom Stock’s High Cash Yield?

Trefis report covering Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Omnicom: Stock Rallied On Strong Growth, Still A Bargain At An 8x P/E

Seeking Alpha report covering Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Omnicom Group (OMC) Could Be 23% Undervalued After Finance Leadership Change

Yahoo Finance report covering Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Omnicom (OMC) Stock Could Still Be A Bargain Despite A 20% Return

Simply Wall St report covering Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH GuruFocus • 1d ago

Omnicom Group Inc (OMC) Shares Fall 3.5% -- What GF Score of 82 Tells Investors

GuruFocus report covering Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST StockStory • 1d ago

Omnicom Group (NYSE:OMC) reports upbeat Q3 2026

StockStory report covering Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Omnicom (OMC) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Yahoo Finance report covering Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OMC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $83.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OMC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $95.89 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 12.62% FCF yield and a $2.79B FY 2025 free cash flow figure suggest cash generation far exceeds reported earnings.

Here is why I am bullish on OMC here at $81.26: A 12.62% FCF yield and a $2.79B FY 2025 free cash flow figure suggest cash generation far exceeds reported earnings.. Compare OMC's 2.6% operating margin and 2.1% ROIC against the rest of Advertising. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $77.20 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 34.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Advertising. If gross margin (8.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $66.63 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $81.26

An Altman Z of 1.08, Piotroski F of 5/9, and debt rising to $12.73B signal a stretched balance sheet with 2.1% ROIC.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short OMC above $81.26. An Altman Z of 1.08, Piotroski F of 5/9, and debt rising to $12.73B signal a stretched balance sheet with 2.1% ROIC.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (12.62%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $89.57.