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Stock Ratings / Communication Services / OMC / earnings
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Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.3% Move

$83.99 +3.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.34

Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $22.17B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Omnicom Group Inc. (NYSE: OMC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $83.99 (+3.36% 1D, market cap $22.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, OMC ranks #47 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OMC compare to WPP and STGW in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), OMC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.5%, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, WPP (WPP plc) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.86B) and STGW (Stagwell Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 79.4x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $2.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while CRTO leads on capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMC?
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Per OMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000029989), Omnicom Group Inc. generated $17.27B in revenue (+10.1% YoY), -$54.5M in net income, and $2.79B in free cash flow against $54.42B in total assets and $12.73B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.33 (+0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 16.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (15)SEC (5)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$97 Bull$82 Base$64 Bear
📬 FREE OMC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OMC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OMC SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$78.41+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$80.50-3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$77.77+8% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$83.99-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OMC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OMC currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($79.41) and Max Pain ($88.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $96.88.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OMC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OMC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.3% Swing Band

±$5.29 Expected Swing
$78.70 (-6.3%)Spot $83.99$89.28 (+6.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OMC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $-0.20 • YoY Revenue Growth: 10.1%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$17.27B-$54.5M$2.79B8.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$15.69B$1.48B$1.59B18.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$14.69B$1.39B$760.8M8.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OMC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OMC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.12%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $80.97H $83.99L $80.97C $83.99VOL 3.54M
RES: $85.64SUP: $71.98SMA50: $79.41SMA200: $78.24
$90.94$85.26$79.58$73.90$68.22RES $85.64SUP $71.98$83.992026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OMC Butterfly Map → + Track OMC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OMC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OMC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OMC)

Communication Services Rank #47 of 132 ⚔️ WPP vs OMC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (OMC vs. WPP, STGW, IBTA, CRTO)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) ranks #47 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #20 by equity capitalization ($22.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRTO leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while CRTO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.8% ROIC and 54.0% gross margin. IBTA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with OMC at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OMC ACTIVE
Omnicom Group Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 8.5% 2.1% +3.36% $22.17B Benchmark Subject
WPP
WPP plc
C- 61/100 — — — +0.52% $5.86B /wpp-vs-omc →
STGW
Stagwell Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 79.4x 36.5% 6.3% +2.87% $2.60B /stgw-vs-omc →
IBTA
Ibotta Inc. (Class A)
C+ 67/100 — 79.2% -0.7% +2.98% $1.13B /ibta-vs-omc →
CRTO
Criteo S.A.
D+ 52/100 4.9x 54.0% 19.8% +2.18% $717.8M /crto-vs-omc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000029989

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) reported GAAP revenue of $17.27B (+10.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.69B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$54.5M, operating cash flow of $2.94B, and free cash flow of $2.79B (+75.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, OMC closed FY2025 with $54.42B in total assets against $12.73B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.08, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.27B -$54.5M $2.94B $2.79B $54.42B $12.73B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.69B $1.48B $1.73B $1.59B $29.62B $6.93B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.69B $1.39B $1.42B $760.8M $17.63B $4.13B

3. OMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Omnicom Group Inc. (NYSE: OMC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $83.99 (+3.36% 1D, market cap $22.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, OMC ranks #47 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OMC compare to WPP and STGW in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), OMC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.5%, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, WPP (WPP plc) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.86B) and STGW (Stagwell Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 79.4x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $2.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while CRTO leads on capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMC?

Per OMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000029989), Omnicom Group Inc. generated $17.27B in revenue (+10.1% YoY), -$54.5M in net income, and $2.79B in free cash flow against $54.42B in total assets and $12.73B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OMC last traded at $83.99 (+3.36% on volume of 2,956,141 shares), positioning the stock +5.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($79.41) and +7.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.24). Across its 52-week range of $66.33 to $89.57, OMC sits at the 76.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($78.70 to $89.28).

Direct Sub-Reports: OMC RQD Cockpit OMC 12M Forecast OMC Earnings & Move OMC Dividends & DRIP OMC Insiders & 13F OMC Whale Options OMC Profit Sankey OMC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OMC — Omnicom Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $83.99 (+3.36% 1D, market capitalization $22.17B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.1%, gross margin of 8.5%, operating margin of 2.6%, and free cash flow yield of 12.62%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.08, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.91x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Omnicom Group Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Communication Services sector and the Advertising industry. Its market capitalization is $22.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) reported $17.27B in annual revenue (up from $15.69B in FY2024, +10.1% YoY) and -$54.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.69B revenue, $1.39B net income) through FY2025, OMC scaled operating cash flow to $2.94B and free cash flow to $2.79B, backed by $54.42B in total assets against $12.73B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 12.62% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $66.33 – $89.57 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 46.4x EV/EBITDA against 2.6% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottleneck links are recorded for OMC; the supply chain is marked NONE. — for upstream or downstream relationships. The sector assignment (Communication Services / Advertising) is the only classification provided. A prospective investor should not infer supply-chain ripples from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can OMC sustain or expand its 2.6% operating margin and 2.1% ROIC against Advertising peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $17.27B and free cash flow of $2.79B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $12.73B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OMC's 34.0x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?

OMC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OMC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OMC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $83.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OMC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OMC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $95.89 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 12.62% FCF yield and a $2.79B FY 2025 free cash flow figure suggest cash generation far exceeds reported earnings.

Here is why I am bullish on OMC here at $81.26: A 12.62% FCF yield and a $2.79B FY 2025 free cash flow figure suggest cash generation far exceeds reported earnings.. Compare OMC's 2.6% operating margin and 2.1% ROIC against the rest of Advertising. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $77.20 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 34.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Advertising. If gross margin (8.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $66.63 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $81.26

An Altman Z of 1.08, Piotroski F of 5/9, and debt rising to $12.73B signal a stretched balance sheet with 2.1% ROIC.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short OMC above $81.26. An Altman Z of 1.08, Piotroski F of 5/9, and debt rising to $12.73B signal a stretched balance sheet with 2.1% ROIC.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (12.62%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $89.57.

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