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CC (38) MTX (40) STDN (51) ROG (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Olin Corporation (OLN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$18.15 +3.13% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.22

Olin Corporation (OLN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $2.01B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Olin Corporation (NYSE: OLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $18.15 (+3.13% 1D, market cap $2.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, OLN ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OLN compare to CC and MTX in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), OLN carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, CC (Chemours Company) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.04B) and MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $1.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MTX leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLN?
β–Ό

Per OLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000074303), Olin Corporation generated $6.78B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$101.1M in net income, and $247.9M in free cash flow against $7.33B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.22 (+0.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk E
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$32 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE OLN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY OLN SCORES 42/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.7% FCF Margin ($247.9M FCF) & 7.4% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±10.1% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.8) create a -15 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$14.87+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$15.15+9.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$16.56+9.6% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$18.15-7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (34) β†’ D- (42)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OLN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While OLN currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.39) and Max Pain ($19.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.98.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OLNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œOLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OLN)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OLN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OLN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of OLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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OLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.74%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $16.05H $18.15L $16.05C $18.15VOL 6.67M
RES: $19.06SUP: $13.73SMA50: $16.39SMA200: $22.26
$30.28$26.04$21.80$17.56$13.32RES $19.06SUP $13.73$18.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ OLN Butterfly Map β†’ + Track OLN β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OLN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OLN)

Materials Rank #187 of 270 βš”οΈ CC vs OLN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (OLN vs. CC, MTX, STDN, ROG)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Olin Corporation (OLN) ranks #187 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #110 by equity capitalization ($2.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OLN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 25.0% gross margin. STDN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with OLN at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OLN ACTIVE
Olin Corporation
D- 42/100 β€” 7.4% 0.1% +3.13% $2.01B Benchmark Subject
CC
Chemours Company
D- 38/100 β€” 15.5% -35.0% -2.73% $2.04B /cc-vs-oln β†’
MTX
Minerals Technologies Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” 25.0% 1.6% +3.33% $1.95B /mtx-vs-oln β†’
STDN
Standard Nuclear Inc. (Class A)
D 51/100 β€” β€” β€” -1.09% $1.87B /stdn-vs-oln β†’
ROG
Rogers Corporation
D 48/100 β€” 31.7% -3.6% -3.53% $2.37B /rog-vs-oln β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000074303 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Olin Corporation (OLN) reported GAAP revenue of $6.78B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.54B , and -0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$101.1M, operating cash flow of $474.2M, and free cash flow of $247.9M (-19.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, OLN closed FY2025 with $7.33B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.59, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.78B -$101.1M $474.2M $247.9M $7.33B $2.72B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.54B $105.0M $503.2M $308.1M $7.58B $2.71B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.83B $452.0M $974.3M $974.3M β€” β€”

3. OLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Olin Corporation (NYSE: OLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $18.15 (+3.13% 1D, market cap $2.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, OLN ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OLN compare to CC and MTX in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), OLN carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, CC (Chemours Company) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.04B) and MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $1.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MTX leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLN?

Per OLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000074303), Olin Corporation generated $6.78B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$101.1M in net income, and $247.9M in free cash flow against $7.33B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OLN last traded at $18.15 (+3.13% on volume of 5,246,446 shares), positioning the stock +10.74% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.39) and -18.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.26). Across its 52-week range of $14.64 to $30.46, OLN sits at the 22.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.1% ($16.32 to $19.98).

Direct Sub-Reports: OLN RQD Cockpit OLN 12M Forecast OLN Earnings & Move OLN Dividends & DRIP OLN Insiders & 13F OLN Whale Options OLN Profit Sankey OLN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 42/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OLN β€” Olin Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Olin Corporation (OLN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $18.15 (+3.13% 1D, market capitalization $2.01B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.1%, gross margin of 7.4%, operating margin of 0.1%, and free cash flow yield of 13.55%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.59, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.48x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Olin Corporation (OLN) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Materials sector and Major Chemicals industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $6.78B, indicating a sizable operating base relative to its $1.8B market capitalization. Gross margin is 7.4% and operating margin is 0.1% per the market data, describing a thin-margin operating model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Olin Corporation (OLN) reported $6.78B in annual revenue (up from $6.54B in FY2024, +3.7% YoY) and -$101.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.83B revenue, $452.0M net income) through FY2025, OLN scaled operating cash flow to $474.2M and free cash flow to $247.9M, backed by $7.33B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 13.55% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.64 – $30.46 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 22.2x EV/EBITDA against 0.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, there are no upstream or downstream butterfly links, and no proprietary signals are recorded.

  • Key Question #1: Can OLN sustain or expand its 0.1% operating margin and 0.1% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.78B and free cash flow of $247.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.72B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OLN's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Olin Corporation (OLN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to OLN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $18.15?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OLN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OLN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.24 (+15.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 13.55% FCF yield indicates strong cash generation relative to the $1.83B market capitalization.

A 13.55% FCF yield indicates strong cash generation relative to the $1.83B market capitalization.. When you look under the hood at OLN, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 7.4% gross margins and 0.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (10/20) has been quietly accumulating below $30.46. My 12M target is $20.24.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Major Chemicals. If gross margin (7.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.55 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $17.60

Operating income collapsed from $712.1M in FY 2023 to $5.3M in FY 2025 while debt stands at $2.72B, with an Altman Z-Score of 1.59.

Careful chasing OLN at $17.60. Operating income collapsed from $712.1M in FY 2023 to $5.3M in FY 2025 while debt stands at $2.72B, with an Altman Z-Score of 1.59.. Gross margin is 7.4%, but operating margin is 0.1%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $13.55 on multiple compression.

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