What is NKE's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NKE.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NKE / options

ONON (59) DECK (75) CROX (68) BIRK (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Nike Inc. (NKE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$39.12 +1.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.13

Nike Inc. (NKE) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $57.44B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NKE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $39.12 (+1.16% 1D, market cap $57.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1010 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NKE ranks #295 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NKE compare to ONON and DECK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Shoe Manufacturing), NKE carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.4x, gross margin of 42.9%, and ROIC of 21.2%. By comparison, ONON (On Holding AG (Class A)) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $20.38B) and DECK (Deckers Outdoor Corporation) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 11.0x, ROIC 73.9%, cap $10.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DECK leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DECK leads on capital efficiency (73.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NKE?

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Per NKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0000320187), Nike Inc. generated $46.40B in revenue (+0.2% YoY), $3.11B in net income, and $2.18B in free cash flow against $37.79B in total assets and $7.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.13 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 4.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NKE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NKE SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.7% FCF Margin ($2.18B FCF) & 42.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.1) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$35.30+6.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$37.53-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$37.15+5.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$39.12+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NKE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, NKE faces multiple-compression risk if 18.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 40.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.83) or 200D SMA ($45.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.65) toward Bear Floor ($30.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NKE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NKE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.8%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NKE)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NKE.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NKE & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NKE
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NKE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.21%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $38.42H $39.12L $38.42C $39.12VOL 26.99M

RES: $39.01SUP: $29.25SMA50: $36.83SMA200: $45.66

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NKE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NKE Butterfly Map → + Track NKE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

11.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NKE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NKE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NKE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NKE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #295 of 1010 ⚔️ ONON vs NKE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NKE vs. ONON, DECK, CROX, BIRK)

Industry: Shoe Manufacturing (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1010 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nike Inc. (NKE) ranks #295 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #38 by equity capitalization ($57.44B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DECK leads on earnings valuation at 11.0x trailing P/E, while DECK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 73.9% ROIC and 57.7% gross margin. DECK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with NKE at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NKE ACTIVE Nike Inc.	C-	61/100	18.4x	42.9%	21.2%	+1.16%	$57.44B	Benchmark Subject
ONON On Holding AG (Class A)	C-	59/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+5.15%	$20.38B	/onon-vs-nke →
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation	B	75/100	11.0x	57.7%	73.9%	+3.67%	$10.94B	/deck-vs-nke →
CROX Crocs Inc.	C+	68/100	—	58.3%	4.9%	+1.73%	$6.88B	/crox-vs-nke →
BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc	D+	54/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+6.31%	$5.52B	/birk-vs-nke →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0000320187 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), Nike Inc. (NKE) reported GAAP revenue of $46.40B (+0.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $46.31B , and -9.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.11B, operating cash flow of $2.87B, and free cash flow of $2.18B (-33.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NKE closed FY2025 with $37.79B in total assets against $7.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.82, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-05-31	$46.40B	$3.11B	$2.87B	$2.18B	$37.79B	$7.02B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-05-31	$46.31B	$3.22B	$3.70B	$3.27B	$37.96B	$7.97B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-05-31	$51.36B	$5.70B	$7.43B	$5.12B	$61.63B	$14.42B

3. NKE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NKE compare to ONON and DECK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NKE?

Where is NKE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NKE last traded at $39.12 (+1.16% on volume of 22,960,030 shares), positioning the stock +6.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.83) and -14.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($45.66). Across its 52-week range of $31.97 to $69.14, NKE sits at the 19.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($36.85 to $41.39).

Direct Sub-Reports: NKE RQD Cockpit NKE 12M Forecast NKE Earnings & Move NKE Dividends & DRIP NKE Insiders & 13F NKE Whale Options NKE Profit Sankey NKE News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NKE — Nike Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-05-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Nike Inc. (NKE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $39.12 (+1.16% 1D, market capitalization $57.44B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 21.2%, gross margin of 42.9%, operating margin of 8.2%, and free cash flow yield of 3.83%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.82, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.50x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Nike Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Shoe Manufacturing industry. The market capitalization is $57.1B. — for product detail, customer segments, or revenue mix beyond the figures below. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 42.9%, an operating margin of 8.2%, and a net margin of 6.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-31), Nike Inc. (NKE) reported $46.40B in annual revenue (up from $46.31B in FY2024, +0.2% YoY) and $3.11B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($51.36B revenue, $5.70B net income) through FY2025, NKE scaled operating cash flow to $2.87B and free cash flow to $2.18B, backed by $37.79B in total assets against $7.02B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 3.83% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $31.97 – $69.14 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 18.4x trailing P/E and 13.1x EV/EBITDA against 8.2% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals. Within the news feed, the recurring themes are China exposure and competitive pressure in core brands, which point to revenue sensitivity outside the supply chain. The data does not quantify these ripples.

Key Question #1: Can NKE sustain or expand its 8.2% operating margin and 21.2% ROIC against Shoe Manufacturing peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $46.40B and free cash flow of $2.18B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.02B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is NKE's 17.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

NKE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nike Inc. (NKE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NKE Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

NKE Stock Heads For Its Worst Year Ever: Nike’s 45% Plunge Tests Investor Patience As China And Core Brands Weaken

Yahoo Finance report covering Nike Inc. (NKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Morningstar • 1d ago

Nike Stock: We Cut Fair Value Estimate by 44% as Competition Intensifies

Morningstar report covering Nike Inc. (NKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investopedia • 1d ago

Nike’s Stock Just Got a Nice Rebound. Its Comeback Is Far From Complete.

Investopedia report covering Nike Inc. (NKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Nike (NKE) Stock May Trade At A 15% Discount Despite 10Q Surprises

Yahoo Finance report covering Nike Inc. (NKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Jim Cramer Is Staying Away From NIKE (NKE) Stock After Losing Money

Yahoo Finance report covering Nike Inc. (NKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Nike's stock crash means its dividend now pays like a 2-year Treasury

Yahoo Finance report covering Nike Inc. (NKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Nike (NKE) Stock May Trade At A Discount On Investor Day

Yahoo Finance report covering Nike Inc. (NKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Why Nike Stock Was Climbing Today

Yahoo Finance report covering Nike Inc. (NKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NKE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.12?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NKE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $48.34 (+25.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

NKE trades at a forward P/E of 17.1 with ROIC of 21.2% and a 4.22% dividend yield.

Don't sleep on NKE's setup in Consumer Discretionary. NKE trades at a forward P/E of 17.1 with ROIC of 21.2% and a 4.22% dividend yield.. Beta of 1.16 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (61/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 61/100 quality, though with 1.16 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $38.67 and keeping dry powder in case we test $35.96.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.00 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $38.67

Macro regime fit scores only 7 of 20 with beta of 1.16, and a Morningstar report cuts fair value by 44% on intensifying competition.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on NKE: Macro regime fit scores only 7 of 20 with beta of 1.16, and a Morningstar report cuts fair value by 44% on intensifying competition.. At 18.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Shoe Manufacturing triggers a 12-15% air pocket.