Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.5% Move

$7.84 -0.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.82

Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $109.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NINE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NYSE: NINE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $7.84 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $109.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NINE ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NINE compare to KLXE and TUSK in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NINE carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $117.3M) and TUSK (Mammoth Energy Services Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC -29.0%, cap $153.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NINE?
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Per NINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001532286), Nine Energy Service Inc. generated $561.9M in revenue (+1.4% YoY), -$51.3M in net income, and -$23.3M in free cash flow against $339.5M in total assets and $341.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.82 (-0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510017
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.5% Base Target
$14 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE NINE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NINE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NINE SCORES 17/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$7.95+6.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
22
Grade E$8.49-7.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
20
Grade E$7.84+0% Next Q
Current
17
Grade E$7.84-12.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (17)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NINE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NINE currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.90) and Max Pain ($8.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NINE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NINE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.5% Swing Band

±$0.82 Expected Swing
$7.02 (-10.5%)Spot $7.84$8.66 (+10.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NINE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 17/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.4%

Model Bullish Setup (17/100)Model Risk Weight (83/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$561.9M-$51.3M-$23.3M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$554.1M-$41.1M-$1.6M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$609.5M-$32.2M$45.5M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NINE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NINE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NINE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.86H $7.86L $7.84C $7.84VOL 7.1K
RES: $12.04SUP: $6.41SMA50: $8.90SMA200: $9.99
$13.64$11.93$10.22$8.51$6.80RES $12.04SUP $6.41$7.842026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NINE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NINE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NINE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NINE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NINE)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NINE vs. KLXE, TUSK, NOA, RNGR)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #186 by equity capitalization ($109.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNGR leads on earnings valuation at 29.4x trailing P/E, while RNGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. RNGR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with NINE at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NINE ACTIVE
Nine Energy Service Inc.
E 17/100 — — 0.9% -0.25% $109.4M Benchmark Subject
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.
E 25/100 — 21.2% -13.8% -4.31% $117.3M /klxe-vs-nine →
TUSK
Mammoth Energy Services Inc.
D- 37/100 30.5x — -29.0% +9.28% $153.0M /tusk-vs-nine →
NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)
D 46/100 — — — -4.39% $332.2M /noa-vs-nine →
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 29.4x — 4.2% -1.44% $356.1M /rngr-vs-nine →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001532286

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) reported GAAP revenue of $561.9M (+1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $554.1M , and -7.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$51.3M, operating cash flow of -$7.3M, and free cash flow of -$23.3M (-1383.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NINE closed FY2025 with $339.5M in total assets against $341.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $561.9M -$51.3M -$7.3M -$23.3M $339.5M $341.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $554.1M -$41.1M $13.2M -$1.6M $360.1M $317.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $609.5M -$32.2M $45.5M $45.5M — —

3. NINE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NYSE: NINE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $7.84 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $109.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NINE ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NINE compare to KLXE and TUSK in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NINE carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $117.3M) and TUSK (Mammoth Energy Services Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC -29.0%, cap $153.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NINE?

Per NINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001532286), Nine Energy Service Inc. generated $561.9M in revenue (+1.4% YoY), -$51.3M in net income, and -$23.3M in free cash flow against $339.5M in total assets and $341.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NINE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NINE last traded at $7.84 (-0.25% on volume of 7,108 shares), positioning the stock -11.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.90) and -21.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.99). Across its 52-week range of $7.32 to $13.23, NINE sits at the 8.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($7.02 to $8.66).

NINE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NINE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NINE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.5% event move for NINE, spanning a range between $7.02 and $8.66.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 17/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NINE — Nine Energy Service Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:45Z

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$561.9M$2.3M$-51.3MN/A$-23.3M$18.4M$341.6M
FY 2024$554.1M$8.9M$-41.1MN/A$-1.6M$27.9M$317.3M
FY 2023$609.5M$17.6M$-32.2MN/A$45.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $609.5M (FY 2023) to $554.1M (FY 2024) before rising to $561.9M (FY 2025), while net income was negative in all three periods. Operating income fell from $17.6M to $2.3M across the period. Market data reports gross margin of 0%, operating margin of 0.4%, and net margin of -9.1%, with ROIC of 0.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.2 and Piotroski F is 2/9, both indicating weak forensic balance-sheet posture; Debt/Equity is 0.5.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per <recent_news_and_catalysts>, the feed contains a mix of earnings-timing notices and market-wire items:

  • Nine Energy Service announced the timing of its Q3 2026 earnings release and conference call (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • A Source Energy Services earnings-release notice (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • NESR announced Q3 2026 financial results for November 9th (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • A TradingKey report on 52-week low U.S. stocks and new market lows (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • A Technip Energies earnings-publication notice (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • A Morgan Stanley report cutting its target for ProPetro Holding to USD 12.00 (RED, Risk Watch).

The RED flag is the Morgan Stanley target cut, which is tagged to a peer rather than to NINE directly. The 52-week-low headline aligns with the stock's price of 7.86 against a 52-week range of $7.32 - $13.23. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers, given the business description is absent?
  • What is the EPS trajectory and P/E valuation, since EPS and P/E are unavailable despite net losses in all reported periods?
  • What drove the cash decline from $27.9M (FY 2024) to $18.4M (FY 2025) against $341.6M of debt, and what are the debt maturities?
  • What are the FY 2023 cash and debt balances, which are reported as N/A?
  • Which specific 13F holders and insider transactions underlie the whale-flow and insider-conviction pillar scores?

NINE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NINE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NINE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.84?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NINE 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NINE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.92 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NINE (E • RQD 18/100) a Buy at $7.86?

Welcome to the NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 18/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Oilfield Services/Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.97 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $7.86

Pump the brakes on NINE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NINE, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Nine Energy Service Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.59 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $7.86

NINE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NINE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oilfield Services/Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.86 (52-wk range $7.32 - $13.23), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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