Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.18 +9.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.23

Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $140.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (NASDAQ: TUSK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.18 (+9.28% 1D, market cap $140.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TUSK ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TUSK compare to KLXE and NINE in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), TUSK carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M) and NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUSK?
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Per TUSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001679268), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. generated $44.3M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$89.1M in free cash flow against $334.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.23 (+1.48%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (9)SEC (7)Macro (11)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE TUSK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUSK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TUSK SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 66% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$2.81-3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$2.70+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$2.78+14.4% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$3.18-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TUSK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TUSK currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.95) and Max Pain ($3.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUSK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TUSK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
52.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE66% OF RANGE
L: $2$3.18H: $4
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 0 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on TUSK

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-29.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TUSK
  • ✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUSK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TUSK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TUSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.20%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $2.82H $3.18L $2.82C $3.18VOL 136.7K
RES: $3.92SUP: $2.49SMA50: $2.95SMA200: $2.78
$4.04$3.55$3.07$2.59$2.11RES $3.92SUP $2.49$3.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TUSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUSK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUSK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUSK)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TUSK vs. KLXE, NINE, NOA, RNGR)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) ranks #192 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #182 by equity capitalization ($140.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNGR leads on earnings valuation at 29.4x trailing P/E, while RNGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. RNGR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with TUSK at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TUSK ACTIVE
Mammoth Energy Services Inc.
E 33/100 30.5x — -29.0% +9.28% $140.1M Benchmark Subject
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.
E 25/100 — 21.2% -13.8% -4.31% $122.6M /klxe-vs-tusk →
NINE
Nine Energy Service Inc.
E 18/100 — — 0.9% -0.25% $109.6M /nine-vs-tusk →
NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)
D 49/100 — — — -4.39% $347.5M /noa-vs-tusk →
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 29.4x — 4.2% -1.44% $361.3M /rngr-vs-tusk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001679268

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) reported GAAP revenue of $44.3M (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $45.6M , and -85.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.6M, operating cash flow of -$18.6M, and free cash flow of -$89.1M (-149.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUSK closed FY2025 with $334.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $44.3M $4.6M -$18.6M -$89.1M $334.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $45.6M -$207.3M $180.7M $179.5M $384.0M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $309.5M -$3.2M $31.4M $31.4M — —

3. TUSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (NASDAQ: TUSK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.18 (+9.28% 1D, market cap $140.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TUSK ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TUSK compare to KLXE and NINE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), TUSK carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M) and NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUSK?

Per TUSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001679268), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. generated $44.3M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$89.1M in free cash flow against $334.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TUSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TUSK last traded at $3.18 (+9.28% on volume of 493,867 shares), positioning the stock +7.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.95) and +14.39% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.78). Across its 52-week range of $1.72 to $3.92, TUSK sits at the 66.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($2.90 to $3.46).

TUSK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TUSK stock right now?

Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 33/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TUSK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TUSK's 12-month base price target is $2.82 (range $2.2 to $4.12), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TUSK — Mammoth Energy Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TUSK carries an RQD Score of 33 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars, each weighted at 20 points:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 0 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -29% and an FCF yield of 0%. This pillar contributes nothing to the score, meaning the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow that the rating can credit.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The rating describes this as institutional accumulation and options positioning. Partial credit is given, indicating some institutional activity, but not enough to offset weak fundamentals.
  • Insider Conviction: 6 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Modest credit is assigned.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the highest-scoring pillar, but it reflects positioning relative to the market rather than company quality.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 7 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z of 0.2, a Piotroski F of 3/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. The Altman and Piotroski readings are weak, and they are the main forensic concern in the score.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the practical implication is that the rating's largest deductions come from the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars, the two areas that most directly determine whether a company can sustain itself without external capital. The one pillar with meaningful room is macro fit, which can help a stock in a favorable regime but does not repair underlying fundamentals. Any upside thesis would need to rest on a change in cash generation that the current source data does not show.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$44.3M$-57.4M$4.6MN/A$-89.1M$102.0MN/A
FY 2024$45.6M$-120.4M$-207.3MN/A$179.5M$60.8M$0.0M
FY 2023$309.5M$-16.7M$-3.2MN/A$31.4MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is 10.4%, a divergence that the source data does not reconcile. ROIC is -29%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, both indicating financial weakness. The rating cites Debt/Equity of 0.5. Revenue fell from $309.5M in FY 2023 to $45.6M in FY 2024 and $44.3M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six news items are listed, all tagged to TUSK. Headlines cite Q3 earnings and margin improvement: one item carries a GREEN "CATALYST" impact label referencing a stock move on Q3 earnings margin lift, and the remaining items are YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" entries covering Q3 2026 results, earnings call materials, and estimates. The summaries are generic aggregator descriptions and do not contain the underlying financial figures. Risk watch items include the negative operating margin and ROIC shown in the source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of revenue and the reason for the decline from $309.5M in FY 2023 to $44.3M in FY 2025?
  • How does a net margin of 10.4% coexist with an operating margin of -60% and net income of $4.6M against operating income of $-57.4M in FY 2025?
  • What is the debt balance, since the FY 2025 debt field is N/A and FY 2024 shows $0.0M?
  • What drove the FY 2024 FCF of $179.5M against an operating loss of $-120.4M?
  • What are the consensus analyst ratings and institutional holder positions, given both source sections are empty?

TUSK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TUSK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TUSK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.18?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TUSK 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TUSK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.56 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TUSK (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $2.91?

Welcome to the TUSK (Mammoth Energy Services Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Oilfield Services/Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (30.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.36 (-18.9%)
Spot @ $2.91

Pump the brakes on TUSK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TUSK, but look at what you are paying: 30.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Mammoth Energy Services Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.40 (+16.8%)
Spot @ $2.91

TUSK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TUSK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oilfield Services/Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.91 (52-wk range $1.72 - $3.92), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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