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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MGM / options
WYNN (54) CZR (54) LTH (53) WH (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

MGM Resorts International (MGM) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$29.96 +3.92% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.11

MGM Resorts International (MGM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $7.58B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MGM Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $29.96 (+3.92% 1D, market cap $7.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MGM ranks #628 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MGM compare to WYNN and CZR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MGM carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, WYNN (Wynn Resorts Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 23.3x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $7.69B) and CZR (Caesars Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.3%, cap $5.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WYNN leads on earnings multiple (23.3x) while WH leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGM?
β–Ό

Per MGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000789570), MGM Resorts International generated $17.54B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $205.9M in net income, and $1.46B in free cash flow against $41.37B in total assets and $6.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.12 (+0.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 8.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk E
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (6)Macro (5)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$54 Bull$28 Base$22 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MGM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MGM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MGM SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.3% FCF Margin ($1.46B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.2) create a -15 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$28.96-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$28.87-5.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$27.27+9.9% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$29.96-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MGM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MGM currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.94) and Max Pain ($31.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $54.17.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MGMβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMGM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MGM)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MGM.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MGM)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MGM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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MGM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.65%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $28.83H $29.96L $28.83C $29.96VOL 9.94M
RES: $29.26SUP: $26.40SMA50: $33.94SMA200: $38.96
$53.33$46.12$38.90$31.69$24.47RES $29.26SUP $26.40$29.962026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ MGM Butterfly Map β†’ + Track MGM β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGM today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #628 of 1011 βš”οΈ WYNN vs MGM Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MGM vs. WYNN, CZR, LTH, WH)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MGM Resorts International (MGM) ranks #628 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #206 by equity capitalization ($7.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WYNN leads on earnings valuation at 23.3x trailing P/E, while WH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. WYNN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with MGM at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MGM ACTIVE
MGM Resorts International
D 46/100 35.4x β€” 12.0% +3.92% $7.58B Benchmark Subject
WYNN
Wynn Resorts Limited
D+ 54/100 23.3x β€” 10.0% +0.61% $7.69B /wynn-vs-mgm β†’
CZR
Caesars Entertainment Inc.
D+ 54/100 β€” β€” 10.3% -0.14% $5.93B /czr-vs-mgm β†’
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 53/100 27.1x 47.6% 8.6% -0.55% $10.13B /lth-vs-mgm β†’
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.
D+ 53/100 29.1x β€” 16.2% -2.25% $5.48B /wh-vs-mgm β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000789570

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MGM Resorts International (MGM) reported GAAP revenue of $17.54B (+1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.24B , and +8.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $205.9M, operating cash flow of $2.53B, and free cash flow of $1.46B (+20.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGM closed FY2025 with $41.37B in total assets against $6.23B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.71, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.54B $205.9M $2.53B $1.46B $41.37B $6.23B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $17.24B $746.6M $2.36B $1.21B $42.23B $6.36B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $16.16B $1.14B $2.69B $1.96B $19.40B $4.54B

3. MGM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $29.96 (+3.92% 1D, market cap $7.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MGM ranks #628 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MGM compare to WYNN and CZR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MGM carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, WYNN (Wynn Resorts Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 23.3x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $7.69B) and CZR (Caesars Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.3%, cap $5.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WYNN leads on earnings multiple (23.3x) while WH leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGM?

Per MGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000789570), MGM Resorts International generated $17.54B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $205.9M in net income, and $1.46B in free cash flow against $41.37B in total assets and $6.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MGM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MGM last traded at $29.96 (+3.92% on volume of 9,936,260 shares), positioning the stock -11.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.94) and -23.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.96). Across its 52-week range of $26.71 to $51.59, MGM sits at the 13.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.7% ($27.35 to $32.57).

Direct Sub-Reports: MGM RQD Cockpit MGM 12M Forecast MGM Earnings & Move MGM Dividends & DRIP MGM Insiders & 13F MGM Whale Options MGM Profit Sankey MGM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 46/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MGM β€” MGM Resorts International: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MGM scores 45 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 12%; FCF yield 20.02%); Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (Beta 1.11; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 6/20 (Altman Z 0.71; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 2.56).

For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to a split picture. The cash-generation pillar and insider-flow pillar are the strongest components, reflecting a reported ROIC of 12% and a 20.02% FCF yield, plus insider and Congressional activity that the rating weights more favorably. The weakest pillars are macro regime fit and forensic balance sheet. A Beta of 1.11 implies above-market sensitivity to broad moves, and the forensic metrics (Altman Z 0.71, Debt/Equity 2.56) describe a leveraged balance sheet. The 20.02% FCF yield is an upside driver on paper, but it sits alongside a trailing P/E of 35.4 and a Forward P/E of 32.9, so the valuation tradeoff is that cash-flow yield and earnings multiple tell different stories. Institutional accumulation scoring only 6/20 suggests limited smart-money conviction. Overall, the rating frames MGM as a distribution-warning name where the investor should weigh the cash-generation strength against leverage and weak institutional support.

Business

MGM Resorts International (MGM) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Hotels/Resorts industry. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $7.3B. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue-model details beyond sector and industry classification are β€”

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Diller deal collapse (RISK WATCH, RED): A Yahoo Finance headline reports MGM stock sinking after a deal collapse, framed as either overreaction or warning.
  • Price target cut (RISK WATCH, RED): A TradingView headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $49.28, implying 61% upside.
  • Gaming sector weakness (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Las Vegas Review-Journal report describes MGM, Wynn, and betting firms hit hard as gaming stocks struggle.
  • Relative underperformance (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A MarketWatch report notes MGM underperformed competitors on a Friday.
  • Voting agreement amendment (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Reuters report states MGM amended a voting agreement after People Inc withdrew a takeover proposal.
  • Buyer walked away (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Seeking Alpha analysis argues the buyer walked away rather than the business.

Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: β€” for supply-chain links; the graph lists no links and no proprietary signals.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: β€”

Holders (SEC Form 4, 13F, Congressional trades): β€”

Open Questions

  • What were the terms and reasons behind the collapsed deal, and what is the financial impact on MGM?
  • What drove the decline in net income from $1.14B (FY 2023) to $205.9M (FY 2025) despite rising revenue?
  • What is the basis for the reported 20.02% FCF yield relative to the 35.4 trailing P/E?
  • Who holds the reported stake changes, and what is the timing of insider and Congressional trades?
  • What are MGM's debt maturities and refinancing terms given reported debt of $6.23B and Altman Z of 0.71?

MGM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MGM Resorts International (MGM) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MGM Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MGM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $29.96?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MGM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MGM:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $38.05 (+27.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 20.02% FCF yield and 12% ROIC indicate strong cash generation relative to the stock price.

A 20.02% FCF yield and 12% ROIC indicate strong cash generation relative to the stock price.. When you look under the hood at MGM, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 12.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $51.59. My 12M target is $38.05.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 46/100 quality, though with 1.11 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $29.96 and keeping dry powder in case we test $27.86.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.97 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $29.96

A 0.71 Altman Z-Score, 2.56 Debt/Equity, and a 35.4 trailing P/E point to leverage and stretched valuation against weak earnings.

A 0.71 Altman Z-Score, 2.56 Debt/Equity, and a 35.4 trailing P/E point to leverage and stretched valuation against weak earnings.. Look at the math on MGM: paying 35.4x trailing P/E for 12.0% ROIC and 5.7% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Hotels/Resorts demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $26.36 before getting long.

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