Yahoo Finance report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MGM Stock surged +3.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MGM Resorts International (MGM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $29.96 (+3.92% 1D, market cap $7.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MGM ranks #659 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MGM compare to WYNN and CZR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MGM carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, WYNN (Wynn Resorts Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 23.3x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $7.64B) and CZR (Caesars Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.3%, cap $5.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WYNN leads on earnings multiple (23.3x) while WH leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGM?
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Per MGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000789570), MGM Resorts International generated $17.54B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $205.9M in net income, and $1.46B in free cash flow against $41.37B in total assets and $6.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.3% FCF Margin ($1.46B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40.1) create a -15 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MGM Turnaround Squeeze
While MGM currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.21) and Max Pain ($31.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $54.17.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why MGM Stock surged +3.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MGM Resorts International (MGM) surged +3.92% to $29.96, trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($26.71 – $51.59). Stretched risk/reward at 35x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($26.71 – $51.59) with RSI-14 at 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.6% around $29.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.5B annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Las Vegas Review-Journal report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketWatch report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Hotel Dive report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MGM faces Las Vegas pressure as China gains and BetMGM EBITDA surges.
MGM Resorts reported flat year-over-year sales for Q3 2026, aligned with Wall Street’s revenue forecasts, but delivered a notable shortfall on adjusted profitability. Management attributed the quarter’s mixed performance
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MGM)
- ✓Walkthrough of MGM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
MGM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGM)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MGM vs. WYNN, CZR, WH, LTH)
Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MGM Resorts International (MGM) ranks #659 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #212 by equity capitalization ($7.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WYNN leads on earnings valuation at 23.3x trailing P/E, while WH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.2% ROIC and — gross margin. CZR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with MGM at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGM
ACTIVE
MGM Resorts International | D | 45/100 | 35.4x | — | 12.0% | +3.92% | $7.29B | Benchmark Subject |
| WYNN Wynn Resorts Limited | D+ | 54/100 | 23.3x | — | 10.0% | +0.61% | $7.64B | /wynn-vs-mgm → |
| CZR Caesars Entertainment Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | 10.3% | -0.14% | $5.94B | /czr-vs-mgm → |
| WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 29.1x | — | 16.2% | -2.25% | $5.61B | /wh-vs-mgm → |
| LTH Life Time Group Holdings Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 27.1x | 47.6% | 8.6% | -0.55% | $10.13B | /lth-vs-mgm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000789570In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MGM Resorts International (MGM) reported GAAP revenue of $17.54B (+1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.24B , and +8.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $205.9M, operating cash flow of $2.53B, and free cash flow of $1.46B (+20.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGM closed FY2025 with $41.37B in total assets against $6.23B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.71, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $17.54B | $205.9M | $2.53B | $1.46B | $41.37B | $6.23B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $17.24B | $746.6M | $2.36B | $1.21B | $42.23B | $6.36B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $16.16B | $1.14B | $2.69B | $1.96B | $19.40B | $4.54B |
3. MGM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $29.96 (+3.92% 1D, market cap $7.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MGM ranks #659 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MGM compare to WYNN and CZR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MGM carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, WYNN (Wynn Resorts Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 23.3x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $7.64B) and CZR (Caesars Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.3%, cap $5.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WYNN leads on earnings multiple (23.3x) while WH leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGM?
Per MGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000789570), MGM Resorts International generated $17.54B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $205.9M in net income, and $1.46B in free cash flow against $41.37B in total assets and $6.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MGM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MGM last traded at $29.96 (+3.92% on volume of 9,936,260 shares), positioning the stock -12.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.21) and -23.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.98). Across its 52-week range of $26.71 to $51.59, MGM sits at the 13.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($27.38 to $32.54).
MGM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MGM stock moving today?
Why MGM Stock surged +3.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 35x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
MGM — MGM Resorts International: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, MGM scores 45 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 12%; FCF yield 20.02%); Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (Beta 1.11; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 6/20 (Altman Z 0.71; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 2.56).
For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to a split picture. The cash-generation pillar and insider-flow pillar are the strongest components, reflecting a reported ROIC of 12% and a 20.02% FCF yield, plus insider and Congressional activity that the rating weights more favorably. The weakest pillars are macro regime fit and forensic balance sheet. A Beta of 1.11 implies above-market sensitivity to broad moves, and the forensic metrics (Altman Z 0.71, Debt/Equity 2.56) describe a leveraged balance sheet. The 20.02% FCF yield is an upside driver on paper, but it sits alongside a trailing P/E of 35.4 and a Forward P/E of 32.9, so the valuation tradeoff is that cash-flow yield and earnings multiple tell different stories. Institutional accumulation scoring only 6/20 suggests limited smart-money conviction. Overall, the rating frames MGM as a distribution-warning name where the investor should weigh the cash-generation strength against leverage and weak institutional support.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $17537.7M | $1001.8M | $205.9M | N/A | $1460.5M | $2063.0M | $6230.1M |
| FY 2024 | $17240.5M | $1490.5M | $746.6M | N/A | $1211.9M | $2415.5M | $6362.1M |
| FY 2023 | $16164.2M | $1891.5M | $1142.2M | N/A | $1963.4M | N/A | $4538.9M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $16164.2M (FY 2023) to $17537.7M (FY 2025), while net income declined from $1142.2M to $205.9M over the same span. Market data reports an operating margin of 5.7%, a net margin of 1.2%, and a gross margin of 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.71 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 2.56. Reported debt rose from $4538.9M (FY 2023) to $6230.1M (FY 2025), while cash fell from $2415.5M (FY 2024) to $2063.0M (FY 2025).
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Diller deal collapse (RISK WATCH, RED): A Yahoo Finance headline reports MGM stock sinking after a deal collapse, framed as either overreaction or warning.
- Price target cut (RISK WATCH, RED): A TradingView headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $49.28, implying 61% upside.
- Gaming sector weakness (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Las Vegas Review-Journal report describes MGM, Wynn, and betting firms hit hard as gaming stocks struggle.
- Relative underperformance (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A MarketWatch report notes MGM underperformed competitors on a Friday.
- Voting agreement amendment (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Reuters report states MGM amended a voting agreement after People Inc withdrew a takeover proposal.
- Buyer walked away (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Seeking Alpha analysis argues the buyer walked away rather than the business.
Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Not available in source data for supply-chain links; the graph lists no links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What were the terms and reasons behind the collapsed deal, and what is the financial impact on MGM?
- What drove the decline in net income from $1142.2M (FY 2023) to $205.9M (FY 2025) despite rising revenue?
- What is the basis for the reported 20.02% FCF yield relative to the 35.4 trailing P/E?
- Who holds the reported stake changes, and what is the timing of insider and Congressional trades?
- What are MGM's debt maturities and refinancing terms given reported debt of $6230.1M and Altman Z of 0.71?
MGM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MGM Resorts International (MGM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Las Vegas Review-Journal report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketWatch report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Hotel Dive report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MGM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.96?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MGM (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $28.83?
Welcome to the MGM (MGM Resorts International) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (35.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on MGM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MGM, but look at what you are paying: 35.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless MGM Resorts International expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
MGM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MGM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $28.83 (52-wk range $26.71 - $51.59), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.