What is IBTA's 12-month stock price target?

Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $52.1 (+4.1% from $50.07), with a bull-case target of $61.48 and a bear-case floor of $40.64.

Stock Ratings / Communication Services / IBTA / forecast

CRTO (52) MNTN (60) GRPN (46) STGW (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is IBTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates IBTA C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 67/100.

$50.07 +2.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.24

Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.13B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IBTA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IBTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: IBTA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $50.07 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $1.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, IBTA ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBTA compare to CRTO and MNTN in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), IBTA carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 79.2%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, CRTO (Criteo S.A.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 4.9x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $717.8M) and MNTN (MNTN Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.9%, cap $699.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while GRPN leads on capital efficiency (56.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBTA?

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Per IBTA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001538379), Ibotta Inc. (Class A) generated $342.4M in revenue (-6.8% YoY), $3.6M in net income, and $75.0M in free cash flow against $525.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.25 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 21.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBTA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IBTA SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$43.28+11.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$48.13+1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$48.85+2.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$50.07+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IBTA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, IBTA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.67) or 200D SMA ($33.11) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.10) toward Bear Floor ($40.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBTA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IBTA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your IBTA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $50.07: 199.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $40.64

$8,117

$-1,883 (-18.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $52.10

$10,405

+$405 (+4.1%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $61.48

$12,279

+$2,279 (+22.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$54	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$58	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$46	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (IBTA Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IBTA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +40.29%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $49.40H $50.07L $48.62C $50.07VOL 186.0K

RES: $52.13SUP: $18.05SMA50: $42.67SMA200: $33.11

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBTA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IBTA Butterfly Map → + Track IBTA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBTA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBTA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBTA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBTA)

Communication Services Rank #16 of 132 ⚔️ CRTO vs IBTA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (IBTA vs. CRTO, MNTN, GRPN, STGW)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #63 by equity capitalization ($1.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRTO leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while GRPN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 56.5% ROIC and 90.8% gross margin. IBTA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IBTA ACTIVE Ibotta Inc. (Class A)	C+	67/100	—	79.2%	-0.7%	+2.98%	$1.13B	Benchmark Subject
CRTO Criteo S.A.	D+	52/100	4.9x	54.0%	19.8%	+2.18%	$717.8M	/crto-vs-ibta →
MNTN MNTN Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	77.2%	19.9%	+0.64%	$699.4M	/mntn-vs-ibta →
GRPN Groupon Inc.	D	46/100	—	90.8%	56.5%	-1.08%	$640.5M	/grpn-vs-ibta →
STGW Stagwell Inc. (Class A)	C-	61/100	79.4x	36.5%	6.3%	+2.87%	$2.60B	/stgw-vs-ibta →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001538379

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) reported GAAP revenue of $342.4M (-6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $367.3M , and +7.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.6M, operating cash flow of $95.3M, and free cash flow of $75.0M (-34.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBTA closed FY2025 with $525.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.62, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$342.4M	$3.6M	$95.3M	$75.0M	$525.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$367.3M	$68.7M	$115.9M	$115.0M	$678.4M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$320.0M	$38.1M	$22.7M	$22.7M	—	—

3. IBTA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does IBTA compare to CRTO and MNTN in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBTA?

Where is IBTA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBTA last traded at $50.07 (+2.98% on volume of 471,068 shares), positioning the stock +17.34% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.67) and +51.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.11). Across its 52-week range of $19.10 to $50.53, IBTA sits at the 98.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($45.41 to $54.73).

Direct Sub-Reports: IBTA RQD Cockpit IBTA 12M Forecast IBTA Earnings & Move IBTA Dividends & DRIP IBTA Insiders & 13F IBTA Whale Options IBTA Profit Sankey IBTA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IBTA — Ibotta Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:33Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

IBTA scores 67 out of 100 with a letter grade of C+, labeled "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): ROIC is -0.7% and FCF yield is 6.55%. A positive FCF yield alongside negative ROIC suggests cash generation is present while capital returns on the business are currently negative. This is the weakest-looking profitability signal in the set.
Whale 13F Flow (16/20): this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar in the score, though the source does not itemize the underlying holder data (see Analyst View section).
Insider Conviction (12/20): this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Recent news items reference insider dispositions, so this pillar's mid-range score is consistent with mixed insider signaling.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20): beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is factored in. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move in line with the market; the pillar score indicates no strong macro tailwind is embedded.
Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Altman Z is 3.62, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These figures describe a balance sheet with more strength than weakness on the forensic scorecard.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a neutral posture with a watch-for-breakout framing rather than a strong directional call. Upside drivers in the data are institutional positioning and the balance sheet profile. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the gap between a 6.55% FCF yield and a -0.7% ROIC, and the shares have traded from a 52-week low of $19.1 to a high of $50.53 with the current price at $49.4. The rating is analytical and educational, not a personalized recommendation.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ibotta Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector and the Advertising industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 79.2%.

Revenue declined from $367.3M in FY 2024 to $342.4M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $27.9M to -$0.8M over the same period. Per the market data, operating margin is -0.2% and net margin is 1%. ROIC is -0.7%, the Altman Z is 3.62, the Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash fell from $349.3M in FY 2024 to $186.6M in FY 2025.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Strong institutional positioning (16/20 whale flow) and a 6.55% FCF yield support the cash-generation case. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC -0.7%, FCF yield 6.55%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $19.10 – $50.53 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Operating income swung from $27.9M in FY 2024 to -$0.8M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -0.7%. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.2% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should treat this section as unresolved rather than as evidence of no exposure.

Key Question #1: What are the drivers of the decline in operating income from $27.9M in FY 2024 to -$0.8M in FY 2025, and what is the company's guidance?
Key Question #2: Does the debt figure for FY 2025 remain unreported, and what is the current debt load behind the 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio?
Key Question #3: What upstream or downstream relationships exist for the company, since the supply-chain graph is empty?

IBTA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IBTA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Why Everyone Is Watching Ibotta (IBTA) Right Now

Yahoo Finance report covering Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 23h ago

Ibotta CEO Bryan Leach disposes of $2.47 million in Ibotta (IBTA) shares

Investing.com report covering Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Ibotta: Premium Valuation Compared To Peers, With Falling EBITDA

Seeking Alpha report covering Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Ibotta (IBTA) to report earnings tomorrow: here is what to expect

TradingView report covering Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Ibotta (IBTA) Rallies on Growth Story But Is the Valuation Already Priced In

Simply Wall St report covering Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Ibotta (NYSE:IBTA) Stock: Insider Luke Roy Swanson Sells 5,940 Shares

MarketBeat report covering Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Ibotta (NYSE:IBTA) Stock: Insider Luke Roy Swanson Sells 3,695 Shares

MarketBeat report covering Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Ibotta (NYSE:IBTA) Insider Sells 247 Shares of Stock

MarketBeat report covering Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBTA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $50.07?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBTA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

TA TapeReader_Pro Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $58.34 (+20.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong institutional positioning (16/20 whale flow) and a 6.55% FCF yield support the cash-generation case.

Long IBTA at $48.62 targeting $58.34. Strong institutional positioning (16/20 whale flow) and a 6.55% FCF yield support the cash-generation case.. Institutional whale score is 16/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $19.10 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $48.62 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

ME MeanReversion_88 Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.46 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $48.62

Operating income swung from $27.9M in FY 2024 to -$0.8M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -0.7%.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on IBTA: Operating income swung from $27.9M in FY 2024 to -$0.8M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -0.7%.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Advertising triggers a 12-15% air pocket.