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Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$50.07 +2.98% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.24

Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.13B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IBTA Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IBTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: IBTA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $50.07 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $1.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, IBTA ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBTA compare to CRTO and MNTN in the Communication Services sector?
β–Ό

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), IBTA carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 79.2%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, CRTO (Criteo S.A.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 4.9x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $717.8M) and MNTN (MNTN Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.9%, cap $699.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while GRPN leads on capital efficiency (56.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBTA?
β–Ό

Per IBTA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001538379), Ibotta Inc. (Class A) generated $342.4M in revenue (-6.8% YoY), $3.6M in net income, and $75.0M in free cash flow against $525.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.25 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 21.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (16)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$61 Bull$52 Base$41 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE IBTA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBTA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY IBTA SCORES 67/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±9.3% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$43.28+11.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$48.13+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$48.85+2.5% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$50.07+1.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ C+ (67)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IBTA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, IBTA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 76.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.67) or 200D SMA ($33.11) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.10) toward Bear Floor ($40.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBTAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œIBTA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in IBTA & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on IBTA and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IBTA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +40.29%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $49.40H $50.07L $48.62C $50.07VOL 186.0K
RES: $52.13SUP: $18.05SMA50: $42.67SMA200: $33.11
$52.40$44.66$36.92$29.18$21.44RES $52.13SUP $18.05$50.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBTA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBTA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBTA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBTA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBTA)

Communication Services Rank #16 of 132 βš”οΈ CRTO vs IBTA Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (IBTA vs. CRTO, MNTN, GRPN, STGW)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #63 by equity capitalization ($1.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRTO leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while GRPN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 56.5% ROIC and 90.8% gross margin. IBTA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBTA ACTIVE
Ibotta Inc. (Class A)
C+ 67/100 β€” 79.2% -0.7% +2.98% $1.13B Benchmark Subject
CRTO
Criteo S.A.
D+ 52/100 4.9x 54.0% 19.8% +2.18% $717.8M /crto-vs-ibta β†’
MNTN
MNTN Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 β€” 77.2% 19.9% +0.64% $699.4M /mntn-vs-ibta β†’
GRPN
Groupon Inc.
D 46/100 β€” 90.8% 56.5% -1.08% $640.5M /grpn-vs-ibta β†’
STGW
Stagwell Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 79.4x 36.5% 6.3% +2.87% $2.60B /stgw-vs-ibta β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001538379 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) reported GAAP revenue of $342.4M (-6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $367.3M , and +7.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.6M, operating cash flow of $95.3M, and free cash flow of $75.0M (-34.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBTA closed FY2025 with $525.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.62, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $342.4M $3.6M $95.3M $75.0M $525.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $367.3M $68.7M $115.9M $115.0M $678.4M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $320.0M $38.1M $22.7M $22.7M β€” β€”

3. IBTA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: IBTA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $50.07 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $1.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, IBTA ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBTA compare to CRTO and MNTN in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), IBTA carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 79.2%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, CRTO (Criteo S.A.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 4.9x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $717.8M) and MNTN (MNTN Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.9%, cap $699.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while GRPN leads on capital efficiency (56.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBTA?

Per IBTA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001538379), Ibotta Inc. (Class A) generated $342.4M in revenue (-6.8% YoY), $3.6M in net income, and $75.0M in free cash flow against $525.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBTA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBTA last traded at $50.07 (+2.98% on volume of 471,068 shares), positioning the stock +17.34% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.67) and +51.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.11). Across its 52-week range of $19.10 to $50.53, IBTA sits at the 98.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.3% ($45.41 to $54.73).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 67/100 (C+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

IBTA β€” Ibotta Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $50.07 (+2.98% 1D, market capitalization $1.13B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.7%, gross margin of 79.2%, operating margin of -0.2%, and free cash flow yield of 6.55%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.62, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ibotta Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector and the Advertising industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 79.2%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) reported $342.4M in annual revenue (up from $367.3M in FY2024, -6.8% YoY) and $3.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($320.0M revenue, $38.1M net income) through FY2025, IBTA scaled operating cash flow to $95.3M and free cash flow to $75.0M, backed by $525.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C+ β€’ RQD 67/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 6.55% and institutional whale pillar of 16/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.10 – $50.53 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should treat this section as unresolved rather than as evidence of no exposure.

  • Key Question #1: Can IBTA sustain or expand its -0.2% operating margin and -0.7% ROIC against Advertising peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $342.4M and free cash flow of $75.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is IBTA's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

IBTA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to IBTA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBTA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $50.07?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBTA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IBTA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $58.34 (+20.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Strong institutional positioning (16/20 whale flow) and a 6.55% FCF yield support the cash-generation case.

Long IBTA at $48.62 targeting $58.34. Strong institutional positioning (16/20 whale flow) and a 6.55% FCF yield support the cash-generation case.. Institutional whale score is 16/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $19.10 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $48.62 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.46 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $48.62

Operating income swung from $27.9M in FY 2024 to -$0.8M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -0.7%.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on IBTA: Operating income swung from $27.9M in FY 2024 to -$0.8M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -0.7%.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Advertising triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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