What is FND's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FND.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FND / options

BLDR (60) BCC (52) QXO (26) TSCO (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$49.14 +3.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.33

Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.96B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FND Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (NYSE: FND) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $49.14 (+3.26% 1D, market cap $4.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FND ranks #479 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FND compare to BLDR and BCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), FND carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.7x, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, BLDR (Builders FirstSource Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $6.98B) and BCC (Boise Cascade L.L.C.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLDR leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while TSCO leads on capital efficiency (27.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FND?

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Per FND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-25, CIK 0001507079), Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. generated $4.68B in revenue (+5.1% YoY), $208.6M in net income, and $171.1M in free cash flow against $5.47B in total assets and $193.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.34 (+0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 3.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FND SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.62 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.9) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$44.22+2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$45.11+5.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$47.55+3.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$49.14-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FND Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FND currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.49) and Max Pain ($51.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $81.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FND• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FND Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 24, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±10%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FND)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FND.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FND)

✓Walkthrough of FND's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.91%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $50.34H $50.34L $47.59C $49.14VOL 5.62M

RES: $70.67SUP: $42.34SMA50: $47.49SMA200: $54.25

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FND Butterfly Map → + Track FND →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

19.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FND today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FND)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #479 of 1009 ⚔️ BLDR vs FND Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FND vs. BLDR, BCC, QXO, TSCO)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) ranks #479 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #271 by equity capitalization ($4.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLDR leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while TSCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 27.9% ROIC and 36.4% gross margin. TSCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with FND at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FND ACTIVE Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.	D+	53/100	25.7x	43.6%	11.0%	+3.26%	$4.96B	Benchmark Subject
BLDR Builders FirstSource Inc.	C-	60/100	15.6x	30.4%	8.8%	+4.48%	$6.98B	/bldr-vs-fnd →
BCC Boise Cascade L.L.C.	D+	52/100	20.4x	—	7.1%	-4.86%	$2.75B	/bcc-vs-fnd →
QXO QXO Inc.	E	26/100	—	23.0%	-1.9%	+5.80%	$11.45B	/qxo-vs-fnd →
TSCO Tractor Supply Company	B-	70/100	16.0x	36.4%	27.9%	+4.04%	$17.68B	/tsco-vs-fnd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-25 • CIK 0001507079 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-25), Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) reported GAAP revenue of $4.68B (+5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.46B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $208.6M, operating cash flow of $381.8M, and free cash flow of $171.1M (-57.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, FND closed FY2025 with $5.47B in total assets against $193.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.62, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-25	$4.68B	$208.6M	$381.8M	$171.1M	$5.47B	$193.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-26	$4.46B	$205.9M	$603.2M	$402.6M	$5.05B	$194.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-28	$4.41B	$246.0M	$803.6M	$605.0M	$5.30B	$1.24B

3. FND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FND compare to BLDR and BCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FND?

Where is FND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FND last traded at $49.14 (+3.26% on volume of 3,487,990 shares), positioning the stock +3.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.49) and -9.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($54.25). Across its 52-week range of $42.64 to $77.46, FND sits at the 18.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($44.23 to $54.05).

Direct Sub-Reports: FND RQD Cockpit FND 12M Forecast FND Earnings & Move FND Dividends & DRIP FND Insiders & 13F FND Whale Options FND Profit Sankey FND News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FND — Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-25

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $49.14 (+3.26% 1D, market capitalization $4.96B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.0%, gross margin of 43.6%, operating margin of 5.8%, and free cash flow yield of 3.19%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.10x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.62, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.08x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the RETAIL: Building Materials industry. And profile, the company generates revenue from retail sales of building materials.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-25), Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) reported $4.68B in annual revenue (up from $4.46B in FY2024, +5.1% YoY) and $208.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.41B revenue, $246.0M net income) through FY2025, FND scaled operating cash flow to $381.8M and free cash flow to $171.1M, backed by $5.47B in total assets against $193.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.19% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $42.64 – $77.46 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 25.7x trailing P/E and 10.9x EV/EBITDA against 5.8% operating margins and a 1.10x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped. Upstream/downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations: — The most-cited second-order theme in the news wire is margin pressure (per the Investing.com headline), which a prospective investor could track as a bellwether for operating margin (currently 5.8%) against the FY 2023 to FY 2025 trend in operating income.

Key Question #1: Can FND sustain or expand its 5.8% operating margin and 11.0% ROIC against RETAIL: Building Materials peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.68B and free cash flow of $171.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $193.6M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is FND's 23.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.10x)?

FND Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FND Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Floor & Decor Warrants Upside Given Its Valuation And Growth (NYSE:FND)

Seeking Alpha report covering Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Floor & Decor Holdings (NYSE:FND) - Stock Analysis

Simply Wall St report covering Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Floor & Decor (FND) Stock Sinks As Q3 Results Fail To Ease Valuation Doubts

Yahoo Finance report covering Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $54.85, Implies 9% Upside

TradingView report covering Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Investing.com • 1d ago

BofA cuts Floor & Decor stock price target on margin pressures

Investing.com report covering Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A new Florence flooring store's opening event includes a chance to win a Chevy Colorado.

Stock Titan report covering Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

TD Cowen reiterates Floor & Decor stock rating at Hold, citing macro headwinds

Investing.com report covering Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FND Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $49.14?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FND 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $62.82 (+32.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 2.62, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.08, indicating strong financial stabi

Long FND at $47.59 targeting $62.82. The forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 2.62, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.08, indicating strong financial stability.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $42.64 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.1 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $47.59 and keeping dry powder in case we test $44.26.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $35.69 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $47.59

Free cash flow fell from $605.0M in FY 2023 to $171.1M in FY 2025 while the stock trades at a 25.7 trailing P/E, and the RQD rating car

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short FND above $47.59. Free cash flow fell from $605.0M in FY 2023 to $171.1M in FY 2025 while the stock trades at a 25.7 trailing P/E, and the RQD rating carries a trim verdict.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20) and FCF yield (3.19%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $77.46.