Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$19.69 +2.07% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.73

Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.40B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FLYW Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Flywire Corporation Voting (NASDAQ: FLYW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $19.69 (+2.07% 1D, market cap $2.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYW ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLYW compare to PAYO and TIC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), FLYW carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.42B) and TIC (TIC Solutions Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.4%, cap $2.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNET leads on earnings multiple (18.9x) while TNET leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYW?
β–Ό

Per FLYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580560), Flywire Corporation Voting generated $623.0M in revenue (+26.6% YoY), $13.5M in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.73 (+0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 15.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (17)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$24 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FLYW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLYW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FLYW SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±6.9% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.91 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.3) create a -10 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$18.26+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$18.64+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$18.84+4.5% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$19.69+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FLYW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, FLYW faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.30) or 200D SMA ($15.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.22) toward Bear Floor ($15.77).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLYWβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFLYW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FLYW)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FLYW.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FLYW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FLYW
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FLYW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +38.47%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $19.29H $19.69L $19.29C $19.69VOL 1.81M
RES: $19.79SUP: $17.46SMA50: $18.30SMA200: $15.58
$20.29$18.21$16.13$14.05$11.96RES $19.79SUP $17.46$19.692026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +26.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLYW today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLYW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLYW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #247 of 1011 βš”οΈ PAYO vs FLYW Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FLYW vs. PAYO, TIC, TNET, CBZ)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) ranks #247 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #394 by equity capitalization ($2.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNET leads on earnings valuation at 18.9x trailing P/E, while TNET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CBZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with FLYW at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLYW ACTIVE
Flywire Corporation Voting
C 64/100 β€” β€” 1.8% +2.07% $2.40B Benchmark Subject
PAYO
Payoneer Global Inc.
C+ 67/100 33.0x β€” 34.1% +0.42% $2.42B /payo-vs-flyw β†’
TIC
TIC Solutions Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 29.4% -0.4% -3.27% $2.19B /tic-vs-flyw β†’
TNET
TriNet Group Inc.
C+ 66/100 18.9x β€” 85.0% +0.91% $2.94B /tnet-vs-flyw β†’
CBZ
CBIZ Inc.
B- 71/100 25.8x 12.9% 5.9% +0.06% $2.98B /cbz-vs-flyw β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001580560

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) reported GAAP revenue of $623.0M (+26.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $492.1M , and +54.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.5M, operating cash flow of $100.2M, and free cash flow of $98.8M (+1.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLYW closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.91, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $623.0M $13.5M $100.2M $98.8M $1.25B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $492.1M $2.9M $98.7M $97.7M $1.12B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $403.1M -$8.6M $76.3M $76.3M β€” β€”

3. FLYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Flywire Corporation Voting (NASDAQ: FLYW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $19.69 (+2.07% 1D, market cap $2.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYW ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLYW compare to PAYO and TIC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), FLYW carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.42B) and TIC (TIC Solutions Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.4%, cap $2.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNET leads on earnings multiple (18.9x) while TNET leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYW?

Per FLYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580560), Flywire Corporation Voting generated $623.0M in revenue (+26.6% YoY), $13.5M in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYW last traded at $19.69 (+2.07% on volume of 1,809,994 shares), positioning the stock +7.60% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.30) and +26.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.58). Across its 52-week range of $10.55 to $19.79, FLYW sits at the 98.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.9% ($18.33 to $21.05).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FLYW β€” Flywire Corporation Voting: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FLYW scores 63 out of 100, graded C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 1.8% and an FCF yield of 4.21%. For a prospective investor, the low ROIC indicates limited current efficiency in converting invested capital into returns, while the FCF yield offers a modest cash-generation signal relative to the share price.
  • Whale 13F Flow (16 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar is labeled as institutional accumulation and options positioning.
  • Insider Conviction (11 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The below-midpoint score signals limited insider conviction in either direction; the underlying trade detail is not provided.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. A beta of 1.0 implies the stock moves in line with the broader market, so it offers no defensive cushion and no obvious macro tailwind from this measure alone.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.91, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and supports the view that near-term solvency risk is contained.

Taken together, the investor implications are: the balance sheet and institutional flow provide the upside foundation, while weak ROIC and muted insider conviction limit the case for re-rating. Valuation tradeoffs center on whether the 4.21% FCF yield is sufficient compensation given the 1.8% ROIC. The grade reflects a balanced profile rather than a clear directional signal.

Business

Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry. β€” regarding specific products, customer base, or revenue model; the profile does not describe what the company sells, to whom, or how it earns revenue.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Price target raise (GREEN, CATALYST): A TradingView headline reports the 12-month price target raised to $21.33, implying 13% upside.
  • Q3'26 earnings preview (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A headline cites a revenue estimate of 233.26M USD for Q3'26.
  • Q2 2026 earnings loss (RED, RISK WATCH): Two headlines report a wider-than-expected loss pressuring shares, with a share dilution risk flagged in one.

The butterfly supply-chain graph lists sector as Consumer Discretionary and supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain dependencies and no butterfly links, so upstream/downstream relationships, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided material.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

β€” No analyst consensus rating or price target data is provided; the analyst data field is NONE. No holder, 13F, Form 4, or Congressional trade detail is provided; the holders field is NONE.

Open Questions

  • What are Flywire's core products, customer segments, and revenue model? The profile does not describe the business.
  • What are the trailing and forward P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples, and how do they compare with peers?
  • What is the debt balance and EPS history, given that both are reported as N/A in the financials?
  • What is the scale and direction of the share dilution risk flagged in the Q2 2026 headlines?
  • Which institutions hold the stock, and what do the insider Form 4 and Congressional trades show?

FLYW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FLYW Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FLYW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $19.69?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FLYW 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FLYW:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $20.83 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FLYW (C β€’ RQD 63/100) a Buy at $19.29?

Welcome to the FLYW (Flywire Corporation Voting) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.66 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $19.29

Pump the brakes on FLYW β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FLYW, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Flywire Corporation Voting expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.53 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $19.29

FLYW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FLYW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.29 (52-wk range $10.55 - $19.79), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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