Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$19.69 +2.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.73

Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.35B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FLYW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Flywire Corporation Voting (NASDAQ: FLYW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $19.69 (+2.07% 1D, market cap $2.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYW ranks #278 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLYW compare to PAYO and TIC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), FLYW carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.41B) and TIC (TIC Solutions Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.4%, cap $2.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while WU leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYW?
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Per FLYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580560), Flywire Corporation Voting generated $623.0M in revenue (+26.6% YoY), $13.5M in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.73 (+0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 15.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (16)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$24 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE FLYW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLYW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FLYW SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.91 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.6) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$18.42-1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$18.17+5.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$19.15+2.8% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$19.69+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FLYW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, FLYW faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.29) or 200D SMA ($15.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.13) toward Bear Floor ($15.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLYW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FLYW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FLYW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $19.69: 507.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $15.70
$7,974
$-2,026 (-20.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $20.13
$10,223
+$223 (+2.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.75
$12,062
+$2,062 (+20.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$2269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FLYW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FLYW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +38.47%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $18.93H $19.69L $18.93C $19.69VOL 842.1K
RES: $20.83SUP: $17.43SMA50: $18.29SMA200: $15.55
$20.29$18.21$16.13$14.05$11.96RES $20.83SUP $17.43$19.692026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +26.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLYW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLYW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLYW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #278 of 1011 ⚔️ PAYO vs FLYW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FLYW vs. PAYO, TIC, WU, TNET)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) ranks #278 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #398 by equity capitalization ($2.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WU leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while WU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.3% gross margin. TNET currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with FLYW at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLYW ACTIVE
Flywire Corporation Voting
C 63/100 — — 1.8% +2.07% $2.35B Benchmark Subject
PAYO
Payoneer Global Inc.
C 65/100 33.0x — 34.1% +0.42% $2.41B /payo-vs-flyw →
TIC
TIC Solutions Inc.
D 48/100 — 29.4% -0.4% -3.27% $2.27B /tic-vs-flyw →
WU
Western Union Company
D+ 52/100 3.9x 34.3% 85.0% -0.80% $1.94B /wu-vs-flyw →
TNET
TriNet Group Inc.
C+ 66/100 18.9x — 85.0% +0.91% $2.92B /tnet-vs-flyw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001580560

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) reported GAAP revenue of $623.0M (+26.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $492.1M , and +54.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.5M, operating cash flow of $100.2M, and free cash flow of $98.8M (+1.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLYW closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.91, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $623.0M $13.5M $100.2M $98.8M $1.25B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $492.1M $2.9M $98.7M $97.7M $1.12B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $403.1M -$8.6M $76.3M $76.3M — —

3. FLYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Flywire Corporation Voting (NASDAQ: FLYW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $19.69 (+2.07% 1D, market cap $2.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYW ranks #278 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLYW compare to PAYO and TIC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), FLYW carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.41B) and TIC (TIC Solutions Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.4%, cap $2.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while WU leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYW?

Per FLYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580560), Flywire Corporation Voting generated $623.0M in revenue (+26.6% YoY), $13.5M in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYW last traded at $19.69 (+2.07% on volume of 1,809,994 shares), positioning the stock +7.65% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.29) and +26.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.55). Across its 52-week range of $10.55 to $19.79, FLYW sits at the 98.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($18.33 to $21.05).

FLYW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FLYW's 12-month stock price target?

Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $20.13 (+2.2% from $19.69), with a bull-case target of $23.75 and a bear-case floor of $15.7.

Is FLYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FLYW C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 63/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FLYW — Flywire Corporation Voting: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FLYW scores 63 out of 100, graded C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 1.8% and an FCF yield of 4.21%. For a prospective investor, the low ROIC indicates limited current efficiency in converting invested capital into returns, while the FCF yield offers a modest cash-generation signal relative to the share price.
  • Whale 13F Flow (16 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar is labeled as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is moderately favorable, suggesting some institutional interest, though the source data does not itemize holdings.
  • Insider Conviction (11 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The below-midpoint score signals limited insider conviction in either direction; the underlying trade detail is not provided.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. A beta of 1.0 implies the stock moves in line with the broader market, so it offers no defensive cushion and no obvious macro tailwind from this measure alone.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.91, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and supports the view that near-term solvency risk is contained.

Taken together, the investor implications are: the balance sheet and institutional flow provide the upside foundation, while weak ROIC and muted insider conviction limit the case for re-rating. Valuation tradeoffs center on whether the 4.21% FCF yield is sufficient compensation given the 1.8% ROIC. The grade reflects a balanced profile rather than a clear directional signal.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$623.0M$11.3M$13.5MN/A$98.8M$330.3MN/A
FY 2024$492.1M$-7.3M$2.9MN/A$97.7M$495.2MN/A
FY 2023$403.1M$-21.5M$-8.6MN/A$76.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $403.1M in FY 2023 to $623.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss of $-21.5M to a profit of $11.3M. Per the market data, operating margin is 1.8%, net margin is 2.2%, and ROIC is 1.8%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.91 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash declined from $495.2M in FY 2024 to $330.3M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Price target raise (GREEN, CATALYST): A TradingView headline reports the 12-month price target raised to $21.33, implying 13% upside.
  • Q3'26 earnings preview (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A headline cites a revenue estimate of 233.26M USD for Q3'26.
  • Q2 2026 earnings loss (RED, RISK WATCH): Two headlines report a wider-than-expected loss pressuring shares, with a share dilution risk flagged in one.

The butterfly supply-chain graph lists sector as Consumer Discretionary and supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are Flywire's core products, customer segments, and revenue model? The profile does not describe the business.
  • What are the trailing and forward P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples, and how do they compare with peers?
  • What is the debt balance and EPS history, given that both are reported as N/A in the financials?
  • What is the scale and direction of the share dilution risk flagged in the Q2 2026 headlines?
  • Which institutions hold the stock, and what do the insider Form 4 and Congressional trades show?

FLYW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FLYW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FLYW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.69?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FLYW 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FLYW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $20.83 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FLYW (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $19.29?

Welcome to the FLYW (Flywire Corporation Voting) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.66 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $19.29

Pump the brakes on FLYW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FLYW, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Flywire Corporation Voting expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.53 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $19.29

FLYW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FLYW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.29 (52-wk range $10.55 - $19.79), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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