Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why EXE Stock slipped -1.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is EXE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: EXE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $89.46 (-1.20% 1D, market cap $20.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EXE ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does EXE compare to OVV and PR in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EXE carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, OVV (Ovintiv Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $20.53B) and PR (Permian Resources Corporation) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $21.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXE?
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Per EXE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895126), Expand Energy Corporation generated $12.12B in revenue (+186.3% YoY), $1.82B in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $28.29B in total assets and $5.01B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 2.25 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EXE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, EXE faces multiple-compression risk if 11.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($91.63) or 200D SMA ($96.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($92.28) toward Bear Floor ($71.98).
Why EXE Stock slipped -1.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) slipped -1.20% to $89.46, trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($83.25 – $126.62). Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($83.25 – $126.62) with RSI-14 at 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.1% around $89.46 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.8B annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Billionaire investor Howard Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management, has spent more than five decades studying financial markets, investment risk, and speculative bubbles. His firm, founded in 1995, has grown int
Natural gas producer Expand Energy (NASDAQ:EXE) reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q3 2026, with sales up 11.6% year on year to $2.81 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.46 per share was 10.8% above a
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EXE Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
EXE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +186.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXE today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXE)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EXE vs. OVV, PR, TPL, APA)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) ranks #65 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #44 by equity capitalization ($20.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXE leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while APA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. APA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with EXE at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXE
ACTIVE
Expand Energy Corporation | C | 65/100 | 11.5x | — | 8.5% | -1.20% | $20.91B | Benchmark Subject |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | B | 74/100 | 16.3x | — | 5.7% | -6.66% | $20.53B | /ovv-vs-exe → |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | B | 72/100 | — | — | 8.5% | -5.61% | $21.79B | /pr-vs-exe → |
| TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | C | 65/100 | 47.0x | — | 25.9% | -0.52% | $22.88B | /tpl-vs-exe → |
| APA APA Corporation | A- | 82/100 | 12.6x | — | 26.6% | -7.57% | $18.51B | /apa-vs-exe → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000895126 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) reported GAAP revenue of $12.12B (+186.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.24B , and +39.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.82B, operating cash flow of $4.58B, and free cash flow of $1.84B (+22887.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXE closed FY2025 with $28.29B in total assets against $5.01B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.25, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $12.12B | $1.82B | $4.58B | $1.84B | $28.29B | $5.01B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.24B | -$714.0M | $1.56B | $8.0M | $27.89B | $5.29B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $8.72B | $2.42B | $2.38B | $1.99B | $11.49B | $2.69B |
3. EXE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EXE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: EXE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $89.46 (-1.20% 1D, market cap $20.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EXE ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EXE compare to OVV and PR in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EXE carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, OVV (Ovintiv Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $20.53B) and PR (Permian Resources Corporation) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $21.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXE?
Per EXE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895126), Expand Energy Corporation generated $12.12B in revenue (+186.3% YoY), $1.82B in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $28.29B in total assets and $5.01B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EXE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EXE last traded at $89.46 (-1.20% on volume of 2,649,214 shares), positioning the stock -2.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($91.63) and -7.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($96.62). Across its 52-week range of $83.25 to $126.62, EXE sits at the 14.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($84.90 to $94.02).
EXE — Expand Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $89.46 (-1.20% 1D, market capitalization $20.91B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 20.4%, and free cash flow yield of 8.80%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.06x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.25, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.27x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in Oil & Gas Production, with a market capitalization of $20.9B. — for products sold, customer base, or detailed revenue model. The source data reports operating margin of 20.4% and net margin of 15%, and gross margin of 0%.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) reported $12.12B in annual revenue (up from $4.24B in FY2024, +186.3% YoY) and $1.82B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.72B revenue, $2.42B net income) through FY2025, EXE scaled operating cash flow to $4.58B and free cash flow to $1.84B, backed by $28.29B in total assets against $5.01B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.80% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $83.25 – $126.62 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 11.5x trailing P/E and 5.3x EV/EBITDA against 20.4% operating margins and a 1.06x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The sector and industry (Energy; Oil & Gas Production) are the only contextual inputs.
- Key Question #1: Can EXE sustain or expand its 20.4% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $12.12B and free cash flow of $1.84B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.01B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is EXE's 9.7x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.06x)?
EXE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
EXE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $89.46?
Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.46 beat the $1.29 FactSet estimate while the forward P/E of 9.7 sits below the trailing 11.5.
Don't sleep on EXE's setup in Energy. Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.46 beat the $1.29 FactSet estimate while the forward P/E of 9.7 sits below the trailing 11.5.. Beta of 1.06 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (65/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
Both sides have a point here — EXE's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
The stock is down 17% year-to-date and whale/13F flow scores only 8 of 20 on institutional accumulation.
Fading this rally in EXE at $90.55. The stock is down 17% year-to-date and whale/13F flow scores only 8 of 20 on institutional accumulation.. With a beta of 1.06 and the stock sitting at $90.55 (52-wk range $83.25–$126.62), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.