What is EXE's 12-month stock price target?

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $92.28 (+3.2% from $89.46), with a bull-case target of $132.95 and a bear-case floor of $71.98.

Stock Ratings / Energy / EXE / forecast

OVV (74) PR (72) TPL (65) APA (82) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is EXE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates EXE C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 65/100.

$89.46 -1.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $89.10

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $20.91B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EXE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EXE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: EXE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $89.46 (-1.20% 1D, market cap $20.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EXE ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EXE compare to OVV and PR in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EXE carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, OVV (Ovintiv Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $20.53B) and PR (Permian Resources Corporation) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $21.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXE?

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Per EXE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895126), Expand Energy Corporation generated $12.12B in revenue (+186.3% YoY), $1.82B in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $28.29B in total assets and $5.01B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $89.09 (-0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 15.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EXE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EXE SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.25 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$91.11+1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$92.83-1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$91.57-2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$89.46+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EXE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, EXE faces multiple-compression risk if 11.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($91.63) or 200D SMA ($96.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($92.28) toward Bear Floor ($71.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EXE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EXE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your EXE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $89.46: 111.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $71.98

$8,046

$-1,954 (-19.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $92.28

$10,315

+$315 (+3.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $132.95

$14,861

+$4,861 (+48.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$96	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$125	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$82	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EXE Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

EXE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $90.44H $90.55L $89.46C $89.46VOL 2.16M

RES: $99.67SUP: $82.44SMA50: $91.63SMA200: $96.62

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EXE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EXE Butterfly Map → + Track EXE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

1.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EXE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXE)

Energy Rank #65 of 211 ⚔️ OVV vs EXE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EXE vs. OVV, PR, TPL, APA)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) ranks #65 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #44 by equity capitalization ($20.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXE leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while APA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. APA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with EXE at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EXE ACTIVE Expand Energy Corporation	C	65/100	11.5x	—	8.5%	-1.20%	$20.91B	Benchmark Subject
OVV Ovintiv Inc.	B	74/100	16.3x	—	5.7%	-6.66%	$20.53B	/ovv-vs-exe →
PR Permian Resources Corporation	B	72/100	—	—	8.5%	-5.61%	$21.79B	/pr-vs-exe →
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation	C	65/100	47.0x	—	25.9%	-0.52%	$22.88B	/tpl-vs-exe →
APA APA Corporation	A-	82/100	12.6x	—	26.6%	-7.57%	$18.51B	/apa-vs-exe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000895126

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) reported GAAP revenue of $12.12B (+186.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.24B , and +39.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.82B, operating cash flow of $4.58B, and free cash flow of $1.84B (+22887.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXE closed FY2025 with $28.29B in total assets against $5.01B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.25, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$12.12B	$1.82B	$4.58B	$1.84B	$28.29B	$5.01B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.24B	-$714.0M	$1.56B	$8.0M	$27.89B	$5.29B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$8.72B	$2.42B	$2.38B	$1.99B	$11.49B	$2.69B

3. EXE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EXE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does EXE compare to OVV and PR in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXE?

Where is EXE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EXE last traded at $89.46 (-1.20% on volume of 2,649,214 shares), positioning the stock -2.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($91.63) and -7.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($96.62). Across its 52-week range of $83.25 to $126.62, EXE sits at the 14.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($84.90 to $94.02).

Direct Sub-Reports: EXE RQD Cockpit EXE 12M Forecast EXE Earnings & Move EXE Dividends & DRIP EXE Insiders & 13F EXE Whale Options EXE Profit Sankey EXE News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EXE — Expand Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $89.46 (-1.20% 1D, market capitalization $20.91B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 20.4%, and free cash flow yield of 8.80%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (17/20): Incorporates a 1.06x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.25, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.27x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in Oil & Gas Production, with a market capitalization of $20.9B. — for products sold, customer base, or detailed revenue model. The source data reports operating margin of 20.4% and net margin of 15%, and gross margin of 0%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) reported $12.12B in annual revenue (up from $4.24B in FY2024, +186.3% YoY) and $1.82B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.72B revenue, $2.42B net income) through FY2025, EXE scaled operating cash flow to $4.58B and free cash flow to $1.84B, backed by $28.29B in total assets against $5.01B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.80% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $83.25 – $126.62 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 11.5x trailing P/E and 5.3x EV/EBITDA against 20.4% operating margins and a 1.06x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector and industry (Energy; Oil & Gas Production) are the only contextual inputs.

Key Question #1: Can EXE sustain or expand its 20.4% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $12.12B and free cash flow of $1.84B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.01B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is EXE's 9.7x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.06x)?

EXE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EXE Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Expand Energy: LNG Demand Growth Takes Time (NASDAQ:EXE)

Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Expand Energy Stock Declines 17% YTD: How Should Investors Play It?

TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Earnings Flash (EXE) Expand Energy Corporation Posts Q3 Adjusted EPS $1.46 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $1.29

marketscreener.com report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Expand Energy: Addressing Common Push-Back And Raising Targets

Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

Expand Energy Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $122.07, Implies 34% Upside

TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Expand Energy Corporation 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:EXE) 2026-10-28

Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EXE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $89.46?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EXE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $107.75 (+19.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.46 beat the $1.29 FactSet estimate while the forward P/E of 9.7 sits below the trailing 11.5.

Don't sleep on EXE's setup in Energy. Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.46 beat the $1.29 FactSet estimate while the forward P/E of 9.7 sits below the trailing 11.5.. Beta of 1.06 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (65/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — EXE's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $77.87 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $90.55

The stock is down 17% year-to-date and whale/13F flow scores only 8 of 20 on institutional accumulation.

Fading this rally in EXE at $90.55. The stock is down 17% year-to-date and whale/13F flow scores only 8 of 20 on institutional accumulation.. With a beta of 1.06 and the stock sitting at $90.55 (52-wk range $83.25–$126.62), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.