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Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$5.25 +3.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.27

Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $680.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Dakota Gold Corp. (NYSE: DC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $5.25 (+3.55% 1D, market cap $680.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, DC ranks #233 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DC compare to LAR and GSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), DC carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.3%. By comparison, LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $669.5M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DC?
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Per DC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852353), Dakota Gold Corp. generated $86.1M in revenue (-10.4% YoY), -$29.5M in net income, and -$25.6M in free cash flow against $115.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.27 (+0.45%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$8 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE DC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DC SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$5.70-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$5.59-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$5.56-5.6% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$5.25-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DC currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.87) and Max Pain ($5.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±10.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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DC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.85%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $5.47H $5.47L $5.07C $5.25VOL 1.23M
RES: $7.59SUP: $4.95SMA50: $5.87SMA200: $5.58
$7.21$6.34$5.48$4.62$3.75RES $7.59SUP $4.95$5.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DC Butterfly Map → + Track DC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DC)

Materials Rank #233 of 270 ⚔️ LAR vs DC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (DC vs. LAR, GSM, ASM, LAC)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) ranks #233 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #156 by equity capitalization ($680.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with DC at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DC ACTIVE
Dakota Gold Corp.
E 30/100 — — -29.3% +3.55% $680.3M Benchmark Subject
LAR
Lithium Argentina AG
D 44/100 — — — 0.00% $669.5M /lar-vs-dc →
GSM
Ferroglobe PLC
D 45/100 — — — -0.52% $721.3M /gsm-vs-dc →
ASM
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
D 44/100 — — — +0.92% $733.8M /asm-vs-dc →
LAC
Lithium Americas Corp.
E 32/100 — — -8.1% -3.45% $737.0M /lac-vs-dc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001852353

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) reported GAAP revenue of $86.1M (-10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $96.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$29.5M, operating cash flow of -$25.4M, and free cash flow of -$25.6M (+18.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, DC closed FY2025 with $115.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $86.1M -$29.5M -$25.4M -$25.6M $115.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $96.1M -$33.9M -$31.5M -$31.6M $95.4M —

3. DC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dakota Gold Corp. (NYSE: DC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $5.25 (+3.55% 1D, market cap $680.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, DC ranks #233 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DC compare to LAR and GSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), DC carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.3%. By comparison, LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $669.5M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DC?

Per DC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852353), Dakota Gold Corp. generated $86.1M in revenue (-10.4% YoY), -$29.5M in net income, and -$25.6M in free cash flow against $115.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DC last traded at $5.25 (+3.55% on volume of 1,174,277 shares), positioning the stock -10.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.87) and -5.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.58). Across its 52-week range of $3.87 to $7.25, DC sits at the 40.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($4.71 to $5.79).

Direct Sub-Reports: DC RQD Cockpit DC 12M Forecast DC Earnings & Move DC Dividends & DRIP DC Insiders & 13F DC Whale Options DC Profit Sankey DC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DC — Dakota Gold Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $5.25 (+3.55% 1D, market capitalization $680.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -29.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -3.49%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Metal Mining industry,. Reported revenue is — for both FY 2025 and FY 2024, indicating no recognized revenue in the reported periods.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) reported $86.1M in annual revenue (up from $96.1M in FY2024, -10.4% YoY) and -$29.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($96.1M revenue, -$33.9M net income) through FY2025, DC scaled operating cash flow to -$25.4M and free cash flow to -$25.6M, backed by $115.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -3.49% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.87 – $7.25 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Metal Mining (Materials), DC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can DC sustain or expand its — operating margin and -29.3% ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $86.1M and free cash flow of -$25.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DC's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.59 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet pillar scores 10 / 20 and cash rose from $9.4M to $29.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Here is why I am bullish on DC here at $5.07: The balance sheet pillar scores 10 / 20 and cash rose from $9.4M to $29.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.. Compare DC's 0.0% operating margin and -29.3% ROIC against the rest of Metal Mining. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $4.82 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — DC's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.95 (-22.1%)
Spot @ $5.07

ROIC is -29.3%, FCF yield is -3.49%, and reported revenue is $0.0M in both periods, with the RQD verdict at Strong Sell.

Careful chasing DC at $5.07. ROIC is -29.3%, FCF yield is -3.49%, and reported revenue is $0.0M in both periods, with the RQD verdict at Strong Sell.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $3.95 on multiple compression.

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