Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.07 -7.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.99

Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $680.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Dakota Gold Corp. (NYSE: DC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $5.07 (-7.31% 1D, market cap $680.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, DC ranks #233 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DC compare to LAR and GSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), DC carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.3%. By comparison, LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $669.5M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DC?
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Per DC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852353), Dakota Gold Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$29.5M in net income, and -$25.6M in free cash flow against $115.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.99 (-1.51%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$8 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE DC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DC SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$5.70-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$5.59-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$5.56-8.8% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$5.07-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DC currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.87) and Max Pain ($5.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE36% OF RANGE
L: $4$5.07H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 7 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on DC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-29.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -3.49% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

7/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DC
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.14%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $5.47H $5.47L $5.07C $5.07VOL 1.23M
RES: $7.59SUP: $4.95SMA50: $5.87SMA200: $5.58
$7.21$6.34$5.48$4.62$3.75RES $7.59SUP $4.95$5.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DC)

Materials Rank #233 of 270 ⚔️ LAR vs DC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (DC vs. LAR, GSM, ASM, LAC)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) ranks #233 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #156 by equity capitalization ($680.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with DC at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DC ACTIVE
Dakota Gold Corp.
E 30/100 — — -29.3% -7.31% $680.3M Benchmark Subject
LAR
Lithium Argentina AG
D 44/100 — — — -8.31% $669.5M /lar-vs-dc →
GSM
Ferroglobe PLC
D 45/100 — — — -3.74% $721.3M /gsm-vs-dc →
ASM
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
D 44/100 — — — -5.86% $733.8M /asm-vs-dc →
LAC
Lithium Americas Corp.
E 32/100 — — -8.1% -4.69% $737.0M /lac-vs-dc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001852353

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$29.5M, operating cash flow of -$25.4M, and free cash flow of -$25.6M (+18.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, DC closed FY2025 with $115.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$29.5M -$25.4M -$25.6M $115.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$33.9M -$31.5M -$31.6M $95.4M —

3. DC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dakota Gold Corp. (NYSE: DC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $5.07 (-7.31% 1D, market cap $680.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, DC ranks #233 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DC compare to LAR and GSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), DC carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.3%. By comparison, LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $669.5M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DC?

Per DC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852353), Dakota Gold Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$29.5M in net income, and -$25.6M in free cash flow against $115.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DC last traded at $5.07 (-7.31% on volume of 1,231,460 shares), positioning the stock -13.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.87) and -9.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.58). Across its 52-week range of $3.87 to $7.25, DC sits at the 35.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($4.55 to $5.59).

DC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DC stock right now?

Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 30/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DC's 12-month base price target is $4.43 (range $3.46 to $7.61), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DC — Dakota Gold Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DC scores 34 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8 / 20 (ROIC -29.3%; FCF yield -3.49%), Whale 13F Flow at 7 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is Insider Conviction, which is the lowest-scoring component and suggests limited insider-side confidence signaling in the source data. The cash-engine pillar reflects negative return on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield, meaning the company is not currently generating returns on its capital base per the market data. The forensic balance sheet pillar is the strongest relative score, but the Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9 is weak. For a prospective investor, the rating frames a high-risk profile in which upside drivers are not evidenced by cash generation, valuation cannot be anchored to earnings multiples (which are unavailable), and the rating itself advises avoidance on the current evidence.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-30.8M$-29.5MN/A$-25.6M$29.7MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-34.3M$-33.9MN/A$-31.6M$9.4MN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in both periods, with FY 2025 operating loss narrowing relative to FY 2024, while cash increased from $9.4M to $29.7M. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is -29.3%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3 out of 9, both per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the rating; reported debt amounts in the SEC financials are N/A.

Open Questions

  • What specific mineral projects, production status, and reserves underlie the company's operations, given zero reported revenue?
  • What is the source of the FY 2025 and FY 2024 cash balances, and what financing or capital raises funded the reported negative free cash flow?
  • What are the reported debt figures, given that the debt field is N/A while the rating cites Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • What drives the Insider Conviction pillar score of 3 / 20, and which specific Form 4 or Congressional transactions compose that cluster?
  • What are the EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA values, which are unavailable, and how would valuation be assessed without them?

DC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.07?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.81 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DC (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $5.47?

Welcome to the DC (Dakota Gold Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.27 (-21.9%)
Spot @ $5.47

Pump the brakes on DC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Dakota Gold Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.29 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $5.47

DC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.47 (52-wk range $3.87 - $7.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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