Camden Property Trust (CPT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.6% Move

$101.67 +0.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.65

Camden Property Trust (CPT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $10.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Camden Property Trust (NYSE: CPT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $101.67 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $10.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CPT ranks #405 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPT compare to BXP and CUBE in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CPT carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, BXP (BXP Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 36.4x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $10.03B) and CUBE (CubeSmart) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 45.2x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $9.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRT leads on earnings multiple (23.6x) while FRT leads on capital efficiency (8.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPT?
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Per CPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000906345), Camden Property Trust generated $13.0M in revenue (+81.7% YoY), $384.5M in net income, and $826.0M in free cash flow against $9.04B in total assets and $2.07B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.65 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 6370.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (9)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$126 Bull$102 Base$80 Bear
📬 FREE CPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPT SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$97.24+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$100.19-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$99.49+2.2% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$101.67+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, CPT faces multiple-compression risk if 26.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($100.65) or 200D SMA ($105.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($102.13) toward Bear Floor ($79.66).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.6% Swing Band

±$3.66 Expected Swing
$98.01 (-3.6%)Spot $101.67$105.33 (+3.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CPT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $3.82 • YoY Revenue Growth: 81.7%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$13.0M$384.5M$826.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$7.1M$163.3M$774.6M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$3.5M$403.3M$794.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CPT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CPT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.60%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $100.9H $101.7L $100.7C $101.7VOL 866.5K
RES: $101.7SUP: $93.93SMA50: $100.7SMA200: $105.8
$121.5$114.4$107.3$100.2$93.09RES $101.7SUP $93.93$101.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +81.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPT)

Financials Rank #405 of 1096 ⚔️ BXP vs CPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CPT vs. BXP, CUBE, EGP, FRT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Camden Property Trust (CPT) ranks #405 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #183 by equity capitalization ($10.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRT leads on earnings valuation at 23.6x trailing P/E, while FRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CUBE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with CPT at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPT ACTIVE
Camden Property Trust
C- 59/100 26.4x — 5.9% +0.97% $10.12B Benchmark Subject
BXP
BXP Inc.
C 62/100 36.4x — 2.3% +1.07% $10.03B /bxp-vs-cpt →
CUBE
CubeSmart
C+ 68/100 45.2x — 4.8% +3.58% $9.62B /cube-vs-cpt →
EGP
EastGroup Properties Inc.
C+ 66/100 41.7x — 5.8% +1.01% $10.69B /egp-vs-cpt →
FRT
Federal Realty Investment Trust
C- 61/100 23.6x — 8.6% +1.07% $9.57B /frt-vs-cpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000906345

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Camden Property Trust (CPT) reported GAAP revenue of $13.0M (+81.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.1M , and +275.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $384.5M, operating cash flow of $826.6M, and free cash flow of $826.0M (+6.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPT closed FY2025 with $9.04B in total assets against $2.07B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $13.0M $384.5M $826.6M $826.0M $9.04B $2.07B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.1M $163.3M $774.9M $774.6M $8.85B $1.85B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.5M $403.3M $795.0M $794.8M $5.58B $1.31B

3. CPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Camden Property Trust (NYSE: CPT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $101.67 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $10.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CPT ranks #405 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPT compare to BXP and CUBE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CPT carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, BXP (BXP Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 36.4x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $10.03B) and CUBE (CubeSmart) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 45.2x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $9.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRT leads on earnings multiple (23.6x) while FRT leads on capital efficiency (8.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPT?

Per CPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000906345), Camden Property Trust generated $13.0M in revenue (+81.7% YoY), $384.5M in net income, and $826.0M in free cash flow against $9.04B in total assets and $2.07B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPT last traded at $101.67 (+0.97% on volume of 753,518 shares), positioning the stock +1.01% above its 50-day simple moving average ($100.65) and -3.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($105.84). Across its 52-week range of $95.30 to $119.81, CPT sits at the 26.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($98.01 to $105.33).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CPT — Camden Property Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:37Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

CPT scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 5.9% and an FCF yield of 8.14%. Per the Market Data section, these are the same figures reported there. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation signal is moderate: the FCF yield is a meaningful positive, but the 5.9% ROIC is a modest return on invested capital and limits the upside from this pillar.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data. The holders section contains no 13F detail, so the underlying drivers of this score cannot be verified from the sources provided.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. this is the strongest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score suggests insider and related activity is net supportive. The underlying transaction detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. this pillar reflects a Beta of 1.15 and sector sensitivity. A Beta above 1.0 means the stock is expected to move more than the market in either direction; for a prospective investor, this implies amplified exposure to broad market swings and interest-rate-sensitive REIT dynamics.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These are relatively strong forensic readings and are the most supportive fundamental signal in the rating.

Investor implications. The composite grade of C- reflects a mixed profile: strong insider and balance-sheet pillars offset weaker institutional-flow and macro-fit pillars. Valuation is a key tradeoff. Per the Snapshot, the P/E (TTM) is 26.4 and the Forward P/E is 22.2, and the EV/EBITDA is 25.7, which are elevated multiples against the 5.9% ROIC. The 4.54% dividend yield and 8.14% FCF yield provide income and cash-return support, while the multiples suggest the market is already pricing in substantial expectations. Upside drivers would need to come from sustained cash-flow growth or an improvement in ROIC; a Beta of 1.15 amplifies both the upside and downside of any such move.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Camden Property Trust (CPT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry..1B. Reported revenue in FY 2025 was $13.0M, while operating income was $453.7M and net income was $384.5M, indicating that the reported revenue line is not a complete representation of the company's income structure in the source data. Products, customer segments, and revenue mechanics beyond these figures are —

Per the Market Data section, operating margin is 75%, net margin is 68%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 5.9%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported debt rose from $1.31B in FY 2023 to $2.07B in FY 2025 while FCF remained in a range of $774.6M to $826.0M across the three periods. Cash balances are small relative to debt in the reported periods.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Strong forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.5) and a 75% operating margin support a 8.14% FCF yield and 4.54% dividend yield. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 5.9%, FCF yield 8.14%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $95.30 – $119.81 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 26.4, EV/EBITDA 25.7) against a 5.9% ROIC, with reported debt rising from $1.31B to $2.07B. Investors must weigh 26.4x trailing P/E and 25.7x EV/EBITDA against 75.0% operating margins and a 1.15 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain field is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. Upstream dependencies, downstream customers, and sector correlations are — Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the sources provided. The investor watch item in this area is the absence of mapped linkages: any sector-level ripple effects from interest-rate movements or REIT sector flows would need to be sourced separately.

  • Key Question #1: What drives the 8 / 20 Whale 13F Flow score, and which institutions hold CPT in what size?
  • Key Question #2: Why does reported FY 2025 revenue of $13.0M sit so far below operating income of $453.7M, and what is the revenue composition?
  • Key Question #3: What is the earnings date and consensus EPS expectation referenced in the earnings-preview headline?

CPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Camden Property Trust (CPT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $101.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $119.82 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.5) and a 75% operating margin support a 8.14% FCF yield and 4.54% dividend y

Don't sleep on CPT's setup in Financials. Strong forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.5) and a 75% operating margin support a 8.14% FCF yield and 4.54% dividend yield.. Beta of 1.15 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (59/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — CPT's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $78.54 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $100.69

Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 26.4, EV/EBITDA 25.7) against a 5.9% ROIC, with reported debt rising from $1.31B to $2.07B.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CPT: Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 26.4, EV/EBITDA 25.7) against a 5.9% ROIC, with reported debt rising from $1.31B to $2.07B.. At 26.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Real Estate Investment Trusts triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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