Camden Property Trust (CPT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$100.69 -0.25% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $100.45

Camden Property Trust (CPT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $10.12B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CPT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Camden Property Trust (NYSE: CPT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $100.69 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $10.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CPT ranks #405 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPT compare to BXP and CUBE in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CPT carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, BXP (BXP Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 36.4x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $10.03B) and CUBE (CubeSmart) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 45.2x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $9.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRT leads on earnings multiple (23.6x) while FRT leads on capital efficiency (8.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPT?
β–Ό

Per CPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000906345), Camden Property Trust generated $13.0M in revenue (+81.7% YoY), $384.5M in net income, and $826.0M in free cash flow against $9.04B in total assets and $2.07B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $100.46 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 6370.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (9)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$126 Bull$101 Base$79 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CPT SCORES 59/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$97.24+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$100.19-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$99.49+1.2% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$100.69+0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (51) β†’ C- (59)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, CPT faces multiple-compression risk if 26.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($100.65) or 200D SMA ($105.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($101.14) toward Bear Floor ($78.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±3.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CPT)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CPT.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CPT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CPT
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.54%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $100.9H $100.9L $100.7C $100.7VOL 866.5K
RES: $101.7SUP: $93.93SMA50: $100.7SMA200: $105.8
$121.5$114.4$107.3$100.2$93.09RES $101.7SUP $93.93$100.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +81.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPT)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CPT vs. BXP, CUBE, EGP, FRT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Camden Property Trust (CPT) ranks #405 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #183 by equity capitalization ($10.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRT leads on earnings valuation at 23.6x trailing P/E, while FRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CUBE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with CPT at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPT ACTIVE
Camden Property Trust
C- 59/100 26.4x β€” 5.9% -0.25% $10.12B Benchmark Subject
BXP
BXP Inc.
C 62/100 36.4x β€” 2.3% -0.35% $10.03B /bxp-vs-cpt β†’
CUBE
CubeSmart
C+ 68/100 45.2x β€” 4.8% +4.04% $9.62B /cube-vs-cpt β†’
EGP
EastGroup Properties Inc.
C+ 66/100 41.7x β€” 5.8% -0.46% $10.69B /egp-vs-cpt β†’
FRT
Federal Realty Investment Trust
C- 61/100 23.6x β€” 8.6% -1.12% $9.57B /frt-vs-cpt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000906345

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Camden Property Trust (CPT) reported GAAP revenue of $13.0M (+81.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.1M , and +275.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $384.5M, operating cash flow of $826.6M, and free cash flow of $826.0M (+6.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPT closed FY2025 with $9.04B in total assets against $2.07B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $13.0M $384.5M $826.6M $826.0M $9.04B $2.07B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.1M $163.3M $774.9M $774.6M $8.85B $1.85B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.5M $403.3M $795.0M $794.8M $5.58B $1.31B

3. CPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Camden Property Trust (NYSE: CPT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $100.69 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $10.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CPT ranks #405 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPT compare to BXP and CUBE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CPT carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, BXP (BXP Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 36.4x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $10.03B) and CUBE (CubeSmart) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 45.2x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $9.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRT leads on earnings multiple (23.6x) while FRT leads on capital efficiency (8.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPT?

Per CPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000906345), Camden Property Trust generated $13.0M in revenue (+81.7% YoY), $384.5M in net income, and $826.0M in free cash flow against $9.04B in total assets and $2.07B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPT last traded at $100.69 (-0.25% on volume of 866,508 shares), positioning the stock +0.04% above its 50-day simple moving average ($100.65) and -4.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($105.84). Across its 52-week range of $95.30 to $119.81, CPT sits at the 22.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.6% ($97.07 to $104.31).

CPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is CPT's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CPT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 59/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CPT β€” Camden Property Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CPT scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 5.9% and an FCF yield of 8.14%. Per the Market Data section, these are the same figures reported there. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation signal is moderate: the FCF yield is a meaningful positive, but the 5.9% ROIC is a modest return on invested capital and limits the upside from this pillar.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data. The holders section contains no 13F detail, so the underlying drivers of this score cannot be verified from the sources provided.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score suggests insider and related activity is net supportive. The underlying transaction detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a Beta of 1.15 and sector sensitivity. A Beta above 1.0 means the stock is expected to move more than the market in either direction; for a prospective investor, this implies amplified exposure to broad market swings and interest-rate-sensitive REIT dynamics.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These are relatively strong forensic readings and are the most supportive fundamental signal in the rating.

Investor implications. The composite grade of C- reflects a mixed profile: strong insider and balance-sheet pillars offset weaker institutional-flow and macro-fit pillars. Valuation is a key tradeoff. Per the Snapshot, the P/E (TTM) is 26.4 and the Forward P/E is 22.2, and the EV/EBITDA is 25.7, which are elevated multiples against the 5.9% ROIC. The 4.54% dividend yield and 8.14% FCF yield provide income and cash-return support, while the multiples suggest the market is already pricing in substantial expectations. Upside drivers would need to come from sustained cash-flow growth or an improvement in ROIC; a Beta of 1.15 amplifies both the upside and downside of any such move.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
100.94$10.15B26.422.225.73.824.54%1.15$95.3 - $119.815.9%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$13.0M$453.7M$384.5MN/A$826.0M$25.2M$2072.1M
FY 2024$7.1M$192.7M$163.3MN/A$774.6M$21.0M$1847.2M
FY 2023$3.5M$475.9M$403.3MN/A$794.8MN/A$1306.1M

Per the Market Data section, operating margin is 75%, net margin is 68%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 5.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported debt rose from $1306.1M in FY 2023 to $2072.1M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, while FCF remained in a range of $774.6M to $826.0M across the three periods. Cash balances are small relative to debt in the reported periods.

Open Questions

  • What specific SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR transactions underlie the Insider Conviction pillar score of 16 / 20?
  • What drives the 8 / 20 Whale 13F Flow score, and which institutions hold CPT in what size?
  • Why does reported FY 2025 revenue of $13.0M sit so far below operating income of $453.7M, and what is the revenue composition?
  • What is the earnings date and consensus EPS expectation referenced in the earnings-preview headline?
  • What is the source of the rise in reported debt from $1306.1M to $2072.1M, and what are its maturity and interest-cost terms?

CPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Camden Property Trust (CPT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $100.69?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $109.02 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CPT (C- β€’ RQD 59/100) a Buy at $100.94?

Welcome to the CPT (Camden Property Trust) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Real Estate Investment Trusts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $80.75 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $100.94

Pump the brakes on CPT β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CPT, but look at what you are paying: 26.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Camden Property Trust expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $119.11 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $100.94

CPT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CPT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate Investment Trusts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $100.94 (52-wk range $95.30 - $119.81), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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