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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CNDT / options
ALIT (28) CURR (31) ZH (16) AMWL (39) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.54 -0.64% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.54

Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $239.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNDT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Conduent Incorporated (NASDAQ: CNDT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.54 (-0.64% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNDT ranks #904 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNDT compare to ALIT and CURR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), CNDT carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of -24.8%. By comparison, ALIT (Alight Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $240.6M) and CURR (Currenc Group Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $238.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNDT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CNDT leads on capital efficiency (-24.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNDT?
β–Ό

Per CNDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001677703), Conduent Incorporated generated $3.04B in revenue (-9.4% YoY), -$170.0M in net income, and -$132.0M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.54 (-0.31%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (5)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.6% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CNDT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CNDT SCORES 28/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 18.1% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
20
Grade E$1.54-3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$1.48+6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$1.57-1.9% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$1.54-10% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (20) β†’ E (28)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNDT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CNDT currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.62) and Max Pain ($1.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.50.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNDTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCNDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CNDT)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CNDT.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNDT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CNDT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CNDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.41%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.55H $1.55L $1.54C $1.54VOL 1.75M
RES: $2.03SUP: $1.33SMA50: $1.62SMA200: $1.54
$2.11$1.87$1.64$1.41$1.18RES $2.03SUP $1.33$1.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ CNDT Butterfly Map β†’ + Track CNDT β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNDT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNDT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #904 of 1011 βš”οΈ ALIT vs CNDT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNDT vs. ALIT, CURR, ZH, AMWL)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) ranks #904 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #670 by equity capitalization ($239.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CNDT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CNDT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -24.8% ROIC and 18.1% gross margin. AMWL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with CNDT at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNDT ACTIVE
Conduent Incorporated
E 28/100 β€” 18.1% -24.8% -0.64% $239.5M Benchmark Subject
ALIT
Alight Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 β€” 33.8% -35.0% -2.62% $240.6M /alit-vs-cndt β†’
CURR
Currenc Group Inc.
E 31/100 β€” 40.8% -35.0% -5.36% $238.0M /curr-vs-cndt β†’
ZH
Zhihu Inc. each representing three (3) (Class A)
E 16/100 β€” 59.9% -35.0% -7.59% $252.7M /zh-vs-cndt β†’
AMWL
American Well Corporation (Class A)
D- 39/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -15.02% $216.5M /amwl-vs-cndt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001677703

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.04B (-9.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.36B , and -18.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$170.0M, operating cash flow of -$73.0M, and free cash flow of -$132.0M (-69.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNDT closed FY2025 with $2.40B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.04B -$170.0M -$73.0M -$132.0M $2.40B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.36B $426.0M -$50.0M -$78.0M $2.60B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.72B -$296.0M $89.0M $89.0M β€” β€”

3. CNDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Conduent Incorporated (NASDAQ: CNDT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.54 (-0.64% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNDT ranks #904 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNDT compare to ALIT and CURR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), CNDT carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of -24.8%. By comparison, ALIT (Alight Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $240.6M) and CURR (Currenc Group Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $238.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNDT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CNDT leads on capital efficiency (-24.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNDT?

Per CNDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001677703), Conduent Incorporated generated $3.04B in revenue (-9.4% YoY), -$170.0M in net income, and -$132.0M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNDT last traded at $1.54 (-0.64% on volume of 1,754,273 shares), positioning the stock -4.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.62) and 0.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.54). Across its 52-week range of $1.15 to $2.38, CNDT sits at the 31.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.35 to $1.73).

Direct Sub-Reports: CNDT RQD Cockpit CNDT 12M Forecast CNDT Earnings & Move CNDT Dividends & DRIP CNDT Insiders & 13F CNDT Whale Options CNDT Profit Sankey CNDT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 28/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CNDT β€” Conduent Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:10Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CNDT carries an RQD Score of 33 and a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20 (ROIC -24.8%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 5/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to weak cash generation and a thin forensic balance sheet as the dominant concerns. The highest-scoring pillar, Macro Regime Fit, reflects market sensitivity rather than business quality. The lowest, Insider Conviction, indicates the insider-flow signal offers little support.

Business

Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Business Services industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $239.5M. The business operates with a gross margin of 18.1%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -24.8% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Business Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, headlines include: "Conduent Completes $447 Million Refinancing Transaction" (Yahoo Finance); "With refinancing being finalized, Conduent (CNDT) extends some credit commitments to Oct. 30, 2026" (Stock Titan); "Conduent Sells Public Transit Business to Modaxo" (The Globe and Mail); and "Conduent Q3 2026 Earnings Date and Estimates" (MarketBeat). Each item is tagged with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items drawn from the source are the refinancing transaction and the extension of credit commitments to Oct.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore β€” Sector correlations beyond the Beta of 1.0 are not established in the source. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided data.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: β€”

Holders (SEC Form 4, 13F, Congressional trades): β€”

Open Questions

  • What are the terms of the $447 Million refinancing and the extended credit commitments due Oct. 30, 2026?
  • What drove the revenue decline from $3.72B to $3.04B, and is it expected to continue?
  • Why is operating income reported as β€” in every period, and what does this reflect?
  • What is the reported debt balance, given that the debt field is N/A across all periods?
  • What EPS and valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA) apply, given that they are not in the source data?

CNDT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CNDT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNDT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.54?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNDT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNDT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.93 (+25.3%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Macro Regime Fit scores 10/20 and the 52-week range of $1.15 - $2.41 leaves the price below its high, leaving room for a rebound if sec

Don't sleep on CNDT's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Macro Regime Fit scores 10/20 and the 52-week range of $1.15 - $2.41 leaves the price below its high, leaving room for a rebound if sector sensitivity turns favorable.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (28/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.54 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.16 (-24.7%)
Spot @ $1.54

ROIC of -24.8%, FCF yield of 0%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate weak cash generation and a fragile forensic balance sheet.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CNDT: ROIC of -24.8%, FCF yield of 0%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate weak cash generation and a fragile forensic balance sheet.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Business Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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