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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CNDT / forecast
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Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.54 -0.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.54

Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $241.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNDT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Conduent Incorporated (NASDAQ: CNDT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.54 (-0.64% 1D, market cap $241.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNDT ranks #841 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNDT compare to ALIT and CURR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), CNDT carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of -24.8%. By comparison, ALIT (Alight Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $247.0M) and CURR (Currenc Group Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $251.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMXI leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while IMXI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNDT?
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Per CNDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001677703), Conduent Incorporated generated $3.04B in revenue (-9.4% YoY), -$170.0M in net income, and -$132.0M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.54 (-0.31%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (5)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CNDT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CNDT SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 31% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 18.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$1.49-7.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$1.38+23.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$1.70-9.4% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$1.54-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNDT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNDT currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.62) and Max Pain ($1.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CNDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CNDT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.54: 6493.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.07
$6,948
$-3,052 (-30.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.37
$8,896
$-1,104 (-11.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.53
$16,429
+$6,429 (+64.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNDT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CNDT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CNDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $1.58H $1.58L $1.54C $1.54VOL 1.09M
RES: $2.03SUP: $1.34SMA50: $1.62SMA200: $1.54
$2.11$1.87$1.64$1.41$1.18RES $2.03SUP $1.34$1.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNDT Butterfly Map → + Track CNDT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNDT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #841 of 1011 ⚔️ ALIT vs CNDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNDT vs. ALIT, CURR, AMWL, IMXI)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) ranks #841 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #672 by equity capitalization ($241.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMXI leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while IMXI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and — gross margin. IMXI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with CNDT at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNDT ACTIVE
Conduent Incorporated
E 33/100 — 18.1% -24.8% -0.64% $241.1M Benchmark Subject
ALIT
Alight Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — 33.8% -35.0% -2.62% $247.0M /alit-vs-cndt →
CURR
Currenc Group Inc.
E 31/100 — 40.8% -35.0% -5.36% $251.5M /curr-vs-cndt →
AMWL
American Well Corporation (Class A)
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -15.02% $254.8M /amwl-vs-cndt →
IMXI
International Money Express Inc.
D+ 58/100 7.9x — 23.5% +6.64% $259.5M /imxi-vs-cndt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001677703

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.04B (-9.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.36B , and -18.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$170.0M, operating cash flow of -$73.0M, and free cash flow of -$132.0M (-69.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNDT closed FY2025 with $2.40B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.04B -$170.0M -$73.0M -$132.0M $2.40B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.36B $426.0M -$50.0M -$78.0M $2.60B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.72B -$296.0M $89.0M $89.0M — —

3. CNDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Conduent Incorporated (NASDAQ: CNDT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.54 (-0.64% 1D, market cap $241.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNDT ranks #841 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNDT compare to ALIT and CURR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), CNDT carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of -24.8%. By comparison, ALIT (Alight Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $247.0M) and CURR (Currenc Group Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $251.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMXI leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while IMXI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNDT?

Per CNDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001677703), Conduent Incorporated generated $3.04B in revenue (-9.4% YoY), -$170.0M in net income, and -$132.0M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNDT last traded at $1.54 (-0.64% on volume of 1,754,273 shares), positioning the stock -4.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.62) and 0.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.54). Across its 52-week range of $1.15 to $2.41, CNDT sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.35 to $1.73).

CNDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CNDT's 12-month stock price target?

Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.37 (-11% from $1.54), with a bull-case target of $2.53 and a bear-case floor of $1.07.

Is CNDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CNDT E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 33/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNDT RQD Cockpit CNDT 12M Forecast CNDT Earnings & Move CNDT Dividends & DRIP CNDT Insiders & 13F CNDT Whale Options CNDT Profit Sankey CNDT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CNDT — Conduent Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:10Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CNDT carries an RQD Score of 33 and a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20 (ROIC -24.8%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 5/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to weak cash generation and a thin forensic balance sheet as the dominant concerns. The highest-scoring pillar, Macro Regime Fit, reflects market sensitivity rather than business quality. The lowest, Insider Conviction, indicates the insider-flow signal offers little support. Any upside case would need to come from a turnaround in cash generation or a re-rating of the balance sheet; the source data does not establish either.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3042.0M$0.0M$-170.0MN/A$-132.0M$233.0MN/A
FY 2024$3356.0M$0.0M$426.0MN/A$-78.0M$366.0MN/A
FY 2023$3722.0M$0.0M$-296.0MN/A$89.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods, from $3722.0M to $3042.0M. Net income was $-296.0M, $426.0M, and $-170.0M across FY 2023 through FY 2025. Operating income is reported as $0.0M in each period. Per the market data, gross margin is 18.1%, operating margin 0%, net margin -5.6%, and ROIC -24.8%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Balance sheet posture is therefore weak on the Piotroski measure, with reported free cash flow negative in FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, headlines include: "Conduent Completes $447 Million Refinancing Transaction" (Yahoo Finance); "With refinancing being finalized, Conduent (CNDT) extends some credit commitments to Oct. 30, 2026" (Stock Titan); "Conduent Sells Public Transit Business to Modaxo" (The Globe and Mail); and "Conduent Q3 2026 Earnings Date and Estimates" (MarketBeat). Each item is tagged with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items drawn from the source are the refinancing transaction and the extension of credit commitments to Oct. 30, 2026, as reported; the source data does not detail terms.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms of the $447 Million refinancing and the extended credit commitments due Oct. 30, 2026?
  • What drove the revenue decline from $3722.0M to $3042.0M, and is it expected to continue?
  • Why is operating income reported as $0.0M in every period, and what does this reflect?
  • What is the reported debt balance, given that the debt field is N/A across all periods?
  • What EPS and valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA) apply, given that they are not in the source data?

CNDT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNDT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNDT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.54?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNDT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNDT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.36 (-12.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CNDT (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $1.55?

Welcome to the CNDT (Conduent Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.30 (-16.1%)
Spot @ $1.55

Pump the brakes on CNDT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CNDT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 18.1% gross margins. Unless Conduent Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.92 (+23.9%)
Spot @ $1.55

CNDT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CNDT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.55 (52-wk range $1.15 - $2.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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