When is CERT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Certara Inc. (CERT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CERT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.9% event move for CERT, spanning a range between $9.54 and $11.88.

Stock Ratings / Technology / CERT / earnings

PDFS (37) IQMX (45) EVCM (49) XZO (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Certara Inc. (CERT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.9% Move

$10.71 -2.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.64

Certara Inc. (CERT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.68B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CERT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CERT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Certara Inc. (NASDAQ: CERT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $10.71 (-2.81% 1D, market cap $1.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CERT ranks #169 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CERT compare to PDFS and IQMX in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CERT carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.4%. By comparison, PDFS (PDF Solutions Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $1.73B) and IQMX (IQM Quantum Computers Oyj) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XZO leads on earnings multiple (19.3x) while XZO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CERT?

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Per CERT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001827090), Certara Inc. generated $418.8M in revenue (+8.7% YoY), -$1.6M in net income, and $94.6M in free cash flow against $1.56B in total assets and $290.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.64 (-0.70%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 22.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CERT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CERT SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 84% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$9.60+1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$9.78+12% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$10.95-2.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$10.71+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CERT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CERT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.13) or 200D SMA ($7.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.95) toward Bear Floor ($8.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CERT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CERT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.9% Swing Band

±$1.17 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CERT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 8.7%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$418.8M	-$1.6M	$94.6M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$385.1M	-$12.1M	$78.8M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$354.3M	-$55.4M	$82.8M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CERT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CERT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CERT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +73.02%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $11.20H $11.20L $10.71C $10.71VOL 1.95M

RES: $11.94SUP: $8.74SMA50: $9.13SMA200: $7.28

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CERT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CERT Butterfly Map → + Track CERT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CERT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CERT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CERT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CERT)

Technology Rank #169 of 714 ⚔️ PDFS vs CERT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CERT vs. PDFS, IQMX, EVCM, XZO)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Certara Inc. (CERT) ranks #169 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #308 by equity capitalization ($1.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XZO leads on earnings valuation at 19.3x trailing P/E, while XZO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 60.4% gross margin. XZO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with CERT at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CERT ACTIVE Certara Inc.	C	63/100	—	—	1.4%	-2.81%	$1.68B	Benchmark Subject
PDFS PDF Solutions Inc.	D-	37/100	—	72.3%	1.6%	-4.95%	$1.73B	/pdfs-vs-cert →
IQMX IQM Quantum Computers Oyj	D	45/100	—	—	—	-2.91%	$1.63B	/iqmx-vs-cert →
EVCM EverCommerce Inc.	D	49/100	91.9x	—	4.2%	-5.89%	$1.62B	/evcm-vs-cert →
XZO Exzeo Group Inc.	B	73/100	19.3x	60.4%	85.0%	+2.18%	$1.61B	/xzo-vs-cert →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001827090

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Certara Inc. (CERT) reported GAAP revenue of $418.8M (+8.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $385.1M , and +18.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.6M, operating cash flow of $96.3M, and free cash flow of $94.6M (+19.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CERT closed FY2025 with $1.56B in total assets against $290.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.40, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$418.8M	-$1.6M	$96.3M	$94.6M	$1.56B	$290.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$385.1M	-$12.1M	$80.5M	$78.8M	$1.58B	$292.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$354.3M	-$55.4M	$82.8M	$82.8M	—	—

3. CERT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CERT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CERT compare to PDFS and IQMX in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CERT?

Where is CERT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CERT last traded at $10.71 (-2.81% on volume of 1,952,020 shares), positioning the stock +17.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.13) and +47.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.28). Across its 52-week range of $4.45 to $11.88, CERT sits at the 84.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($9.54 to $11.88).

Direct Sub-Reports: CERT RQD Cockpit CERT 12M Forecast CERT Earnings & Move CERT Dividends & DRIP CERT Insiders & 13F CERT Whale Options CERT Profit Sankey CERT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CERT — Certara Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:04Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 63 / C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward," . Across its five pillars:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 1.4% and an FCF yield of 5.54%. Cash generation is present, but the return on invested capital is thin, which limits the upside case from this pillar.
Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar and a primary upside driver in this rating.
Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, indicating insider-side signals are not a meaningful support.
Macro Regime Fit: 16 / 20. beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. Market-level sensitivity is neutral on beta, as the stock moves in line with the market on this measure.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Altman Z is 2.4, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.27. The balance sheet is a moderate support.

For a prospective investor, the mix implies a stock where institutional positioning and a balance sheet of moderate strength are offset by weak returns on capital and limited insider conviction. Valuation is a tradeoff: per the market data, EV/EBITDA is 80.4, which is elevated relative to the modest 1. The rating's "Balanced Risk-Reward" label reflects this two-sided picture rather than a directional call.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Certara Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. Market capitalization is $1.7B.

Revenue grew from $354.3M in FY 2023 to $418.8M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from -$40.8M to $21.0M over the same span. Net income remained negative in FY 2025 at -$1.6M. Per the market data, operating margin is 5%, net margin is -0.4%, and gross margin is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.4 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.27; the balance sheet is described as moderate in the rating's forensic pillar. Reported debt ($290.1M) exceeds cash ($189.4M) in FY 2025.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Institutional whale 13F flow scores 17/20 and operating income swung to $21.0M in FY 2025, showing improving operating momentum. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC 1.4%, FCF yield 5.54%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $4.45 – $11.88 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of 1.4% and EV/EBITDA of 80.4 leave the valuation resting on thin returns, with a RED risk-watch alert on a 75% slump. Investors must weigh current valuation and 80.4x EV/EBITDA against 5.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology), CERT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

Key Question #1: What supply-chain or customer concentration exposures exist, given the supply-chain graph is empty?
Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (5.54% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 2.40) and support upside toward the $11.88 52-week high?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is CERT's — gross margin and equity valuation to Technology demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00)?

CERT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Certara Inc. (CERT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CERT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Certara (CERT) Stock Fair Value Edges Higher As Analysts Weigh Turnaround Progress

Yahoo Finance report covering Certara Inc. (CERT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Australia • 23h ago

Certara, Inc. (CERT) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Australia report covering Certara Inc. (CERT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago

InvestingPro Fair Value analysis captures 67% gain on Certara stock By Investing.com

Investing.com report covering Certara Inc. (CERT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Certara: Software Bookings Are Improving, But Cash Flow Has Yet To Follow (NASDAQ:CERT)

Seeking Alpha report covering Certara Inc. (CERT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Certara Stock Gains Fresh Analyst Backing for AI Turnaround

Simply Wall St report covering Certara Inc. (CERT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Certara (CERT) Stock May Trade Above Fair Value On Its 75% Slump

Yahoo Finance report covering Certara Inc. (CERT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Certara (CERT) Institutional Ownership 2026 $CERT

MarketBeat report covering Certara Inc. (CERT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

KeyCorp lifts Certara stock target to USD 12.00

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Certara Inc. (CERT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CERT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CERT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.77 (+25.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale 13F flow scores 17/20 and operating income swung to $21.0M in FY 2025, showing improving operating momentum.

Don't sleep on CERT's setup in Technology. Institutional whale 13F flow scores 17/20 and operating income swung to $21.0M in FY 2025, showing improving operating momentum.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (63/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 63/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $11.02 and keeping dry powder in case we test $10.25.

ME MeanReversion_88 Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.27 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $11.02

ROIC of 1.4% and EV/EBITDA of 80.4 leave the valuation resting on thin returns, with a RED risk-watch alert on a 75% slump.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CERT: ROIC of 1.4% and EV/EBITDA of 80.4 leave the valuation resting on thin returns, with a RED risk-watch alert on a 75% slump.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software triggers a 12-15% air pocket.