Should I buy, hold, or sell PDFS stock right now?

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 37/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is PDFS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PDFS's 12-month base price target is $35.29 (range $27.53 to $75.27), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Technology / PDFS

CERT (63) NYAX (47) CNXC (46) IQMX (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$38.97 -4.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.55

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.73B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PDFS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PDFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, PDF Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PDFS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $38.97 (-4.95% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PDFS ranks #496 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PDFS compare to CERT and NYAX in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDFS carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.3%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, CERT (Certara Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.4%, cap $1.68B) and NYAX (Nayax Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDFS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PDFS leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDFS?

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Per PDFS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001120914), PDF Solutions Inc. generated $219.0M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$600.0K in net income, and -$8.6M in free cash flow against $418.7M in total assets and $64.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.55 (-1.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PDFS SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.33 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 72.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$47.62-13.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$41.18+7.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$44.23-11.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$38.97-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PDFS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PDFS currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.09) and Max Pain ($40.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.27.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDFS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PDFS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

43.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

8.33>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE32% OF RANGE

L: $24$38.97H: $72

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on PDFS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

1.6% ROIC with 72.3% gross margin and -0.45% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 8.33 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (22)

9/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PDFS

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PDFS)

✓Walkthrough of PDFS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PDFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.23%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $45.56H $45.56L $38.97C $38.97VOL 1.33M

RES: $59.01SUP: $38.36SMA50: $46.09SMA200: $44.69

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PDFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PDFS Butterfly Map → + Track PDFS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

46.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDFS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDFS)

Technology Rank #496 of 714 ⚔️ CERT vs PDFS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PDFS vs. CERT, NYAX, CNXC, IQMX)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) ranks #496 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #306 by equity capitalization ($1.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PDFS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PDFS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 72.3% gross margin. CERT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with PDFS at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PDFS ACTIVE PDF Solutions Inc.	D-	37/100	—	72.3%	1.6%	-4.95%	$1.73B	Benchmark Subject
CERT Certara Inc.	C	63/100	—	—	1.4%	-2.81%	$1.68B	/cert-vs-pdfs →
NYAX Nayax Ltd.	D	47/100	—	—	—	+1.15%	$1.79B	/nyax-vs-pdfs →
CNXC Concentrix Corporation	D	46/100	—	35.0%	-10.4%	+2.52%	$1.84B	/cnxc-vs-pdfs →
IQMX IQM Quantum Computers Oyj	D	45/100	—	—	—	-2.91%	$1.63B	/iqmx-vs-pdfs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001120914

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) reported GAAP revenue of $219.0M (+22.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $179.5M , and +51703.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$600.0K, operating cash flow of $24.1M, and free cash flow of -$8.6M (-15.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDFS closed FY2025 with $418.7M in total assets against $64.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.33, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$219.0M	-$600.0K	$24.1M	-$8.6M	$418.7M	$64.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$179.5M	$4.1M	$9.7M	-$7.5M	$315.3M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$422.8K	$3.1M	$14.6M	$14.6M	—	—

3. PDFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PDFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PDFS compare to CERT and NYAX in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDFS?

Where is PDFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PDFS last traded at $38.97 (-4.95% on volume of 737,416 shares), positioning the stock -15.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.09) and -12.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.69). Across its 52-week range of $23.55 to $71.69, PDFS sits at the 32.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($34.10 to $43.84).

Direct Sub-Reports: PDFS RQD Cockpit PDFS 12M Forecast PDFS Earnings & Move PDFS Dividends & DRIP PDFS Insiders & 13F PDFS Whale Options PDFS Profit Sankey PDFS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PDFS — PDF Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:18Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PDFS scores 45 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC 1.6%; FCF yield -0.45%); Whale 13F Flow 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 9/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 8.33; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.24). The weakest pillar is Insider Conviction, at 3 of 20. The strongest is Forensic Balance Sheet, at 14 of 20. For a prospective investor, the cash-engine pillar is the central concern: the rating's own inputs show a 1.6% ROIC and negative FCF yield, which means the business is not currently converting capital into free cash at a rate that supports the share price. The forensic pillar offers some offset, since the balance sheet metrics are comparatively sturdier than the cash metrics. Upside drivers would have to come from a change in cash generation rather than from the balance sheet alone. The rating does not establish a valuation target, and this brief does not provide one.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

PDF Solutions Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $1.9B. Gross margin is reported at 72.3%, operating margin at 2.7%, and net margin at -0.3%.

Revenue grew from $179.5M in FY 2024 to $219.0M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $4.1M to -$0.6M and free cash flow was negative in both periods. Operating income improved to $5.8M in FY 2025, but net margin is -0.3% and ROIC is 1.6%. The Altman Z-Score is 8.33 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5 of 9. Debt/Equity is 0.24, and reported debt rose to $64.8M in FY 2025 from — in FY 2024 while cash declined to $42.2M from $90.6M.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Forensic balance sheet metrics are relatively sturdy, with an Altman Z-Score of 8.33 and Debt/Equity of 0.24, and revenue rose from $179.5M to $219.0M in FY 2025. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC 1.6%, FCF yield -0.45%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $23.55 – $71.69 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of 1.6%, a -0.45% FCF yield, and an Insider Conviction pillar score of 3 of 20 indicate weak cash generation and little insider support. Investors must weigh current valuation and 58.0x EV/EBITDA against 2.7% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data.

Key Question #1: What is the composition of the 2025 revenue increase, and what drove the swing from positive net income in FY 2024 to a net loss in FY 2025?
Key Question #2: What explains the move in reported debt from — to $64.8M while cash fell from $90.6M to $42.2M, and what is the debt maturity profile?
Key Question #3: What specific events drove the RED-flagged RISK WATCH news item, given that only headlines are provided?

PDFS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PDFS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 20h ago

PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 23h ago

PDFS: PDF Solutions Inc. Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas

Stocktwits report covering PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

PDF Solutions (PDFS) Stock Dropped, So What Is Driving Attention Now?

Yahoo Finance report covering PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Onto Innovation vs. PDF Solutions: Which Chip Stock is the Better Buy?

TradingView report covering PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Here’s How Much You Would Have Made Owning PDF Solutions Stock In The Last 15 Years

Benzinga report covering PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

PDF Solutions (NASDAQ:PDFS) Stock Crosses Above 200-Day Moving Average - Time to Sell?

MarketBeat report covering PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Is PDF Solutions (PDFS) Undervalued As Earnings Growth Comes Into Focus?

Simply Wall St report covering PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

PDF Solutions (PDFS) Stock Looks About Right On Its 79% Five Year Run

Yahoo Finance report covering PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PDFS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $38.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PDFS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.66 (+26.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet metrics are relatively sturdy, with an Altman Z-Score of 8.33 and Debt/Equity of 0.24, and revenue rose from $17

Long PDFS at $41.00 targeting $51.66. Forensic balance sheet metrics are relatively sturdy, with an Altman Z-Score of 8.33 and Debt/Equity of 0.24, and revenue rose from $179.5M to $219.0M in FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $23.55 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $41.00 and keeping dry powder in case we test $38.13.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.44 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $41.00

ROIC of 1.6%, a -0.45% FCF yield, and an Insider Conviction pillar score of 3 of 20 indicate weak cash generation and little insider su

I respect the product at PDF Solutions Inc., but the stock at $41.00 is a different story. ROIC of 1.6%, a -0.45% FCF yield, and an Insider Conviction pillar score of 3 of 20 indicate weak cash generation and little insider support.. FCF yield is -0.45% and RQD sits at 37/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?