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Why CDNL Stock advanced +0.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$15.40 +0.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.40

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $739.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CDNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CDNL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $15.40 (+0.98% 1D, market cap $739.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CDNL ranks #332 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CDNL compare to YSS and PKE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CDNL carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 54.6%. By comparison, YSS (York Space Systems Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $868.1M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $567.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDNL?
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Per CDNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079999), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) generated $113.1M in revenue (+12.4% YoY), $22.7M in net income, and -$5.9M in free cash flow against $394.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.40 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (5)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
$101 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE CDNL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CDNL SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$18.62-18.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$15.20-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$15.15+1.7% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$15.40-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CDNL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CDNL currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($26.76) and Max Pain ($16.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $101.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDNL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CDNL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CDNL Stock advanced +0.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) advanced +0.98% to $15.40, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($13.05 – $96.4). Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (55% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($13.05 – $96.4) with RSI-14 at 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $15.40 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CDNL Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDNL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CDNL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CDNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -68.86%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $15.79H $15.79L $15.25C $15.40VOL 747.9K
RES: $25.22SUP: $10.77SMA50: $26.76SMA200: $43.55
$102.2$78.06$53.89$29.72$5.55RES $25.22SUP $10.77$15.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CDNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CDNL Butterfly Map → + Track CDNL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDNL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDNL)

Industrials Rank #332 of 486 ⚔️ YSS vs CDNL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CDNL vs. YSS, PKE, XTND, ORN)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) ranks #332 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #274 by equity capitalization ($739.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with CDNL at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CDNL ACTIVE
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 41/100 33.7x — 54.6% +0.98% $739.3M Benchmark Subject
YSS
York Space Systems Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -5.22% $868.1M /yss-vs-cdnl →
PKE
Park Aerospace Corp.
C- 60/100 — 30.9% 19.0% +0.89% $567.5M /pke-vs-cdnl →
XTND
Xtend AI Robotics Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -15.58% $438.7M /xtnd-vs-cdnl →
ORN
Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common
D- 36/100 148.9x 12.4% 7.1% +0.95% $342.4M /orn-vs-cdnl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002079999 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) reported GAAP revenue of $113.1M (+12.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $100.6M , and +36.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.7M, operating cash flow of $37.9M, and free cash flow of -$5.9M (-127.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDNL closed FY2025 with $394.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $113.1M $22.7M $37.9M -$5.9M $394.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $100.6M $21.4M $42.6M $21.9M $140.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $82.7M $20.6M $30.9M $30.9M — —

3. CDNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CDNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CDNL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $15.40 (+0.98% 1D, market cap $739.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CDNL ranks #332 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CDNL compare to YSS and PKE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CDNL carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 54.6%. By comparison, YSS (York Space Systems Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $868.1M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $567.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDNL?

Per CDNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079999), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) generated $113.1M in revenue (+12.4% YoY), $22.7M in net income, and -$5.9M in free cash flow against $394.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CDNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CDNL last traded at $15.40 (+0.98% on volume of 651,228 shares), positioning the stock -42.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.76) and -64.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.55). Across its 52-week range of $13.05 to $96.40, CDNL sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.47 to $17.33).

Direct Sub-Reports: CDNL RQD Cockpit CDNL 12M Forecast CDNL Earnings & Move CDNL Dividends & DRIP CDNL Insiders & 13F CDNL Whale Options CDNL Profit Sankey CDNL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CDNL — Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $15.40 (+0.98% 1D, market capitalization $739.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 54.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -0.77%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, classified within the Military/Government/Technical industry. The company is listed under the ticker CDNL.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) reported $113.1M in annual revenue (up from $100.6M in FY2024, +12.4% YoY) and $22.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($82.7M revenue, $20.6M net income) through FY2025, CDNL scaled operating cash flow to $37.9M and free cash flow to -$5.9M, backed by $394.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.77% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.05 – $96.40 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 33.7x trailing P/E and 9.9x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Military/Government/Technical (Industrials), CDNL carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CDNL sustain or expand its — operating margin and 54.6% ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $113.1M and free cash flow of -$5.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CDNL's 31.3x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CDNL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CDNL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CDNL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CDNL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CDNL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.84 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 54.6% and a forensic balance sheet score of 13/20 show the business generating high returns on invested capital without distres

The street is overcomplicating Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL). ROIC of 54.6% and a forensic balance sheet score of 13/20 show the business generating high returns on invested capital without distress-level balance sheet metrics.. With an RQD score of 41/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $16.47.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $15.25 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.81 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $15.25

Free cash flow turned negative to -$5.9M in FY 2025 and the stock has fallen to $15.79 from a 52-week high of $96.4 amid a securities f

I respect the product at Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $15.25 is a different story. Free cash flow turned negative to -$5.9M in FY 2025 and the stock has fallen to $15.79 from a 52-week high of $96.4 amid a securities fraud investigation and financing concerns.. FCF yield is -0.77% and RQD sits at 41/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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