Stock Ratings / Industrials / CDNL / earnings

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Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: When is CDNL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is CDNL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for CDNL, spanning a range between $13.34 and $17.16.

$15.25 -3.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.13

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $765.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CDNL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CDNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CDNL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $15.25 (-3.42% 1D, market cap $765.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CDNL ranks #333 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CDNL compare to YSS and PKE in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CDNL carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 54.6%. By comparison, YSS (York Space Systems Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $960.1M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDNL?

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Per CDNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079999), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $22.7M in net income, and -$5.9M in free cash flow against $394.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.13 (-0.81%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CDNL SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$20.92-24.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$15.87-8.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$14.55+4.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$15.25-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CDNL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CDNL currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($27.28) and Max Pain ($16.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $101.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDNL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CDNL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.91 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CDNL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 41/100

Trailing EPS: $0.47 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (41/100)Model Risk Weight (59/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$22.7M	-$5.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$21.4M	$21.9M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$20.6M	$30.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDNL)

✓Walkthrough of CDNL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CDNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -69.16%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $15.55H $15.79L $15.25C $15.25VOL 708.7K

RES: $23.46SUP: $11.14SMA50: $27.28SMA200: $43.61

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CDNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CDNL Butterfly Map → + Track CDNL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDNL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDNL)

Industrials Rank #333 of 485 ⚔️ YSS vs CDNL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CDNL vs. YSS, PKE, XTND, ORN)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) ranks #333 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #271 by equity capitalization ($765.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with CDNL at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CDNL ACTIVE Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)	D-	41/100	33.7x	—	54.6%	-3.42%	$765.5M	Benchmark Subject
YSS York Space Systems Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-9.59%	$960.1M	/yss-vs-cdnl →
PKE Park Aerospace Corp.	C-	60/100	—	30.9%	19.0%	-2.98%	$584.9M	/pke-vs-cdnl →
XTND Xtend AI Robotics Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-7.78%	$475.7M	/xtnd-vs-cdnl →
ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common	D-	38/100	148.9x	12.4%	7.1%	-7.57%	$370.4M	/orn-vs-cdnl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002079999

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $22.7M, operating cash flow of $37.9M, and free cash flow of -$5.9M (-127.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDNL closed FY2025 with $394.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$22.7M	$37.9M	-$5.9M	$394.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$21.4M	$42.6M	$21.9M	$140.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$20.6M	$30.9M	$30.9M	—	—

3. CDNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CDNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CDNL compare to YSS and PKE in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDNL?

Where is CDNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CDNL last traded at $15.25 (-3.42% on volume of 747,946 shares), positioning the stock -44.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.28) and -65.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.61). Across its 52-week range of $13.05 to $96.40, CDNL sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.34 to $17.16).

CDNL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CDNL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CDNL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for CDNL, spanning a range between $13.34 and $17.16.

Direct Sub-Reports: CDNL RQD Cockpit CDNL 12M Forecast CDNL Earnings & Move CDNL Dividends & DRIP CDNL Insiders & 13F CDNL Whale Options CDNL Profit Sankey CDNL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CDNL — Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CDNL scores 41 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow."

Fundamental Cash Engine — 12 / 20: The rating cites ROIC of 54.6% alongside a free cash flow yield of -0.77%. The strong return on invested capital is offset by negative cash generation on a yield basis, which weakens the case that earnings are converting into cash for shareholders.
Whale 13F Flow — 3 / 20: Institutional accumulation and options positioning score near the bottom of the range, indicating limited evidence of large-holder conviction in the source data.
Insider Conviction — 8 / 20: SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score below midpoint, providing little insider-driven support for the thesis.
Macro Regime Fit — 5 / 20: With a beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity assessment that scores weakly, the rating signals limited alignment with the current macro regime.
Forensic Balance Sheet — 13 / 20: The Altman Z-Score of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 form the strongest pillar, though still moderate.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers are the high ROIC and a balance sheet that is not in distress territory. The valuation tradeoffs are substantial: a trailing P/E of 33.7 and EV/EBITDA of 9.9 sit against negative FCF yield and a 52-week range of $13.05 to $96.4, meaning the price has fallen sharply. Current news flow is predominantly risk-oriented, so the rating's emphasis on flow and balance-sheet vulnerability is the central consideration.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$15.79	$765.5M	33.7	31.3	9.9	0.47	0%	1.0	$13.05 - $96.4	54.6%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Risk-watch headlines (RED): A Yahoo Finance item titled "Bear of the Day: Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL)" is flagged RISK WATCH. Investing.com reported that Truist cut the price target "on financing concerns." A TradingView item reports shares "Drop 36% on Probe," and a PR Newswire notice references a securities fraud investigation tied to acquisition issues. A Yahoo Finance piece reports fair value falling as analysts trim margin views.
Market-wire items (YELLOW): A Seeking Alpha item covers a Hughes Brothers deal described as deepening a self-perform position as shares reprice. A PR Newswire notice describes the 36% decline after acquisition issues were disclosed.
Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are recorded.

The news flow is weighted toward risk items, with the probe and financing concerns as the dominant themes.

Open Questions

What is the nature and scope of the securities fraud investigation and the acquisition issues referenced in the news wire, and what is the expected timeline?
What specific financing concerns led Truist to cut its price target, and what debt and cash balances underlie them?
Why do reported revenue figures show $0.0M while operating income is positive, and what is the revenue recognition basis?
What explains the decline in free cash flow from $30.9M to -$5.9M despite rising net income?
What is the composition of the Hughes Brothers deal and how does it affect the self-perform position?

CDNL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CDNL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

Bear of the Day: Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL)

Yahoo Finance report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Investing.com • 11h ago

Truist cuts Cardinal Infrastructure stock price target on financing concerns

Investing.com report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 14h ago

Cardinal Infrastructure: Hughes Brothers Deal Deepens Self-Perform Moat As Shares Reprice

Seeking Alpha report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 17h ago

Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL) Shares Drop 36% on Probe

TradingView report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE PR Newswire • 20h ago

CDNL Stock Notice: Cardinal Infrastructure Stock Plummeted 36% after Acquisition Issues Disclosed - Securities Fraud Investigation Underway

PR Newswire report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Cardinal Infrastructure Group (CDNL) Stock Fair Value Falls As Analysts Trim Margin Views

Yahoo Finance report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH StreetInsider • 1d ago

CDNL: Cardinal Infrastructure Group Investors with Losses Should Contact Block & Leviton to Discuss Recovery Options

StreetInsider report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 1d ago

Which of Cable One (NYSE:CABO), Cardinal Infrastructure Group (NASDAQ:CDNL) or Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) Has the Most Serious Legal or Regulatory Overhang Among Today's Losers?

kalkine.ca report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CDNL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.25?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CDNL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.90 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CDNL (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $15.79?

Welcome to the CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (33.7x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.84 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $15.79

Pump the brakes on CDNL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CDNL, but look at what you are paying: 33.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.21 (+28.0%)

Spot @ $15.79

CDNL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CDNL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.79 (52-wk range $13.05 - $96.40), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.