How profitable is Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), BRX converted $1.3B of revenue into a 0% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $652.0M in free cash flow (51.1% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Financials / BRX / financials

JAN (55) ADC (62) RHP (75) CTRE (62) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$29.56 +1.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.58

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.94B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Brixmor Property Group Inc. (NYSE: BRX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $29.56 (+1.44% 1D, market cap $8.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BRX ranks #263 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRX compare to JAN and ADC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BRX carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, JAN (Janus Living Inc. Class A-1) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $8.85B) and ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 43.0x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $8.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRX leads on earnings multiple (23.2x) while RHP leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRX?

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Per BRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581068), Brixmor Property Group Inc. generated $1.28B in revenue (+13.8% YoY), $386.2M in net income, and $652.0M in free cash flow against $9.13B in total assets and $2.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.58 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 51.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BRX SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.4) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$27.12+1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$27.42+3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$28.40+4.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$29.56+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BRX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, BRX faces multiple-compression risk if 23.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.21) or 200D SMA ($29.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.36) toward Bear Floor ($23.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How BRX Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$652.0M (51.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.01B

FY24

Rev $1.12B

FY25

Rev $1.28B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.28B	0%	35.7%	$386.2M	$652.0M	6.6%
FY 2024	$1.12B	0%	35.7%	$339.3M	$624.7M	6%
FY 2023	$1.01B	0%	35.7%	$305.1M	$588.8M	9.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRX)

✓Walkthrough of BRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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BRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $29.16H $29.56L $29.14C $29.56VOL 2.97M

RES: $33.03SUP: $25.52SMA50: $28.21SMA200: $29.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRX Butterfly Map → + Track BRX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

17.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRX)

Financials Rank #263 of 1097 ⚔️ JAN vs BRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BRX vs. JAN, ADC, RHP, CTRE)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) ranks #263 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #200 by equity capitalization ($8.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRX leads on earnings valuation at 23.2x trailing P/E, while RHP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. RHP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with BRX at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BRX ACTIVE Brixmor Property Group Inc.	C	64/100	23.2x	—	7.1%	+1.44%	$8.94B	Benchmark Subject
JAN Janus Living Inc. Class A-1	D+	55/100	—	—	0.4%	-0.24%	$8.85B	/jan-vs-brx →
ADC Agree Realty Corporation	C	62/100	43.0x	—	3.5%	+2.10%	$8.73B	/adc-vs-brx →
RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc.	B	75/100	38.2x	—	16.3%	+1.29%	$9.19B	/rhp-vs-brx →
CTRE CareTrust REIT Inc.	C	62/100	26.7x	—	7.2%	-0.69%	$8.60B	/ctre-vs-brx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001581068 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.28B (+13.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and +26.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $386.2M, operating cash flow of $652.0M, and free cash flow of $652.0M (+4.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRX closed FY2025 with $9.13B in total assets against $2.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.28B	$386.2M	$652.0M	$652.0M	$9.13B	$2.76B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.12B	$339.3M	$624.7M	$624.7M	$8.91B	$2.67B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.01B	$305.1M	$588.8M	$588.8M	$4.92B	$1.15B

3. BRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BRX compare to JAN and ADC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRX?

Where is BRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRX last traded at $29.56 (+1.44% on volume of 3,875,075 shares), positioning the stock +4.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.21) and -0.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.60). Across its 52-week range of $24.66 to $32.86, BRX sits at the 59.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($28.41 to $30.71).

Direct Sub-Reports: BRX RQD Cockpit BRX 12M Forecast BRX Earnings & Move BRX Dividends & DRIP BRX Insiders & 13F BRX Whale Options BRX Profit Sankey BRX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BRX — Brixmor Property Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $29.56 (+1.44% 1D, market capitalization $8.94B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 18.8%, and free cash flow yield of 6.03%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Its market capitalization is $8.9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) reported $1.28B in annual revenue (up from $1.12B in FY2024, +13.8% YoY) and $386.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.01B revenue, $305.1M net income) through FY2025, BRX scaled operating cash flow to $652.0M and free cash flow to $652.0M, backed by $9.13B in total assets against $2.76B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.66 – $32.86 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 23.2x trailing P/E and 19.7x EV/EBITDA against 18.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level context in the source is the Financials / Real Estate Investment Trusts classification and the RQD macro-regime pillar's note of sector sensitivity. The rate-risk theme in the RISK WATCH headline is the one ripple the source data points to, but its transmission mechanism is not described.

Key Question #1: Can BRX sustain or expand its 18.8% operating margin and 7.1% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.28B and free cash flow of $652.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.76B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is BRX's 19.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BRX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Brixmor Property Group (BRX) Stock Q3 Results Lift FFO But Rate Risk Lingers

Yahoo Finance report covering Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Brixmor Property (BRX) Could Be a Great Choice

Yahoo Finance report covering Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Brixmor Property Group (NYSE:BRX) Stock Price Target Lowered at UBS Group

MarketBeat report covering Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Brixmor Property Group (NYSE:BRX) Stock Price

Simply Wall St report covering Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Stifel Nicolaus Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Brixmor Property Group (NYSE:BRX) Stock Price

MarketBeat report covering Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Brixmor Property Group (BRX) Stock Climbs As Q3 Results Lift FFO Outlook

Simply Wall St report covering Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Brixmor (BRX) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (NYSE:BRX) Stock Has Average Target Price of $34.18 According to Analysts

MarketBeat report covering Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.56?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BRX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.01 (+27.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong balance-sheet and cash signals (Piotroski F 9/9, FCF yield 6.03%, Insider Conviction 16/20) support the rating.

Strong balance-sheet and cash signals (Piotroski F 9/9, FCF yield 6.03%, Insider Conviction 16/20) support the rating.. When you look under the hood at BRX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 7.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $32.86. My 12M target is $37.01.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BRX's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.77 (-15.0%)

Spot @ $29.14

Macro Regime Fit scores only 8/20 on beta of 1 and sector sensitivity, and a RED rate-risk warning is active.

Macro Regime Fit scores only 8/20 on beta of 1 and sector sensitivity, and a RED rate-risk warning is active.. Look at the math on BRX: paying 23.2x trailing P/E for 7.1% ROIC and 18.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate Investment Trusts demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $25.64 before getting long.