Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$29.14 -0.07% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.08

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.94B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Brixmor Property Group Inc. (NYSE: BRX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $29.14 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $8.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BRX ranks #262 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRX compare to JAN and ADC in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BRX carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, JAN (Janus Living Inc. Class A-1) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $8.85B) and ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 43.0x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $8.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRX leads on earnings multiple (23.2x) while RHP leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRX?
β–Ό

Per BRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581068), Brixmor Property Group Inc. generated $1.28B in revenue (+13.8% YoY), $386.2M in net income, and $652.0M in free cash flow against $9.13B in total assets and $2.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.08 (-0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 51.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (15)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$35 Bull$30 Base$23 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BRX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BRX SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.4) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$27.12+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$27.42+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$28.40+2.6% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$29.14+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BRX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, BRX faces multiple-compression risk if 23.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.21) or 200D SMA ($29.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.93) toward Bear Floor ($23.35).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (13.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $34,858

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $627/yr
$11.3K
Yr 1
$12.8K
Yr 2
$14.5K
Yr 3
$16.5K
Yr 4
$18.7K
Yr 5
$21.2K
Yr 6
$24.0K
Yr 7
$27.2K
Yr 8
$30.8K
Yr 9
$34.9K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in BRX & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on BRX and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.48%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $29.16H $29.16L $29.14C $29.14VOL 2.97M
RES: $29.29SUP: $25.52SMA50: $28.21SMA200: $29.60
$33.29$31.51$29.74$27.96$26.19RES $29.29SUP $25.52$29.142026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRX)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BRX vs. JAN, ADC, RHP, CTRE)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) ranks #262 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #199 by equity capitalization ($8.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRX leads on earnings valuation at 23.2x trailing P/E, while RHP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. RHP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with BRX at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BRX ACTIVE
Brixmor Property Group Inc.
C 64/100 23.2x β€” 7.1% -0.07% $8.94B Benchmark Subject
JAN
Janus Living Inc. Class A-1
D+ 55/100 β€” β€” 0.4% 0.00% $8.85B /jan-vs-brx β†’
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation
C 62/100 43.0x β€” 3.5% -0.80% $8.73B /adc-vs-brx β†’
RHP
Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc.
B 75/100 38.2x β€” 16.3% -1.16% $9.19B /rhp-vs-brx β†’
CTRE
CareTrust REIT Inc.
C 62/100 26.7x β€” 7.2% +0.36% $8.60B /ctre-vs-brx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001581068

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.28B (+13.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and +26.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $386.2M, operating cash flow of $652.0M, and free cash flow of $652.0M (+4.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRX closed FY2025 with $9.13B in total assets against $2.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.28B $386.2M $652.0M $652.0M $9.13B $2.76B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.12B $339.3M $624.7M $624.7M $8.91B $2.67B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.01B $305.1M $588.8M $588.8M $4.92B $1.15B

3. BRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Brixmor Property Group Inc. (NYSE: BRX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $29.14 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $8.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BRX ranks #262 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BRX compare to JAN and ADC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BRX carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, JAN (Janus Living Inc. Class A-1) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $8.85B) and ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 43.0x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $8.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRX leads on earnings multiple (23.2x) while RHP leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRX?

Per BRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581068), Brixmor Property Group Inc. generated $1.28B in revenue (+13.8% YoY), $386.2M in net income, and $652.0M in free cash flow against $9.13B in total assets and $2.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRX last traded at $29.14 (-0.07% on volume of 2,972,778 shares), positioning the stock +3.30% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.21) and -1.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.60). Across its 52-week range of $24.66 to $32.86, BRX sits at the 54.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.9% ($28.00 to $30.28).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BRX β€” Brixmor Property Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:13Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BRX scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 7.1% and an FCF yield of 6.03%. For a prospective investor, this indicates moderate cash generation relative to the capital employed, with a free-cash-flow yield that is a meaningful part of the valuation case.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar is described as "Institutional accumulation & options positioning.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the highest-scoring pillar, but its basis cannot be independently verified here.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest-scoring pillar and indicates that the stock's performance may be more exposed to broad-market and sector conditions than to company-specific drivers.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor, these readings point to a balance sheet assessed as sound on the rating's own metrics.

Taken together, the pillar profile suggests balance-sheet and insider signals offset a weaker macro-fit score. The investor implication is a stock whose valuation case depends on cash generation and balance-sheet stability, while its sensitivity to macro and sector conditions is the main drag on the rating.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Its market capitalization is $8.9B.

Per the market data, the operating margin is 18.8% and the net margin is 15.4%, with ROIC of 7.1%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9. The Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5 per the RQD rating. Reported debt rose from $1.15B in FY 2023 to $2.76B in FY 2025 while operating income grew over the same period.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Strong balance-sheet and cash signals (Piotroski F 9/9, FCF yield 6.03%, Insider Conviction 16/20) support the rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 7.1%, FCF yield 6.03%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $24.66 – $32.86 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Macro Regime Fit scores only 8/20 on beta of 1 and sector sensitivity, and a RED rate-risk warning is active. Investors must weigh 23.2x trailing P/E and 19.7x EV/EBITDA against 18.8% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level context in the source is the Financials / Real Estate Investment Trusts classification and the RQD macro-regime pillar's note of sector sensitivity. The rate-risk theme in the RISK WATCH headline is the one ripple the source data points to, but its transmission mechanism is not described.

  • Key Question #1: Why did reported debt rise from $1.15B in FY 2023 to $2.76B in FY 2025, and what is the refinancing or maturity profile behind it?
  • Key Question #2: What is the dividend policy, given the market data shows a 0% dividend yield?
  • Key Question #3: What does the rate-risk warning in the RISK WATCH headline imply quantitatively for the Macro Regime Fit score of 8/20?

BRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BRX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $29.14?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BRX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BRX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.01 (+27.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Strong balance-sheet and cash signals (Piotroski F 9/9, FCF yield 6.03%, Insider Conviction 16/20) support the rating.

Strong balance-sheet and cash signals (Piotroski F 9/9, FCF yield 6.03%, Insider Conviction 16/20) support the rating.. When you look under the hood at BRX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 7.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $32.86. My 12M target is $37.01.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” BRX's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.77 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $29.14

Macro Regime Fit scores only 8/20 on beta of 1 and sector sensitivity, and a RED rate-risk warning is active.

Macro Regime Fit scores only 8/20 on beta of 1 and sector sensitivity, and a RED rate-risk warning is active.. Look at the math on BRX: paying 23.2x trailing P/E for 7.1% ROIC and 18.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate Investment Trusts demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $25.64 before getting long.

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