ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Financials / BRX / earnings
JAN (55) ADC (62) RHP (75) CTRE (62) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.9% Move

$29.56 +1.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.58

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.94B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BRX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Brixmor Property Group Inc. (NYSE: BRX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $29.56 (+1.44% 1D, market cap $8.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BRX ranks #263 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRX compare to JAN and ADC in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BRX carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, JAN (Janus Living Inc. Class A-1) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $8.85B) and ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 43.0x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $8.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRX leads on earnings multiple (23.2x) while RHP leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRX?
▼

Per BRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581068), Brixmor Property Group Inc. generated $1.28B in revenue (+13.8% YoY), $386.2M in net income, and $652.0M in free cash flow against $9.13B in total assets and $2.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.58 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 51.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (15)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$36 Bull$30 Base$24 Bear
📬 FREE BRX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BRX SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.4) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$27.12+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$27.42+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$28.40+4.1% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$29.56+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BRX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, BRX faces multiple-compression risk if 23.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.21) or 200D SMA ($29.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.36) toward Bear Floor ($23.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.9% Swing Band

±$1.15 Expected Swing
$28.41 (-3.9%)Spot $29.56$30.71 (+3.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BRX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $1.26 • YoY Revenue Growth: 20.9%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.28B$386.2M$652.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.12B$339.3M$624.7M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.01B$305.1M$588.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BRX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BRX
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
BRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $29.16H $29.56L $29.14C $29.56VOL 2.97M
RES: $33.03SUP: $25.52SMA50: $28.21SMA200: $29.60
$33.29$31.51$29.74$27.96$26.19RES $33.03SUP $25.52$29.562026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRX Butterfly Map → + Track BRX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRX)

Financials Rank #263 of 1097 ⚔️ JAN vs BRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BRX vs. JAN, ADC, RHP, CTRE)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) ranks #263 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #200 by equity capitalization ($8.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRX leads on earnings valuation at 23.2x trailing P/E, while RHP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. RHP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with BRX at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BRX ACTIVE
Brixmor Property Group Inc.
C 64/100 23.2x — 7.1% +1.44% $8.94B Benchmark Subject
JAN
Janus Living Inc. Class A-1
D+ 55/100 — — 0.4% -0.24% $8.85B /jan-vs-brx →
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation
C 62/100 43.0x — 3.5% +2.10% $8.73B /adc-vs-brx →
RHP
Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc.
B 75/100 38.2x — 16.3% +1.29% $9.19B /rhp-vs-brx →
CTRE
CareTrust REIT Inc.
C 62/100 26.7x — 7.2% -0.69% $8.60B /ctre-vs-brx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001581068 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.28B (+13.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and +26.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $386.2M, operating cash flow of $652.0M, and free cash flow of $652.0M (+4.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRX closed FY2025 with $9.13B in total assets against $2.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.28B $386.2M $652.0M $652.0M $9.13B $2.76B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.12B $339.3M $624.7M $624.7M $8.91B $2.67B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.01B $305.1M $588.8M $588.8M $4.92B $1.15B

3. BRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Brixmor Property Group Inc. (NYSE: BRX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $29.56 (+1.44% 1D, market cap $8.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BRX ranks #263 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BRX compare to JAN and ADC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BRX carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, JAN (Janus Living Inc. Class A-1) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $8.85B) and ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 43.0x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $8.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRX leads on earnings multiple (23.2x) while RHP leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRX?

Per BRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001581068), Brixmor Property Group Inc. generated $1.28B in revenue (+13.8% YoY), $386.2M in net income, and $652.0M in free cash flow against $9.13B in total assets and $2.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRX last traded at $29.56 (+1.44% on volume of 3,875,075 shares), positioning the stock +4.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.21) and -0.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.60). Across its 52-week range of $24.66 to $32.86, BRX sits at the 59.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($28.41 to $30.71).

Direct Sub-Reports: BRX RQD Cockpit BRX 12M Forecast BRX Earnings & Move BRX Dividends & DRIP BRX Insiders & 13F BRX Whale Options BRX Profit Sankey BRX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BRX — Brixmor Property Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $29.56 (+1.44% 1D, market capitalization $8.94B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 18.8%, and free cash flow yield of 6.03%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Its market capitalization is $8.9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) reported $1.28B in annual revenue (up from $1.12B in FY2024, +13.8% YoY) and $386.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.01B revenue, $305.1M net income) through FY2025, BRX scaled operating cash flow to $652.0M and free cash flow to $652.0M, backed by $9.13B in total assets against $2.76B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.66 – $32.86 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 23.2x trailing P/E and 19.7x EV/EBITDA against 18.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level context in the source is the Financials / Real Estate Investment Trusts classification and the RQD macro-regime pillar's note of sector sensitivity. The rate-risk theme in the RISK WATCH headline is the one ripple the source data points to, but its transmission mechanism is not described.

  • Key Question #1: Can BRX sustain or expand its 18.8% operating margin and 7.1% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.28B and free cash flow of $652.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.76B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BRX's 19.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BRX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.56?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BRX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BRX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.01 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong balance-sheet and cash signals (Piotroski F 9/9, FCF yield 6.03%, Insider Conviction 16/20) support the rating.

Strong balance-sheet and cash signals (Piotroski F 9/9, FCF yield 6.03%, Insider Conviction 16/20) support the rating.. When you look under the hood at BRX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 7.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $32.86. My 12M target is $37.01.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BRX's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.77 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $29.14

Macro Regime Fit scores only 8/20 on beta of 1 and sector sensitivity, and a RED rate-risk warning is active.

Macro Regime Fit scores only 8/20 on beta of 1 and sector sensitivity, and a RED rate-risk warning is active.. Look at the math on BRX: paying 23.2x trailing P/E for 7.1% ROIC and 18.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate Investment Trusts demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $25.64 before getting long.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%