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Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) (BETA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$20.38 +1.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.40

Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) (BETA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.69B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BETA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BETA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BETA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $20.38 (+1.65% 1D, market cap $4.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, BETA ranks #320 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BETA compare to JOBY and AIR in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), BETA carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, JOBY (Joby Aviation Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.87B) and AIR (AAR Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BETA?
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Per BETA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001784570), Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) generated $35.6M in revenue (+136.0% YoY), -$745.9M in net income, and -$313.2M in free cash flow against $2.11B in total assets and $179.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.40 (+0.11%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$41 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE BETA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BETA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BETA SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 9.12 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 72.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$18.21-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$18.15+14.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$20.75-1.8% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$20.38-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BETA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BETA currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.69) and Max Pain ($21.40) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.48.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BETA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BETA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BETA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $20.38: 490.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $14.75
$7,237
$-2,763 (-27.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $18.91
$9,279
$-721 (-7.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $41.48
$20,353
+$10,353 (+103.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BETA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BETA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BETA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $20.57H $20.57L $20.05C $20.38VOL 1.31M
RES: $21.04SUP: $16.30SMA50: $20.69SMA200: $18.95
$28.34$24.54$20.73$16.93$13.13RES $21.04SUP $16.30$20.382026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BETA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BETA Butterfly Map → + Track BETA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +136.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BETA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BETA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BETA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BETA)

Industrials Rank #320 of 485 ⚔️ JOBY vs BETA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (BETA vs. JOBY, AIR, AVAV, ACHR)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) (BETA) ranks #320 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #149 by equity capitalization ($4.69B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIR leads on earnings valuation at 22.4x trailing P/E, while AIR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 18.8% gross margin. AIR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with BETA at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BETA ACTIVE
Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — 72.2% -35.0% +1.65% $4.69B Benchmark Subject
JOBY
Joby Aviation Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -1.84% $4.87B /joby-vs-beta →
AIR
AAR Corp.
D 46/100 22.4x 18.8% 12.0% +5.36% $4.03B /air-vs-beta →
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc.
E 27/100 — 25.3% -7.6% -2.40% $6.41B /avav-vs-beta →
ACHR
Archer Aviation Inc.
E 32/100 — 33.3% -35.0% -0.71% $3.27B /achr-vs-beta →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001784570

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) (BETA) reported GAAP revenue of $35.6M (+136.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.1M , and +131.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$745.9M, operating cash flow of -$267.8M, and free cash flow of -$313.2M (-5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BETA closed FY2025 with $2.11B in total assets against $179.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.12, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $35.6M -$745.9M -$267.8M -$313.2M $2.11B $179.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.1M -$275.6M -$222.7M -$296.2M $666.4M $149.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $15.4M -$175.6M -$158.0M -$158.0M — —

3. BETA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BETA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BETA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $20.38 (+1.65% 1D, market cap $4.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, BETA ranks #320 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BETA compare to JOBY and AIR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), BETA carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, JOBY (Joby Aviation Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.87B) and AIR (AAR Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BETA?

Per BETA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001784570), Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) generated $35.6M in revenue (+136.0% YoY), -$745.9M in net income, and -$313.2M in free cash flow against $2.11B in total assets and $179.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BETA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BETA last traded at $20.38 (+1.65% on volume of 1,961,085 shares), positioning the stock -1.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.69) and +7.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.95). Across its 52-week range of $13.43 to $39.50, BETA sits at the 26.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($17.83 to $22.93).

Direct Sub-Reports: BETA RQD Cockpit BETA 12M Forecast BETA Earnings & Move BETA Dividends & DRIP BETA Insiders & 13F BETA Whale Options BETA Profit Sankey BETA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BETA — Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) (BETA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $20.38 (+1.65% 1D, market capitalization $4.69B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 72.2%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -6.51%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 9.12, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.10x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Industrials sector and Aerospace industry. Reported revenue is $35.6M for FY 2025 . The gross margin of 72.2% is reported in the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) (BETA) reported $35.6M in annual revenue (up from $15.1M in FY2024, +136.0% YoY) and -$745.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($15.4M revenue, -$175.6M net income) through FY2025, BETA scaled operating cash flow to -$267.8M and free cash flow to -$313.2M, backed by $2.11B in total assets against $179.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -6.51% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.43 – $39.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level context is the Industrials sector and Aerospace industry classification and the beta of 1.0 per the market data section.

  • Key Question #1: Can BETA sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Aerospace peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $35.6M and free cash flow of -$313.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $179.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BETA's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BETA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) (BETA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BETA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BETA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.38?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BETA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BETA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.06 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet strength, with an Altman Z-Score of 9.12 and cash of $1.71B in FY 2025, supports the forensic pillar at 14/20.

Balance sheet strength, with an Altman Z-Score of 9.12 and cash of $1.71B in FY 2025, supports the forensic pillar at 14/20.. When you look under the hood at BETA, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 72.2% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $39.50. My 12M target is $23.06.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Aerospace. If gross margin (72.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.44 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $20.05

Negative ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -6.51%, and a -60% operating margin leave the cash engine weak, with insider conviction at 3/20.

Fading this rally in BETA at $20.05. Negative ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -6.51%, and a -60% operating margin leave the cash engine weak, with insider conviction at 3/20.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $20.05 (52-wk range $13.43–$39.50), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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