Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AZUL

VLRS (45) RJET (48) JBLU (23) ULCC (34) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell AZUL stock right now?

Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 48/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is AZUL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AZUL's 12-month base price target is $3.82 (range $2.98 to $10.32), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$4.00 +3.63% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.02

Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $773.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AZUL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AZUL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (NYSE: AZUL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $4.00 (+3.63% 1D, market cap $773.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AZUL ranks #606 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AZUL compare to VLRS and RJET in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AZUL carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VLRS (Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $720.4M) and RJET (Republic Airways Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $935.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJET leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while RJET leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AZUL?

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For Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #606 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.02 (+0.46%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AZUL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AZUL SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($21.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$7.12-9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$6.48-37.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.05-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.00-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AZUL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AZUL currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.58) and Max Pain ($4.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AZUL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AZUL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

24.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE10% OF RANGE

L: $3$4.00H: $10

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on AZUL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (38)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AZUL

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AZUL)

✓Walkthrough of AZUL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AZUL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.70%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $3.77H $4.00L $3.77C $4.00VOL 812.8K

RES: $7.09SUP: $3.09SMA50: $6.58SMA200: $7.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AZUL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AZUL Butterfly Map → + Track AZUL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AZUL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AZUL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AZUL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AZUL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #606 of 1011 ⚔️ VLRS vs AZUL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AZUL vs. VLRS, RJET, JBLU, ULCC)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) ranks #606 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #541 by equity capitalization ($773.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RJET leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while RJET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. AZUL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AZUL ACTIVE Azul S.A. each representing two (2)	D	48/100	—	—	—	+3.63%	$773.6M	Benchmark Subject
VLRS Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates	D	45/100	—	—	—	+3.39%	$720.4M	/vlrs-vs-azul →
RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc.	D	48/100	12.3x	—	11.1%	-3.25%	$935.0M	/rjet-vs-azul →
JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation	E	23/100	—	—	-35.0%	-6.56%	$1.15B	/jblu-vs-azul →
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.46%	$1.49B	/ulcc-vs-azul →

2. AZUL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $773.6M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. AZUL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AZUL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AZUL compare to VLRS and RJET in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AZUL?

Where is AZUL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AZUL last traded at $4.00 (+3.63% on volume of 602,760 shares), positioning the stock -39.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.58) and -48.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.71). Across its 52-week range of $3.35 to $9.83, AZUL sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.50 to $4.50).

AZUL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AZUL stock right now?

Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 48/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AZUL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AZUL's 12-month base price target is $3.82 (range $2.98 to $10.32), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: AZUL RQD Cockpit AZUL 12M Forecast AZUL Earnings & Move AZUL Dividends & DRIP AZUL Insiders & 13F AZUL Whale Options AZUL Profit Sankey AZUL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AZUL — Azul S.A. each representing two (2): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AZUL carries an RQD Score of 48, a letter grade of D, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is Whale 13F Flow at 3/20, which indicates the rating's institutional-flow signal is the least supportive component. The cash-generation pillar is also weak, with the rating reporting zero ROIC and zero FCF yield, meaning the source does not show the business currently converting capital into returns. The forensic balance sheet pillar is the strongest at 13/20, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the implication is that the rating frames the stock as a distribution-risk name, with balance-sheet resilience as the main offsetting factor and no source-based evidence of upside drivers from cash generation or institutional accumulation. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data.

Open Questions

What are the company's reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, free cash flow, cash, and debt across recent periods? The financials section is empty.
What are the trailing and forward P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples, which would be needed to judge valuation against the RQD score?
What does the company sell, and to which customers and geographies, so that the 0% margin and ROIC readings can be interpreted?
What recent news, catalysts, or risk events apply to the company, given that the news section is empty?
Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what analyst ratings or price targets exist, since the holders and analyst sections are empty?

AZUL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Azul S.A. each representing two (2) (AZUL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AZUL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 7d ago

12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Monday's After-Market Session

Gainers JetBlue Airways (NASDAQ:JBLU) stock increased by 10.6% to $2.62 during Monday's after-market session. The company's market cap stands at $999.8 million. As per the press release, Q3 earnings came out

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 7d ago

Azul S.A. Secures Up to R$2.0 Billion Financing Facility for Aviation Fuel Payments

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 7d ago

12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Monday's Intraday Session

Gainers GrafTech International (NYSE:EAF) stock moved upwards by 33.1% to $11.32 during Monday's regular session. The company's market cap stands at $200.3 million. The company's, Q3 earnings came out

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 11d ago

Implied Volatility Surging for Azul Stock Options

Investors need to pay close attention to AZUL stock based on the movements in the options market lately.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 12d ago

Azul S.A. Announces Capital Increase of BRL 512,811,716.28 Following American Airlines Warrant Exercise

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 14d ago

Intel upgraded, Reddit initiated: Wall Street's top analyst calls

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AZUL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.00?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AZUL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $4.17 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AZUL (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $3.86?

Welcome to the AZUL (Azul S.A. each representing two (2)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.20 (-17.1%)

Spot @ $3.86

Pump the brakes on AZUL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AZUL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Azul S.A. each representing two (2) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.63 (+19.9%)

Spot @ $3.86

AZUL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AZUL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.86 (52-wk range $3.35 - $9.83), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.