MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
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Why ASM Stock advanced +0.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.38 +0.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.38
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (ASM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $733.8M
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Is ASM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (NYSE: ASM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $4.38 (+0.92% 1D, market cap $733.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASM ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ASM compare to LAC and GSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ASM carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LAC (Lithium Americas Corp.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.1%, cap $737.0M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASM?
▼
For Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (ASM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #174 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.38 (-0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASM SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($20.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$5.20-0.2% Next Q
52
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$5.19-7.1% Next Q
49
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$4.82-9.1% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$4.38-6.5% Hist 90D α
44
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASM Turnaround Squeeze
While ASM currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.91) and Max Pain ($4.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.59.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ASM Stock advanced +0.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (ASM) advanced +0.92% to $4.38, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($4.05 – $11.99). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($4.05 – $11.99) with RSI-14 at 33 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.4% around $4.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $20.5M annual free cash flow.
Live ASM Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
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FMC Q3 Earnings Miss on Channel Pricing Actions, Sales BeatFMC's Q3 loss widens as pricing actions and weak demand hit sales. Despite a revenue beat, the company lowered its 2026 outlook.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 3d ago
Did Avino Silver & Gold Mines Fall Catch You Out? What Investors MissedIf you had sat out Avino Silver & Gold Mines at the start of 2026, skipping both the bullish price targets and the more cautious earnings projections, your portfolio would look different today. Holding Avino Silver & Gol
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
RS Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Higher Steel Prices and ShipmentsReliance's Q3 2026 earnings surge 120.3%, beating estimates as higher steel prices, record shipments and border wall contributions fuel strong sales growth.
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
ESI Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Electronics StrengthElement Solutions' Q3 2026 earnings beat estimates as Electronics sales surge 68%, driving strong revenue growth and a higher full-year earnings outlook.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Dow Launches DOWSIL IE-5619 Emulsion for Textile IndustryDOW launches DOWSIL IE-5619 Emulsion, offering durable water and oil repellency without fluorinated chemistry while preserving fabric softness and breathability.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
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CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
VMI Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Utility Strength, Sales MissValmont's Q3 2026 earnings beat estimates on strong Utility and Coatings sales, despite a revenue miss and Agriculture weakness, prompting a higher EPS outlook.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
BASFY Expands APG Manufacturing Facility in CincinnatiBASF expands APG production capacity in Cincinnati to meet growing North American demand for biodegradable surfactants and strengthen regional supply reliability.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASM)
- ✓Walkthrough of ASM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ASM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.91%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.61H $4.61L $4.34C $4.38VOL 3.75M
RES: $7.72SUP: $4.17SMA50: $5.91SMA200: $6.85
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ASM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASM)
Materials Rank #174 of 270
⚔️ LAC vs ASM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ASM vs. LAC, GSM, SGML, DC)
Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (ASM) ranks #174 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #154 by equity capitalization ($733.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with ASM at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASM
ACTIVE
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | +0.92% | $733.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| LAC Lithium Americas Corp. | E | 32/100 | — | — | -8.1% | -3.45% | $737.0M | /lac-vs-asm → |
| GSM Ferroglobe PLC | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -0.52% | $721.3M | /gsm-vs-asm → |
| SGML Sigma Lithium Corporation | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -25.57% | $788.0M | /sgml-vs-asm → |
| DC Dakota Gold Corp. | E | 30/100 | — | — | -29.3% | +3.55% | $680.3M | /dc-vs-asm → |
2. ASM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTAvino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (ASM) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $733.8M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. ASM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ASM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (NYSE: ASM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $4.38 (+0.92% 1D, market cap $733.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASM ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ASM compare to LAC and GSM in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ASM carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LAC (Lithium Americas Corp.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.1%, cap $737.0M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $721.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASM?
For Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (ASM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #174 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ASM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ASM last traded at $4.38 (+0.92% on volume of 3,432,564 shares), positioning the stock -25.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.91) and -36.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.85). Across its 52-week range of $4.05 to $11.99, ASM sits at the 4.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($3.97 to $4.79).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
ASM — Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (ASM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.38 (+0.92% 1D, market capitalization $733.8M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. (Canada) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Metal Mining industry..8B. — describes its specific products, customers, or revenue model.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.05 – $11.99 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no sector correlations, so no 2nd-order dependencies can be identified from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can ASM sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $11.99 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ASM's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
ASM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (ASM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 3d ago
Westlake Completes PVCO Pipe Manufacturing Expansion in Texas WLK expands PVCO pipe production in Texas with a new facility, boosting capacity and supporting sustainable water infrastructure.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 3d ago
LYB Q3 Earnings Miss on Weak Polymer Prices Despite Oxyfuels Gains LyondellBasell's Q3 earnings surge 151.5% but miss estimates as weak polymer prices offset strong oxyfuels margins, despite 10% revenue growth.
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🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 3d ago
Did Avino Silver & Gold Mines Fall Catch You Out? What Investors Missed If you had sat out Avino Silver & Gold Mines at the start of 2026, skipping both the bullish price targets and the more cautious earnings projections, your portfolio would look different today. Holding Avino Silver & Gol
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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago
ESI Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Electronics Strength Element Solutions' Q3 2026 earnings beat estimates as Electronics sales surge 68%, driving strong revenue growth and a higher full-year earnings outlook.
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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
ASM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.38?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $5.60 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Forensic balance-sheet pillar scores 13 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, the strongest component of the RQD rating.
The street is overcomplicating Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) (ASM). Forensic balance-sheet pillar scores 13 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, the strongest component of the RQD rating.. With an RQD score of 44/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $4.69.
CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL
@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 44/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.34 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.04.
RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $3.25 (-25.1%)
Spot @ $4.34 ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and the whale 13F flow pillar scores only 3 / 20, pulling the RQD rating to a D grade.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ASM above $4.34. ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and the whale 13F flow pillar scores only 3 / 20, pulling the RQD rating to a D grade.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $11.99.