Why ASIX Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$15.36 +2.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.39

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $405.8M
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As of 2026-11-02, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $15.36 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $405.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASIX ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASIX compare to VHI and ADUR in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASIX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, VHI (Valhi Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $396.2M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIX?
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Per ASIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001673985), AdvanSix Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $49.3M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.39 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$28 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE ASIX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASIX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASIX SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$16.20-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$16.05-3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$15.47-0.7% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$15.36-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASIX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASIX currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.30) and Max Pain ($16.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASIX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASIX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ASIX Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) surged +2.20% to $15.36, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($14.1 – $26.73). Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($14.1 – $26.73) with RSI-14 at 35.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.2% around $15.36 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $6.4M annual free cash flow.
Live ASIX Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASIX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ASIX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ASIX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.58%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $15.51H $15.51L $15.03C $15.36VOL 293.2K
RES: $21.10SUP: $14.88SMA50: $16.30SMA200: $19.51
$27.57$24.10$20.63$17.16$13.69RES $21.10SUP $14.88$15.362026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASIX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASIX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASIX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASIX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASIX)

Materials Rank #102 of 270 ⚔️ VHI vs ASIX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ASIX vs. VHI, ADUR, SLI, LXFR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) ranks #102 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #185 by equity capitalization ($405.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ASIX at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASIX ACTIVE
AdvanSix Inc.
D 50/100 8.2x — 6.0% +2.20% $405.8M Benchmark Subject
VHI
Valhi Inc.
E 28/100 — 14.2% 6.2% +0.86% $396.2M /vhi-vs-asix →
ADUR
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -1.07% $367.4M /adur-vs-asix →
SLI
Standard Lithium Ltd.
D 45/100 — — — -0.69% $358.0M /sli-vs-asix →
LXFR
Luxfer Holdings PLC
C 65/100 60.0x 23.2% 8.2% -0.23% $462.1M /lxfr-vs-asix →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001673985

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $49.3M, operating cash flow of $122.9M, and free cash flow of $6.4M (+279.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASIX closed FY2025 with $1.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $49.3M $122.9M $6.4M $1.71B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $44.1M $135.4M $1.7M $1.59B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $54.6M $117.5M $117.5M — —

3. ASIX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $15.36 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $405.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASIX ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASIX compare to VHI and ADUR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASIX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, VHI (Valhi Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $396.2M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIX?

Per ASIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001673985), AdvanSix Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $49.3M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASIX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASIX last traded at $15.36 (+2.20% on volume of 377,161 shares), positioning the stock -5.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.30) and -21.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.51). Across its 52-week range of $14.10 to $26.73, ASIX sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($14.41 to $16.31).

ASIX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ASIX stock moving today?

Why ASIX Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ASIX — AdvanSix Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 6% and an FCF yield of 1.58%. For an investor, a thin free-cash-flow yield means little cash is returned relative to the share price, so the valuation case depends more on earnings multiples than on cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score is the weakest pillar and suggests limited institutional support in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest pillar, a relative bright spot in an otherwise weak profile.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. An investor should expect the stock to move in line with the broad market rather than offer a defensive or asymmetric profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is a moderate balance-sheet posture, not a distress signal.

Taken together, the upside drivers are the low trailing and forward P/E ratios and the 4.23% dividend yield (per the market data section). The tradeoffs are a weak institutional-flow score, an FCF yield well below typical levels, and a stock price that fell 3.09% on the reporting day while sitting near the low end of its 52-week range.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$49.3MN/A$6.4M$19.8MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$44.1MN/A$1.7M$19.6MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$54.6MN/A$117.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue and operating income are $0.0M across the three periods, so the source data does not support margin analysis. Per the market data section, gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0%, which should be read as a data limitation rather than a finding. ROIC is 6% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Net income declined from $54.6M in FY 2023 to $44.1M in FY 2024 before recovering to $49.3M in FY 2025. FCF fell sharply from $117.5M in FY 2023 to $1.7M in FY 2024 and recovered to $6.4M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings release timing: A headline reports that AdvanSix will release third quarter financial results and hold an investor conference call on November 4. The item is categorized as a market wire item with a YELLOW signal.
  • Third-quarter revenue estimate: A TradingView headline lists the ASIX Q3'26 revenue estimate as 426.00M USD. This is an estimate, not a reported figure.
  • USDA grant for ammonia/fertilizer expansion: Multiple headlines (Stock Titan, Investing.com Nigeria) report a proposed $47.4 million grant to help expand fertilizer production in Virginia. Headlines describe this as "proposed" in one case and as "received" in another; the source data does not resolve which status is accurate.
  • Other coverage: Yahoo Finance Canada and Stock Traders Daily items cover market action and rotational strategy timing without additional company-specific facts.
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Risk watch items: the discrepancy between "proposed" and "received" grant status; the reliance on an estimate for Q3 revenue; and the absence of supply-chain linkage data.

Open Questions

  • What is the actual status of the $47.4 million USDA grant: proposed or received?
  • What products, customers, and revenue lines drive AdvanSix's reported figures, given that revenue and operating income are shown as $0.0M?
  • Why do gross, operating, and net margins read 0% when net income is reported at $49.3M?
  • What is the company's debt level in dollar terms, given that Debt is listed as N/A while Debt/Equity is 0.5?
  • What were the results and guidance in the upcoming third-quarter release, and how does the reported result compare to the 426.00M USD revenue estimate?

ASIX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASIX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASIX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.36?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASIX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASIX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $16.23 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ASIX (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $15.03?

Welcome to the ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.42 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $15.03

Pump the brakes on ASIX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ASIX, but look at what you are paying: 8.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless AdvanSix Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.09 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $15.03

ASIX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ASIX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.03 (52-wk range $14.10 - $26.73), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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