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Stock Ratings / Materials / ASIX / earnings
VHI (28) ADUR (45) SLI (45) LXFR (65) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.2% Move

$15.36 +2.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.39

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $405.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASIX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $15.36 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $405.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASIX ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASIX compare to VHI and ADUR in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASIX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, VHI (Valhi Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $396.2M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIX?
▼

Per ASIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001673985), AdvanSix Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $49.3M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.39 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$28 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE ASIX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASIX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASIX SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$16.20-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$16.05-3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$15.47-0.7% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$15.36-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASIX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASIX currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.30) and Max Pain ($16.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASIX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASIX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.2% Swing Band

±$0.95 Expected Swing
$14.41 (-6.2%)Spot $15.36$16.31 (+6.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ASIX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $1.83 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$49.3M$6.4M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$44.1M$1.7M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$54.6M$117.5M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASIX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ASIX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ASIX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.58%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $15.51H $15.51L $15.03C $15.36VOL 293.2K
RES: $21.10SUP: $14.88SMA50: $16.30SMA200: $19.51
$27.57$24.10$20.63$17.16$13.69RES $21.10SUP $14.88$15.362026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASIX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASIX Butterfly Map → + Track ASIX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASIX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASIX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASIX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASIX)

Materials Rank #102 of 270 ⚔️ VHI vs ASIX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ASIX vs. VHI, ADUR, SLI, LXFR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) ranks #102 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #185 by equity capitalization ($405.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ASIX at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASIX ACTIVE
AdvanSix Inc.
D 50/100 8.2x — 6.0% +2.20% $405.8M Benchmark Subject
VHI
Valhi Inc.
E 28/100 — 14.2% 6.2% +0.86% $396.2M /vhi-vs-asix →
ADUR
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -1.07% $367.4M /adur-vs-asix →
SLI
Standard Lithium Ltd.
D 45/100 — — — -0.69% $358.0M /sli-vs-asix →
LXFR
Luxfer Holdings PLC
C 65/100 60.0x 23.2% 8.2% -0.23% $462.1M /lxfr-vs-asix →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001673985

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $49.3M, operating cash flow of $122.9M, and free cash flow of $6.4M (+279.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASIX closed FY2025 with $1.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $49.3M $122.9M $6.4M $1.71B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $44.1M $135.4M $1.7M $1.59B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $54.6M $117.5M $117.5M — —

3. ASIX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $15.36 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $405.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASIX ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASIX compare to VHI and ADUR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASIX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, VHI (Valhi Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $396.2M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIX?

Per ASIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001673985), AdvanSix Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $49.3M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASIX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASIX last traded at $15.36 (+2.20% on volume of 377,161 shares), positioning the stock -5.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.30) and -21.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.51). Across its 52-week range of $14.10 to $26.73, ASIX sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($14.41 to $16.31).

ASIX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ASIX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ASIX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.2% event move for ASIX, spanning a range between $14.41 and $16.31.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASIX RQD Cockpit ASIX 12M Forecast ASIX Earnings & Move ASIX Dividends & DRIP ASIX Insiders & 13F ASIX Whale Options ASIX Profit Sankey ASIX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ASIX — AdvanSix Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 6% and an FCF yield of 1.58%. For an investor, a thin free-cash-flow yield means little cash is returned relative to the share price, so the valuation case depends more on earnings multiples than on cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score is the weakest pillar and suggests limited institutional support in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest pillar, a relative bright spot in an otherwise weak profile.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. An investor should expect the stock to move in line with the broad market rather than offer a defensive or asymmetric profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is a moderate balance-sheet posture, not a distress signal.

Taken together, the upside drivers are the low trailing and forward P/E ratios and the 4.23% dividend yield (per the market data section). The tradeoffs are a weak institutional-flow score, an FCF yield well below typical levels, and a stock price that fell 3.09% on the reporting day while sitting near the low end of its 52-week range.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$49.3MN/A$6.4M$19.8MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$44.1MN/A$1.7M$19.6MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$54.6MN/A$117.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue and operating income are $0.0M across the three periods, so the source data does not support margin analysis. Per the market data section, gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0%, which should be read as a data limitation rather than a finding. ROIC is 6% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Net income declined from $54.6M in FY 2023 to $44.1M in FY 2024 before recovering to $49.3M in FY 2025. FCF fell sharply from $117.5M in FY 2023 to $1.7M in FY 2024 and recovered to $6.4M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings release timing: A headline reports that AdvanSix will release third quarter financial results and hold an investor conference call on November 4. The item is categorized as a market wire item with a YELLOW signal.
  • Third-quarter revenue estimate: A TradingView headline lists the ASIX Q3'26 revenue estimate as 426.00M USD. This is an estimate, not a reported figure.
  • USDA grant for ammonia/fertilizer expansion: Multiple headlines (Stock Titan, Investing.com Nigeria) report a proposed $47.4 million grant to help expand fertilizer production in Virginia. Headlines describe this as "proposed" in one case and as "received" in another; the source data does not resolve which status is accurate.
  • Other coverage: Yahoo Finance Canada and Stock Traders Daily items cover market action and rotational strategy timing without additional company-specific facts.
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Risk watch items: the discrepancy between "proposed" and "received" grant status; the reliance on an estimate for Q3 revenue; and the absence of supply-chain linkage data.

Open Questions

  • What is the actual status of the $47.4 million USDA grant: proposed or received?
  • What products, customers, and revenue lines drive AdvanSix's reported figures, given that revenue and operating income are shown as $0.0M?
  • Why do gross, operating, and net margins read 0% when net income is reported at $49.3M?
  • What is the company's debt level in dollar terms, given that Debt is listed as N/A while Debt/Equity is 0.5?
  • What were the results and guidance in the upcoming third-quarter release, and how does the reported result compare to the 426.00M USD revenue estimate?

ASIX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASIX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASIX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.36?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASIX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASIX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $16.23 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ASIX (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $15.03?

Welcome to the ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.42 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $15.03

Pump the brakes on ASIX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ASIX, but look at what you are paying: 8.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless AdvanSix Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.09 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $15.03

ASIX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ASIX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.03 (52-wk range $14.10 - $26.73), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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